Well. Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 6 February 2026
🔊 The upcoming Round 16 A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory promises to be action-packed. Both clubs have shown varied form recently, with Wellington experiencing a mix of wins and losses, while Melbourne consistently triumphs on the road. As both teams aim to climb the league standings, their encounter gains an extra layer of intrigue. Known for their attacking play, both sides could potentially deliver a high-scoring affair.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 29 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 5:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Melbourne Victory):
- ball possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 12 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory:
- played 46 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 13, for the away team - 24, draws - 9;
- number of goals - 66 against 85;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.43, in the 2nd half - 1.85;
- average total goals in the match - 3.28.
Head-to-head statistics Well. Phoenix - Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the A-League tournament (home team - Wellington Phoenix, away team - Melbourne City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here's the game statistics (Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City):
- ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 7 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 6 vs 4.
Wellington Phoenix are currently sitting 10th in the standings and are looking for ways to climb higher. In their last five matches, the team has shown inconsistent form with two wins, two draws, and one loss. The Phoenix are known for their defensive struggles, conceding an average of two goals per game. However, they make up for it with a strong offensive output, averaging 1.8 goals per match. Their last head-to-head clash ended in a heavy 1-5 defeat against Melbourne Victory.
Match Results: Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the A-League tournament (home team - Central Coast Mariners, away - Melbourne Victory). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners):
- ball possession: 67% vs 33%;
- corner kicks: 15 vs 3;
- fouls: 6 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 9 vs 1.
Melbourne Victory sit in eighth place and have been delivering solid performances on the road, thanks to their defensive prowess. In their last five matches, they have secured two wins and suffered three losses, highlighting their ambition to improve their win-loss ratio, which currently stands at just 40% victories. Their game plan revolves around a strong defense, minimizing the risk of conceding unnecessary goals.
Match Results: Melbourne Victory
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 24, draws - 9.
Statistics: Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 5 vs 6;
- win percentage: 33% vs 40%;
- losses: 6 vs 7;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
- Wellington Phoenix won with a +1.5 handicap in last 14 home games against Melbourne Victory (A-League).
- Wellington Phoenix won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games against Melbourne Victory (A-League).
- Wellington Phoenix won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 home games.
- Wellington Phoenix won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 home games (A-League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.43, the guests - 1.85;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.28;
- both teams scored: overall - 28; at the home team's field - 14.
Statistics: Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory
- average total in the tournament: 3.47 vs 2.6;
- average total goals scored: 1.6 vs 1.33;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.6 vs 0.4;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 0.93;
- Wellington Phoenix: average total at home in the tournament - 1.63;
- Melbourne Victory: average total away in the tournament - 0.75;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.8 (home - 2) vs 1.6 (away - 0.4).
- Wellington Phoenix have scored under 1.5 goals in 12 of last 13 games against Melbourne Victory (A-League).
- Wellington Phoenix have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 home games against Melbourne Victory (A-League).
Prediction on corners
Wellington Phoenix: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.73; at home field - 5.88;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; at home field - 5.
Melbourne Victory: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.27, away - 6.63;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.1; away - 7.2.
- Wellington Phoenix have taken under 4.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games (A-League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- both teams scored all-time - 28 times;
- on the home team’s field - 14 times.
Statistics: Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory
- number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 5;
- number of BTTS matches for Wellington Phoenix at home - 7 (88%);
- number of BTTS matches for Melbourne Victory away - 2 (25%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Wellington Phoenix at home - 5 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Melbourne Victory away - 1 (20%).
- Wellington Phoenix have scored and conceded in last 5 home games (A-League).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (10/91, 11%), 2:1 (10/91, 11%);
- Wellington Phoenix at home most often finish matches: 2:1 , 2:2 (2/8, 25%);
- Melbourne Victory away most often play: 1:0 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.97% (odds 6.5)
1:2 - 9.17% (odds 7)
0:1 - 8.86% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams have their own motivations for securing a positive result: Wellington aim to climb the table, while Melbourne need to maintain their edge over rivals. Considering recent trends from both sides (scoring/conceding), an active exchange of attacks between the opponents seems likely. The recommended bet is both teams to score. This option fits due to Wellington's strong home offense and the visitors' solid defense.No comments
Betting Tips: Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory
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