Hearts vs Hibernian FC Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 February 2026
🔊 The 26th-round clash between Hearts and Hibernian promises to be a thrilling encounter. Both teams are near the top of the table, each with different objectives. The hosts have been showcasing excellent form throughout the season, holding onto the top spot thanks to a potent attack and solid defense. However, they dropped points in the last round, allowing their rivals to close the gap. On the other hand, the visitors are unbeaten in their last two matches. Moreover, Hibernian have avoided defeat in five of their last six head-to-heads, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this matchup. The contest between these two Scottish clubs could turn into a real test of tactics and strategy.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 27 December 2025 and ended with a 3-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Hibernian were the home side):
- possession percentage: 34% vs 66%;
- corners: 3 vs 8;
- fouls: 18 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 7 vs 7.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Hearts and Hibernian:
- 63 matches played;
- home wins - 27, away wins - 16, draws - 20;
- goals scored - 80 to 55;
- average total in the first half - 0.9, second half - 1.24;
- average total goals per match - 2.14.
Head-to-head statistics Hearts - Hibernian FC
Heart of Midlothian Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the 25th round of the Premier League, featuring St. Mirren at home against Hearts. The game concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Hearts vs. St. Mirren):
- possession percentage: 46% vs. 54%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs. 7;
- fouls: 8 vs. 19;
- yellow cards: 1 vs. 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs. 5.
🔴 Hearts suffered a 1-0 defeat away to St Mirren in the last round but remain at the top of the table. However, they have allowed Rangers to close the gap. In their last five matches, the team has secured three wins and suffered two losses. Their average scoring rate stands at 1.88 goals per game, while they concede an average of 0.8 goals per match. In their previous head-to-head clash against Hibernian, they were edged out 3-2, which could motivate Derek McInnes's squad to seek revenge.
Match Results: Heart of Midlothian
Hibernian Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on during the 25th round of the Premier League, where Hibernian hosted Dundee United. The match concluded with a 3-2 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Hibernian vs Dundee United):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 8 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
🟢 Hibernian have shown mixed results this season: four wins, three losses, and three draws in their last ten games highlight the team's inconsistency. The visitors average 1.64 goals per match while conceding a relatively high 1.2 goals per game. However, it's worth noting that David Gray's side often avoid defeats, suggesting they can pose challenges for any opponent, even away from home. In their last two fixtures, the Hibees played at home: they drew with Rangers (0-0) and defeated Dundee United (3-2).
Match Results: Hibernian
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 63;
- First-half wins for home team - 10; for away team - 1; draws - 19;
- Average first-half total: 0.9;
- Today's home team averages 0.56 goals, visitors average 0.35.
First-half Stats: Hearts (home) vs Hibernian (away)
- Played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- Wins: 5 (41.67%) vs 5 (41.67%);
- Losses: 2 (16.67%) vs 3 (25%);
- Draws: 5 (41.67%) vs 4 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 1.17 vs 1.5;
- Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 0.75.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 5 vs 3;
- Losses: 2 vs 2;
- Draws: 3 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.3) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.4).
- Hearts have scored in the first half at home in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head encounters with this team.
- Hearts have scored in the first half at home in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head encounters in the Premier League.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 63;
- Home wins - 27, Away wins - 16, Draws - 20.
Statistics: Hearts vs Hibernian
- Matches in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- Wins: 16 vs 10;
- Win percentage: 64% vs 40%;
- Losses: 3 vs 6;
- Draws: 6 vs 9.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 6 vs 4;
- Losses: 3 vs 3;
- Draws: 1 vs 3.
- Hibernian have covered the +1.5 spread in their last 5 head-to-head away matches (Premier League).
- Hibernian have covered the +1.5 spread in 11 of their last 12 matches.
- Hibernian have covered the +1.5 spread in 10 of their last 11 Premier League matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (Average Total):
- Home team - 1.27, Away team - 0.87;
- Overall head-to-head - 2.14;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 31 times; at the home ground - 14 times.
Average Total Statistics: Hearts vs Hibernian
- In the tournament: 2.68 vs 2.84;
- Goals scored: 1.88 vs 1.64;
- First half: 0.76 vs 0.76;
- Second half: 1.12 vs 0.88;
- Hearts at home in the tournament - 2.08;
- Hibernian away in the tournament - 1.33;
- Last 10 matches: 1.6 (home - 1.6) vs 1.4 (away - 1).
- Total under 3.5 goals occurred in 21 of the last 23 head-to-head matches at the home ground (Premier League).
- Total under 3.5 goals occurred in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches (Premier League).
- Total under 3.5 goals occurred in 12 of Hearts' last 14 matches (Premier League).
- Total under 3.5 goals occurred in 6 of Hearts' last 7 home matches.
Corners Prediction
Hearts: Statistics
- Season average total in the tournament - 5.44; at home - 5.58;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.9; at home - 4.4.
Hibernian: Statistics
- Season average total in the tournament - 5.16, away - 4.25;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.7; away - 4.6.
- Hearts have taken fewer than 6.5 corners at home in the last 8 consecutive head-to-head matches.
- Hearts have taken fewer than 6.5 corners at home in the last 7 consecutive head-to-head matches (Premier League).
- Hearts have taken fewer than 6.5 corners in their last 6 consecutive matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 63;
- Both teams scored all-time - 31 times;
- At the home ground - 14 times.
Statistics: Hearts vs Hibernian
- Played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
- Season matches where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 14;
- Hearts BTTS at home - 6 (50%);
- Hibernian BTTS away - 7 (58%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- Hearts BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Hibernian BTTS away - 3 (60%).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Score Statistics (Current Season):
- The most common score in the tournament: 1-1 (17/147, 11.6%);
- Hearts' most frequent home scores: 1-0, 1-1, 2-0 (2/12, 16.7%);
- Hibernian's most frequent away scores: 1-0, 1-2, 2-2 (2/12, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top three outcomes:
1-1 - 13.31% (odds: 6.5)
1-0 - 10.98% (odds: 7)
2-1 - 9.35% (odds: 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The hosts lead the charge with their solid defense and efficient attacks, while Hibernian will aim to display resilience on their turf. Considering the trend of a high number of corners in their head-to-head clashes and the current form stats of both teams, a bet on under 10.5 corners seems well-founded. This has come through in the last 8 head-to-head games at the hosts' ground and in 7 of Hearts' recent matches.
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Betting Tips: Heart of Midlothian - Hibernian
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