Norway vs Israel Prediction 11 October 2025

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The main thing

    🔊 In Group I of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers, Norway and Israel-two of the most entertaining teams in the competition-are set to clash. The Scandinavians lead the scoring charts with an impressive 24 goals. Israel ranks third in this category. It's clear that many national teams haven't played as many matches yet. However, the Israelis are ahead of powerhouses like England, the Netherlands, and Belgium. Will the encounter at Ullevaal in Oslo deliver another goal-fest? Our editorial team offers an insightful prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The first head-to-head between the national teams took place in March during the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. That game certainly didn't disappoint the fans with its spectacle. Norway outperformed their opponents in expected goals by more than six times (4.19 xG to 0.63 xG), but only doubled their opponents in actual goals (4-2).

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    100%
    2 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    2
    Total Goals Avg
    5.5
    Both teams scored
    50%
    4.5
    Total average
    1
    6
    Corner
    1.5
    1
    Yellow cards
    1
    9.5
    Fouls
    9
    Last matches
    11.10.25
    WC Qualification, UEFA
    Norway
    Norway
    Israel
    Israel
    3.23
    0.22
    5
    1
    10
    11
    0
    1
    5
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    3.23
    0.22
    5
    1
    10
    11
    0
    1
    25.03.25
    WC Qualification, UEFA
    Israel
    Israel
    Norway
    Norway
    0.63
    4.19
    2
    7
    7
    9
    1
    2
    2
    4
    0
    1
    2
    3
    0.63
    4.19
    2
    7
    7
    9
    1
    2
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    Norway Team Overview

    The "Vikings" haven't tasted defeat since December of last year. Despite suffering a sole loss to Austria in the Nations League (1-5), Norway comfortably secured promotion to League A. Currently, Ståle Solbakken's squad boasts an impressive streak of seven consecutive victories. As a result, in their World Cup qualifiers, the "Drills" maintain a perfect record. They have confidently dispatched their main rivals for the top spot in the group: Italy (3-0) and Israel (4-2). In the September window, Norway played just one match, yet its scoring output could have filled an entire cycle. They utterly dismantled Moldova with an 11-1 thrashing.

    The team's standout star, Erling Haaland, is in sensational form. He leads the qualification scoring charts with nine goals and also tops the Premier League with ten goals. Following him are Telo Asgaard with four goals and Alexander Sørloth with three. The captain, Martin Ødegaard, deserves mention for his playmaking prowess, having provided seven assists in the ongoing qualifiers.

    Match Results: Norway

    Last matches
    16.06.26
    FIFA World Cup
    Iraq
    Iraq
    Norway
    Norway
    1.44
    2.66
    2
    5
    12
    13
    1
    0
    1
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1.44
    2.66
    2
    5
    12
    13
    1
    0
    W
    07.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Morocco
    Morocco
    Norway
    Norway
    1.14
    0.8
    3
    11
    6
    12
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.14
    0.8
    3
    11
    6
    12
    1
    1
    D
    01.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Norway
    Norway
    Sweden
    Sweden
    2.73
    0.49
    6
    1
    6
    6
    0
    1
    3
    1
    3
    0
    0
    1
    2.73
    0.49
    6
    1
    6
    6
    0
    1
    W
    31.03.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Norway
    Norway
    Switzerland
    Switzerland
    0.51
    0.70
    4
    2
    5
    8
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.51
    0.70
    4
    2
    5
    8
    0
    0
    D
    27.03.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Netherlands
    Netherlands
    Norway
    Norway
    2.07
    0.83
    8
    2
    11
    9
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    2.07
    0.83
    8
    2
    11
    9
    0
    1
    L
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    Israel Team Overview

    Ran Ben-Shimon's team has been delivering consistent performances in the qualification for the 2026 World Cup. Israel manage to defeat lower-ranked opponents but fall short against the group's favorites. During the last international break, the "blue and whites" secured a commanding victory over Moldova (4-0) but suffered a narrow defeat to Italy (5-4). Let's delve into that last match. The Israelis took the lead twice, maintaining a one-goal advantage by the 52nd minute. What followed was a goal-fest, with the score tied at 4-4 by the 89th minute. However, in stoppage time, Italy managed to edge out the nominal hosts and clinch the win (5-4).

    The team's top scorers in the World Cup qualifiers, each with two goals, are midfielders. Mohammad Abu Fani missed the September camp due to injury but recovered in time to make an impact in his last match for Ferencváros. Dan Biton is in remarkable form for Hapoel Be'er Sheva, currently on a six-game scoring streak for his club. During the last international break, Manor Solomon stood out with a 1+2 performance and earned Man of the Match honors against Moldova. The Villarreal newcomer has also impressed in La Liga, registering 1+1 in his first three appearances.

    Match Results: Israel

    Last matches
    03.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Albania
    Albania
    Israel
    Israel
    1.08
    1.07
    7
    2
    7
    8
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.08
    1.07
    7
    2
    7
    8
    1
    1
    W
    26.03.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Georgia
    Georgia
    Israel
    Israel
    1.06
    1.32
    6
    7
    11
    9
    1
    1
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    1.06
    1.32
    6
    7
    11
    9
    1
    1
    D
    16.11.25
    WC Qualification, UEFA
    Israel
    Israel
    Moldova
    Moldova
    1
    3.68
    0.3
    9
    3
    9
    12
    2
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    0
    3.68
    0.3
    9
    3
    9
    12
    2
    2
    W
    13.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Lithuania
    Lithuania
    Israel
    Israel
    -
    -
    2
    4
    17
    14
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    4
    17
    14
    2
    3
    D
    14.10.25
    WC Qualification, UEFA
    Italy
    Italy
    Israel
    Israel
    2.93
    0.73
    4
    3
    12
    10
    2
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    2.93
    0.73
    4
    3
    12
    10
    2
    1
    L
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    Latest news

    Norway

    🎙 The upcoming game against Israel was on the verge of cancellation due to events unfolding in the Gaza Strip. Both politicians and athletes have spoken about the potential cancellation. Here are the words of Norway's head coach Ståle Solbakken: “I don't know if we should be worried about this match. However, it's clear that there will be numerous discussions about whether it should take place. And that's how it should be,” said the coach.

