Hull City vs Millwall Prediction
🔊 The first round of the battle for a Premier League spot kicks off at the MKM Stadium. Hull City have miraculously clinched a top-six finish and now aim to surprise as the underdogs in the playoffs. Millwall, on the other hand, were contenders for an automatic promotion spot until the very end, finishing just shy with 83 points-10 more than the hosts. The winner of this matchup will advance to the final at Wembley, where they will face either Middlesbrough or Southampton. The "Tigers" have the first move in this duel, and on their home turf, they will strive to prove that their six-match winless streak is a thing of the past.
Head-to-Head
📊 The 2025/26 season featured two standout away victories in this rivalry. On December 13, the Tigers defeated the Lions at The Den (3-1), while on March 7, Millwall evened the score by winning at the MKM Stadium with the same result. However, it's important to note that this victory marked the Dockers' first since 2022-over their last eight encounters with Hull, they suffered four defeats and secured three draws.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Hull City Team Overview
The "Tigers" enter the playoffs riding a wave of emotion, yet grappling with clear structural issues. Sergei Yakirovich's squad finished in 6th place with 73 points, edging out Wrexham by two points, and spent a significant part of the season in the playoff zone, occasionally challenging the top three. Over 46 matches, Hull netted an impressive 70 goals but conceded a staggering 66. By comparison, teams ranked 16th to 22nd displayed more reliable defensive performances throughout the season.
The Tigers' form is nothing short of concerning: six matches without a win before the final round, where they defeated Norwich (2-1), and just one clean sheet in their last 12 Championship games. Their home record is also underwhelming, with 11 wins in 23 matches. However, towards the end of the regular season, Hull managed to show some semblance of stability, avoiding defeat at the MKM Stadium in four consecutive games.
Match Results: Hull City
Millwall Team Overview
Millwall emerge as the dark horse in the playoff race. Alex Neil's side finished third with 83 points, narrowly missing out on automatic promotion to Ipswich by just one point. With only two losses in their last 13 matches, they boast the best consistency among all playoff contenders. Their season tally includes 24 wins, 64 goals scored, and just 49 conceded-figures that speak volumes for the visitors.
The Lions are in near-peak form, having collected 10 points from their last four matches, capping off the regular season with a convincing 2-0 victory over Oxford. Femi Aziz, the team's top scorer and assist leader with 11 goals and 7 assists, scored twice. Millwall's key strength lies in their away record. Under Alex Neil's guidance, they've lost only 4 of their 23 away games, amassing 41 points and conceding just 24 goals-the best away stats in the league.
Match Results: Millwall
Latest news
Hull City
❌ The squad situation has become clearer, and the news is generally positive. Only three players are confirmed out: Amir Hadziahmetovic, Cody Drameh, and Eliot Matazo.
✔ Matt Crooks, John Egan, and Mohamed Belloumi are fully fit for the match. This provides the hosts with midfield rotation options. The main attacking hope is Oliver McBurnie, who netted a brace against Norwich and has scored 17 goals in the league.
Millwall
❌ The visitors are not in an ideal position squad-wise, though it's not a complete disaster. They will be without their first-choice goalkeeper Lukas Bornhoeft-Jensen, left-back Joe Bryan, midfielder Massimo Luongo, and defensive midfielder Daniel Kelly.
❔ Forward Josh Coburn is doubtful as he continues to recover from a hip injury. The coaching staff is assessing his condition daily and hopes for the Englishman's return.
🟨 Prediction for Yellow Cards
The first playoff match is always a nerve-wracking battle, and the disciplinary stats of the teams suggest a high likelihood of numerous cautions. Hull City have accumulated 110 yellow cards over 46 rounds of the regular season, averaging 2.39 per game-second highest in the league. Millwall aren't known for being overly aggressive, but they aren't particularly disciplined either, especially on the road, where they average 2.43 yellow cards per match. In their last head-to-head encounter, there were as many as 6 cautions issued, so the over 3.5 yellow cards bet seems quite reasonable.
⚽ Prediction for Goals
Hull have failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their last 12 matches, while Millwall have been involved in games with both teams scoring in 5 of their last 6 away outings. The two head-to-head games between these sides this season produced 8 goals, with both teams finding the net in each encounter. Betting on both teams to score (yes) at odds of 1.80* appears to be the most insightful choice. Despite the increased pressure of the playoffs, we don't anticipate a defensive showdown.
🚩 Prediction for Corners
Under Alex Neil's management, Millwall effectively utilize the flanks, playing wide and frequently delivering crosses into the box. Even away from home, the Lions boast an impressive corner count, averaging 5.22 per game. Hull, on their home turf, earn fewer corners-4.52 on average. Considering how many chances the Tigers allow their opponents to create, a bet on Millwall not to lose on corners at odds of 1.70* seems optimal.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
Editor's Prediction
Hull City are expected to take risks and push forward at home to gain an advantage ahead of the return leg at The Den. However, Millwall boast the league's best away defense and know how to withstand pressure, having already secured a positive result at the MKM Stadium in the spring. The Lions' impressive away form is a key factor tipping the scales in their favor, but the Tigers are too potent in attack to leave their home ground without scoring. A reasonable bet is both teams to score (yes), which has hit in Hull's last five home matches. The predicted score is 1-1, leaving everything to be decided in the second leg on May 11.
Betting Tips: Hull City - Millwall
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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