Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo Prediction
📢 In the upcoming Copa Libertadores clash, Independiente Medellin face off against Flamengo. Both teams are in impressive form: Independiente have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Flamengo boast 3 wins and 2 draws in the same span. Both sides have been prolific in front of goal, promising an exciting game with plenty of chances.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 17 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 4:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Flamengo):
- ball possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 6 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 10 vs 1.
📊 Officially, Independiente Medellín and Flamengo have faced each other only once.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Independiente Medellin Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Liga Aguila tournament (home team - Independiente Medellin, away team - Aguilas Doradas Rionegro). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here's the game statistics (Independiente Medellin vs Aguilas Doradas Rionegro):
- ball possession: 70% vs 30%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 2;
- fouls: 10 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
Independiente Medellin are delivering solid performances both domestically and internationally. The team have won 4 of their last 5 matches, showcasing impressive attacking play. This season, they consistently find the back of the net, having scored in each of their last 16 games. However, their defense leaves room for improvement, as they have conceded a significant number of goals in recent outings.
Match Results: Independiente Medellin

Flamengo Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - Flamengo, away - Vasco da Gama). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here are the match stats (Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama):
- ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 15 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 6 vs 6.
Flamengo continue to dominate the tournament with their attacking prowess. They boast an average scoring rate of over two goals per game in their last ten matches. This is further supported by their outstanding form, as the team remain unbeaten in nine consecutive games. Despite a hectic schedule, they maintain freshness and consistency in their performances.
Match Results: Flamengo
Latest news
Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellín head into the match with a full squad available.
Flamengo
Flamengo will be without Leonardo Jardim, as he misses the match due to suspension. Also absent from the squad are Giorgian De Arrascaeta, Lucas Paqueta, and Erick Pulgar-all sidelined with injuries. Notably, Arrascaeta is expected to be out until at least mid-June.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.
Statistics: Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo
- matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- win percentage: 43% vs 67%;
- losses: 1 vs 0;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 7;
- losses: 3 vs 1;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Independiente Medellin won with a +1.5 handicap in last 27 home games.
- Independiente Medellin won with a +1.5 handicap in 23 of last 24 games.
- Independiente Medellin won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games (Copa Libertadores).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 4;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 5;
- both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.
Statistics: Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo
- average total in the tournament: 2.29 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 1.14 vs 2.33;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.43 vs 1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.71 vs 1.33;
- Independiente Medellin: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Flamengo: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.43) vs 2.2 (away - 1.8).
- Independiente Medellin have scored in last 16 games.
- Independiente Medellin have scored in last 10 home games.
Prediction on corners
Independiente Medellin: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.86; at home field - 5.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; at home field - 5.86.
Flamengo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.33, away - 4.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 3.4.
- Under 9.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Independiente Medellin games (Copa Libertadores).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Statistics: Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 2;
- number of BTTS matches for Independiente Medellin at home - 2 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Flamengo away - 1 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Independiente Medellin at home - 4 (57%);
- BTTS matches for Flamengo away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (14/78, 17.9%);
- Independiente Medellin at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 2:1 (1/4, 25%);
- Flamengo away most often play: 0:2 , 1:1 (1/2, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 13.72% (odds 6)
1:1 - 12.92% (odds 6)
0:0 - 9.8% (odds 7.3)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Flamengo enter the match as favorites, but Independiente Medellin at home are capable of putting up a fight and challenging the visitors' defense. The hosts consistently create scoring opportunities and have found the back of the net in 16 consecutive matches. Given these circumstances, Flamengo's superior quality doesn't guarantee them an easy game. Therefore, betting on an Independiente Medellin goal seems like a reasonable prediction.