Southampton vs Derby Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 April 2026
🔊 The clash between Southampton and Derby County promises to be action-packed. Both teams are in impressive form: Southampton are unbeaten in their last 16 matches, while Derby rarely drop points and are in contention for a playoff spot. Just three points separate the opponents in the standings, making this head-to-head encounter crucial.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 04 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Derby ):
- ball possession percentage: 37% vs 63%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Southampton and Derby :
- played 5 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 0, for the away team - 3, draws - 2;
- number of goals - 9 against 11;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.4, in the 2nd half - 2.6;
- average total goals in the match - 4.
Head-to-head statistics Southampton - Derby
Southampton Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Wrexham, away team - Southampton). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:5.
Here's the game statistics (Southampton vs Wrexham):
- ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 9 vs 2.
Southampton are in exceptional form, having secured five consecutive victories. Their attack is both confident and effective, averaging 2.3 goals per game over the last ten matches. Additionally, their defense has been solid, conceding just 0.6 goals per game during this stretch of the season. Currently sitting sixth in the table, Southampton are motivated to solidify their position in the playoff zone. Right now, Tonda Eckert's side arguably stands as the strongest team in the Championship.
Match Results: Southampton
Derby County Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Derby , away - Stoke City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here are the match stats (Derby vs Stoke City):
- ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 18 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 0.
Derby County have been putting in decent performances, securing three wins in their last five matches. Despite dropping points in two recent fixtures, they consistently find the back of the net, having scored in 30 of their last 32 games. Currently sitting eighth in the table, they are motivated to climb higher and contend for a spot in the Premier League. However, the Rams face a challenge on the road, having lost four of their last five away games. Collecting points away from home has proven to be a tough task for them.
Match Results: Derby County
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 3, draws - 2.
Statistics: Southampton vs Derby
- matches played in the tournament: 40 vs 41;
- wins: 18 vs 18;
- win percentage: 45% vs 44%;
- losses: 10 vs 14;
- draws: 12 vs 9.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 8 vs 6;
- losses: 0 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 0.
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 games against Southampton.
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 19 of last 21 away games.
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 19 away games (Championship).
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in last 7 games (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.8, the guests - 2.2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 4;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Southampton vs Derby
- average total in the tournament: 2.93 vs 2.71;
- average total goals scored: 1.7 vs 1.46;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.8 vs 0.68;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.9 vs 0.78;
- Southampton: average total at home in the tournament - 1.53;
- Derby : average total away in the tournament - 1.55;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.3 (home - 2.2) vs 1.5 (away - 1).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 Southampton home games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Southampton home games (Championship).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Southampton games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 5;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Southampton vs Derby
- number of matches played in the tournament: 40 vs 41;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 28 vs 26;
- number of BTTS matches for Southampton at home - 9 (47%);
- number of BTTS matches for Derby away - 12 (60%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Southampton at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Derby away - 2 (40%).
- Southampton have scored and conceded in last 5 games against Derby.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (76/490, 15.5%);
- Southampton at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:0 , 1:1 (3/19, 15.8%);
- Derby away most often play: 0:1 , 1:2 (3/20, 15%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.82% (odds 6.4)
1:0 - 10.66% (odds 7.4)
2:1 - 9.74% (odds 7.8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams boast formidable attacking lines and consistently generate a significant number of scoring opportunities. The trends suggest a high likelihood of both sides finding the back of the net, a common occurrence in their head-to-head clashes. Based on this, the most reasonable bet appears to be on both teams to score (yes).No comments
Betting Tips: Southampton - Derby County
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