Ukraine vs Italy Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 5 July 2026
🔊 The final round of Group B brings together the two strongest sides in the group. Ukraine have already secured a place in the semi-finals and booked their ticket to the World Cup, while Italy still need to officially seal their spot in the next stage. A draw would be enough for Ukraine to hold onto top spot, but Italy will be pushing for a win to avoid relying on the outcome of the other group match.
Head-to-Head
📊 These national teams don't meet often, but when they do, their matches tend to be high-scoring affairs. Their most recent head-to-head came in 2024, with Ukraine edging out a 3-2 victory. On average, their encounters produce 3.33 goals per game, highlighting the open and attacking nature of this rivalry.
Head-to-head statistics Ukraine - Italy
Ukraine U19 Team Overview
The team's most recent official fixture took place on in the UEFA Under-19 European Championship, with Serbia U19 playing host to Ukraine U19. The match ended in a 1-2 victory for the visitors.
The key match statistics (Ukraine U19 vs Serbia U19) were as follows:
- Possession: 61% vs 39%;
- Corners: 2 vs 8;
- Fouls: 11 vs 11;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 3.
Ukraine have enjoyed a flawless start to the tournament, claiming victories over Croatia (3-1) and Serbia (2-1) in their opening two fixtures. These results have already secured Dmytro Mykhaylenko’s side a place in the semi-finals, as well as qualification for the 2027 World Cup. To finish top of the group, Ukraine simply need to avoid defeat in their final group-stage match.
The squad situation remains positive. There are no major injuries or suspensions to contend with, although the coaching staff may opt for some rotation to rest key players ahead of the semi-finals. The only notable absentee is Dynamo Kyiv winger Bohdan Redushko, who misses the tournament due to injury.
Match Results: Ukraine U19
Italy U19 Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the UEFA European Under-19 Championship, facing Croatia U19 away from home. The contest ended in a goalless draw, 0-0.
Here’s a look at the key match stats (Italy U19 vs Croatia U19):
- Possession: 36% vs 64%;
- Corners: 6 vs 3;
- Fouls: 17 vs 15;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Italy head into the final round with four points on the board, following a 2-0 win over Serbia and a goalless draw against Croatia. Despite their solid defensive performances, a place in the semi-finals is not yet secured, so the squad will be looking to take matters into their own hands rather than rely on results elsewhere.
The entire first-choice lineup is available, with no injury concerns ahead of this clash. The Italian coaching staff will be able to field their strongest XI, banking on their top attacking talents. After a rather lacklustre display against Croatia, Italy are expected to adopt a much more aggressive approach in the final third this time around.
Match Results: Italy U19
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head:
- Matches played: 3;
- First-half wins: home side: 0; away side: 0; draws: 0;
- Average first-half total: 1.67 goals;
- Today's hosts average 0.67 goals in the first half, while the visitors score 1 on average.
First-half stats: Ukraine U19 (home) vs Italy U19 (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 2;
- Wins: 1 (100%) vs 1 (50%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Draws: 0 (0%) vs 1 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 0.5;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- Wins: 5 vs 7;
- Losses: 2 vs 0;
- Draws: 3 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.9 (scored: 1.4, conceded: 0.5) vs 0.8 (scored: 0.8, conceded: 0).
- Italy U19 have led at half-time in seven of their last eight matches.
Editor's Pick
Head-to-head record:
- Matches played - 3;
- Home wins - 1, away wins - 2, draws - 0.
- Ukraine U19 have lost 6 of their last 7 home fixtures.
- Italy U19 are on a four-game away winning streak in the UEFA European U19 Championship.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head average goals:
- Home side - 1.33, away side - 2;
- Average total in head-to-head meetings - 3.33;
- Both teams scored: overall - 2 times; on the home ground - never.
Average goals stats: Ukraine U19 vs Italy U19
- In the tournament: 2.75 vs 2.38;
- Goals scored: 2.38 vs 2.25;
- First half: 1.38 vs 1.13;
- Second half: 1 vs 1.13;
- Ukraine U19 at home in this tournament - 3;
- Italy U19 away in this tournament - 1;
- Last 10 matches: 2.2 (home - 2) vs 1.6 (away - 1).
- Over 2.5 goals has landed in 7 of the last 8 home matches for Ukraine U19.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Matches played - 3;
- Both teams scored overall - 2 times;
- On the home team’s ground - never.
Correct Score Prediction
Frequent scorelines (current season):
- Most common result in the tournament: 0-1 (13/122, 10.7%);
- Ukraine U19’s most frequent home score: 3-0 (1/1, 100%);
- Italy U19’s most frequent away scores: 0-1, 1-1 (1/2, 50%).
Based on statistical analysis and probability models, the top three predicted scorelines are:
1-0 - 11.77% (odds: 10)
1-1 - 11.72% (odds: 7.5)
0-1 - 10.97% (odds: 7.5)
Editor's Pick
This clash promises to be a fascinating tactical battle. Ukraine have already accomplished their main objective and can afford to play with freedom, even if the coaching staff decide to rotate the squad. Italy, on the other hand, are fully motivated to secure a positive result and are likely to take the initiative from the opening whistle.
Ukraine have won both of their matches in the tournament, coming from behind on each occasion to showcase their resilience, while the most recent head-to-head ended in a thrilling 3-2 scoreline. Given Ukraine’s current form, Italy’s high motivation, and the attacking quality on both sides, the standout pick here is both teams to score (Yes).
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Betting Tips: Ukraine U19 - Italy U19
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