Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 12 April 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between Independiente Medellin and Atletico Nacional promises to be intriguing. Both teams showcase distinct playing styles, making this matchup particularly captivating. Independiente Medellin are eager to climb up the standings, while Atletico Nacional firmly hold the lead. Considering the current form of both teams and their past head-to-head encounters, a fierce battle on the pitch is anticipated.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 18 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Independiente Medellin):
- ball possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 0;
- fouls: 4 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Independiente Medellin and Atletico Nacional Medellin:
- played 60 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 15, for the away team - 23, draws - 22;
- number of goals - 61 against 90;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.15, in the 2nd half - 1.37;
- average total goals in the match - 2.52.
Head-to-head statistics Independiente Medellin - Atletico Nacional

Independiente Medellin Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Copa Libertadores, with Independiente Medellín hosting Estudiantes La Plata. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here's the match statistics (Independiente Medellín vs Estudiantes La Plata):
- possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 13 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
Independiente Medellín find themselves in a challenging position, currently sitting 14th in the standings. Over their last five matches, they have secured two wins, drawn twice, and suffered one defeat. This indicates a lack of consistent form, although their attacking play shows promise with an average of 1.36 goals per game. However, their defense has been prone to errors, as evidenced by the number of goals conceded.
Match Results: Independiente Medellin

Atletico Nacional Medellin Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primera A, featuring Atlético Nacional as the hosts and Jaguares de Córdoba as the visitors. The game concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the match stats (Atlético Nacional vs Jaguares de Córdoba):
- possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 6 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
Atlético Nacional top the table with their impressive performance, boasting 11 wins in 15 matches-a testament to their dominance. In their last five outings, they have secured three victories, suffered one defeat, and drawn once, showcasing solid consistency. Their attack ranks among the most prolific, averaging two goals per game, while their defense remains reliable, conceding minimal goals.
Match Results: Atletico Nacional Medellin
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 60;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 8; for visitors away - 8; number of draws - 15;
- Average first-half total: 1.15;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.48, while the visitors net 0.67.
First-Half Stats: Independiente Medellin (home) vs Atletico Nacional Medellin (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 7;
- wins: 1 (16.67%) vs 1 (14.29%);
- losses: 5 (83.33%) vs 3 (42.86%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 3 (42.86%);
- Average goals scored: 1.83 vs 0.86;
- Average goals conceded: 1.33 vs 0.57.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 3;
- losses: 5 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.6).
- Independiente Medellin have lost the 1st half in 5 of last 6 home games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 60;
- home team wins - 15, away team wins - 23, draws - 22.
Statistics: Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 15;
- wins: 4 vs 11;
- win percentage: 29% vs 73%;
- losses: 5 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 6;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 1.
- Atletico Nacional Medellin have drawn in last 3 away games against Independiente Medellin (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.02, the guests - 1.5;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.52;
- both teams scored: overall - 32; at the home team's field - 15.
Statistics: Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
- average total in the tournament: 2.71 vs 2.73;
- average total goals scored: 1.36 vs 2;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.29 vs 0.67;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.07 vs 1.33;
- Independiente Medellin: average total at home in the tournament - 1.5;
- Atletico Nacional Medellin: average total away in the tournament - 1.43;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.33) vs 1.6 (away - 1.6).
- Independiente Medellin have conceded in 8 of last 9 games against Atletico Nacional Medellin (Liga Aguila).
- Independiente Medellin have conceded in 9 of last 10 games (Liga Aguila).
- Independiente Medellin have conceded in 8 of last 9 games.
- Independiente Medellin have conceded in 7 of last 8 home games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on corners
Independiente Medellin: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.79; at home field - 7;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.3; at home field - 6.33.
Atletico Nacional Medellin: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.67, away - 4.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 4.
- Atletico Nacional Medellin have taken over 3.5 corners in last 7 away games against Independiente Medellin (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 60;
- both teams scored all-time - 32 times;
- on the home team’s field - 15 times.
Statistics: Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
- number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 6;
- number of BTTS matches for Independiente Medellin at home - 5 (83%);
- number of BTTS matches for Atletico Nacional Medellin away - 3 (43%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Independiente Medellin at home - 4 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Atletico Nacional Medellin away - 2 (40%).
- Independiente Medellin have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games against Atletico Nacional Medellin (Liga Aguila).
- Independiente Medellin have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games (Liga Aguila).
- Independiente Medellin have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games.
- Independiente Medellin have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games (Liga Aguila).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (26/150, 17.3%);
- Independiente Medellin at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (2/6, 33.3%);
- Atletico Nacional Medellin away most often play: 1:2 (3/7, 42.9%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.52% (odds 6.5)
0:1 - 9.67% (odds 8.5)
1:2 - 8.49% (odds 9.5)