Tromsoe vs Valerenga Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 July 2026
🔊 The current standings highlight the contrasting ambitions of the two sides: Tromsø are battling for top spot and remain highly motivated to stay among the league leaders, while Vålerenga have already fallen well behind the leading pack. Moreover, the hosts have shown greater consistency, suffering just two defeats in their last ten matches, whereas the visitors have lost more frequently and have struggled to find stability throughout the season.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 04 October 2025 and ended 1-0. Here’s a comparative look at the key stats from that match, with Vålerenga as the home team:
- Possession: 40% vs 60%;
- Corners: 7 vs 5;
- Fouls committed: 17 vs 14;
- Yellow cards: 5 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊 Statistical head-to-head preview: Tromsø vs Vålerenga
- They have faced off 37 times in official competitions;
- The hosts have claimed 10 wins, while the visitors have secured 18 victories, with 9 draws between them;
- Goals scored: Tromsø 49, Vålerenga 65;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.16; average goals in the second half: 1.92;
- The average total goals per match stands at 3.08.
Head-to-head statistics Tromsoe - Valerenga
Tromsoe Team Overview
Tromsø are enjoying a strong campaign and remain firmly among the league’s frontrunners. The team have lost just twice in their last ten matches, underscoring their consistency over the long haul. In their five most recent official outings, Tromsø have recorded one win, three draws, and one defeat a run that may not be spectacular in terms of results, but it does highlight how rarely they come up short against their opponents. On average, the hosts score 1.38 goals per game while conceding just 1.08, and their recent numbers remain steady: exactly one goal scored and 1.3 conceded per match across the last ten fixtures. With the gap to top spot minimal, Tromsø’s motivation remains high every positive result keeps them firmly in the title race.
Match Results: Tromsoe
Valerenga Team Overview
Vålerenga have struggled to find consistency this season, with their results remaining unpredictable. Over their last five competitive fixtures, they have picked up two wins, suffered two defeats, and drawn once - an erratic run that highlights their lack of rhythm. Looking at a broader stretch, Vålerenga have managed just three victories alongside five losses in their previous ten official matches. Defensively, the numbers are concerning: they concede an average of 1.7 goals per game, which is well above what you’d expect from a mid-table side and points to ongoing issues at the back. In terms of motivation, the visitors are well off the pace set by the league’s frontrunners, making their season objectives appear somewhat out of reach at this stage.
Match Results: Valerenga
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 37;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 6; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 10;
- Average first-half total: 1.16;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.57, while the visitors net 0.59.
First-Half Stats: Tromsoe (home) vs Valerenga (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 5;
- wins: 4 (50%) vs 1 (20%);
- losses: 1 (12.5%) vs 2 (40%);
- draws: 3 (37.5%) vs 2 (40%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.2;
- Average goals conceded: 0.38 vs 0.8.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.8).
- Tromsoe have drawn in the 1st half in last 10 games against Valerenga.
- Tromsoe have drawn in the 1st half in last 9 games against Valerenga (Eliteserien).
- Tromsoe have drawn in the 1st half in last 6 home games against Valerenga.
- Tromsoe have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 home games against Valerenga (Eliteserien).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 37;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 18, draws - 9.
Statistics: Tromsoe vs Valerenga
- matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 11;
- wins: 7 vs 4;
- win percentage: 54% vs 36%;
- losses: 2 vs 5;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 5;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
- Valerenga won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 away games against Tromsoe.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.32, the guests - 1.76;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.08;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Tromsoe vs Valerenga
- average total in the tournament: 2.46 vs 2.73;
- average total goals scored: 1.38 vs 1.18;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.54 vs 0.64;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.85 vs 0.55;
- Tromsoe: average total at home in the tournament - 1.75;
- Valerenga: average total away in the tournament - 0.8;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.33) vs 1.2 (away - 0.8).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 10 Tromsoe games against Valerenga.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 9 Tromsoe games against Valerenga (Eliteserien).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 6 Tromsoe home games against Valerenga (Eliteserien).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 Tromsoe home games against Valerenga.
Yellow Cards Bet
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.28 (1.14 for home team and 1.14 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.56 (1 for home team and 1.56 for away team).
Tromsoe: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.38; at home - 1.13;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.5; at home - 1.5.
Valerenga: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.09, away - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; away - 2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 37;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Tromsoe vs Valerenga
- number of matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 11;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 5;
- number of BTTS matches for Tromsoe at home - 2 (25%);
- number of BTTS matches for Valerenga away - 2 (40%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Tromsoe at home - 2 (33%);
- BTTS matches for Valerenga away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (11/89, 12.4%), 2:0 (11/89, 12.4%);
- Tromsoe at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (3/8, 37.5%);
- Valerenga away most often play: 0:2 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 2:0 , 5:1 (1/5, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 12.35% (odds 7.5)
1:1 - 11.55% (odds 7)
2:0 - 9.89% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Given Tromsø’s consistency throughout the season and their well-balanced approach between attack and defence, they appear to be the more composed side. Vålerenga, on the other hand, have struggled at the back, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per match and failing to put together any sustained runs of success. Tromsø also have greater motivation in the standings-the race for top spot demands full focus against a less driven opponent. Our prediction: Tromsø to win.
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Betting Tips: Tromsoe - Valerenga
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