    ❌ Norway's squad issues arose right after the head coach announced the lineup for the camp. At the last moment, two defenders, Leo Østigård and Marcus Pedersen, were ruled out due to injuries. However, the biggest setback was the injury to team captain Martin Ødegaard. This marks the midfielder's third injury since the start of the season.

    Israel

    🎙 Opinions on the presence of Israel's national football team on the international stage are split into two camps. However, FIFA President Gianni Infantino delivered the final verdict: “FIFA aims to harness the power of football to unite people in a divided world. Our thoughts are with those suffering in numerous conflicts happening around the globe today. The most important message football can convey right now is one of peace and unity. While we cannot resolve geopolitical issues, we can and must promote football worldwide, drawing on its unifying, educational, cultural, and humanitarian values.”

    ❌ Israel faces minimal but noticeable losses. Promising defender Stav Lemkin, who recently made his debut for the national team and solidified the defense in the match against Moldova, is sidelined due to injury.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The match will be officiated by the main referee Szymon Marciniak from Poland. In the Ekstraklasa, he averages 3.6 yellow cards over his last 20 matches. The teams involved don't typically play rough; they average two cautions over their last five games. In their previous head-to-head, the number of yellow cards did not exceed 3.5. Our prediction: total yellow cards under 3.5.

    ⚽️ Goal Prediction

    Both teams consistently deliver goal-fests in their matches. The Norwegians scored 12 goals in their last game, while the clash between Israel and Italy saw nine goals. Their previous head-to-head thrilled fans with six goals. The upcoming opponents are ranked first (Norway) and third (Israel) in goals scored during World Cup qualifying. Neither side has any key absences in attack. We believe the upcoming match in Oslo will not disappoint in terms of excitement. We back this belief with a bet on total goals over 3.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Israel has been playing assertively in the current qualification campaign. Against group favorites Norway and Italy, they have not conceded more than 56% of territorial advantage. Both matches were nominally home games but took place on neutral grounds, so the trip to Oslo shouldn't drastically change the situation. In these encounters, the Israelis earned a total of six corners. We think that in the upcoming game, Israel's total corners will be over 2.5.

    Editorial Prediction

    Among all the teams in Group I, Israel put up the most respectable fight against Norway in their head-to-head clash. However, they approach the upcoming match with some slight but noticeable defensive losses. Furthermore, their main goalkeeper, Daniel Peretz, having gained freedom from Bayern's bench, isn't making the lineup for Bundesliga newcomers Hamburg, meaning he lacks regular match practice and optimal form. And let's not forget, he'll be facing the formidable Erling Haaland. Norway's attack is elite, with Alexander Sørloth partnering Haaland up front-Sørloth is accustomed to the role of second striker, often appearing alongside Julian Alvarez at Atletico Madrid.

    Norway have won by a margin of two goals or more in six of their last seven official matches, with the only exception being a trip to Estonia (1-0). At Ullevaal in Oslo, they boast similar stats-winning by such margins in four out of five matches there. Considering Israel's defensive issues, we expect, if not another rout by the hosts, at least a confident 3-1 victory in their favor. Our main bet recommendation is to take Norway to win with a -1.5 handicap.

    Our choice
    Norway Handicap (-1,5) at odds of -169*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (10 October 2025, 11:16)

    Betting Tips: Norway - Israel

    Norway have won:
    norway-7in last 7 games.
    norway-7in last 5 games (WC Qualification, UEFA, Europe).
    Norway Win
    Bovada
    -435
    Norway have not lost:
    norway-7in 12 of last 13 games (WC Qualification, UEFA, Europe).
    norway-7in 11 of last 12 games.
    norway-7in 7 of last 8 home games.
    norway-7in last 6 home games (WC Qualification, UEFA, Europe).
    Norway will not lose
    Everygame
    -1667
    Over 2.5 goals scored:
    norway-7in 9 of last 10 Norway games.
    norway-7in 8 of last 9 Norway home games.
    israel-3in last 13 Israel games (WC Qualification, UEFA, Europe).
    israel-3in last 5 Israel games.
    in last 11 Szymon Marciniak games.
    Total goals Over (2,5)
    Everygame
    -333
    Norway have scored:
    norway-7in last 10 games.
    norway-7in 8 of last 9 home games.
    Israel have conceded:
    israel-3in 10 of last 11 games (WC Qualification, UEFA, Europe).
    Norway will score goal
    -5000
    View more facts

    Norway - Israel Table position

    Groups Group I
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Norway
    Norway
    880037-524
    2.
    Italy
    Italy
    860221-1218
    3.
    Israel
    Israel
    840419-2012
    4.
    Estonia
    Estonia
    81168-214
    5.
    Moldova
    Moldova
    80175-321

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    10 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    0 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 46
    Conceded - 6
    +40
    0
    20 - Scored
    20 - Conceded
    10
    Wins
    5
    0
    Draws
    1
    0
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    46
    Scored
    20
    6
    Conceded
    20
    5.2
    Match goals average
    4
    4.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    2
    0.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2
    5
    Both teams scored
    5
    20'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    45'
    View all stats