Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo Prediction

Details
The main thing

    📢 In the upcoming Copa Libertadores clash, Independiente Medellin face off against Flamengo. Both teams are in impressive form: Independiente have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Flamengo boast 3 wins and 2 draws in the same span. Both sides have been prolific in front of goal, promising an exciting game with plenty of chances.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 17 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 4:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Flamengo):

    • ball possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
    • fouls: 6 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 10 vs 1.

    📊 Officially, Independiente Medellín and Flamengo have faced each other only once.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    0%
    0 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    100%
    1 Win
    Total games
    1
    Total Goals Avg
    5
    Both teams scored
    100%
    1
    Total average
    4
    2
    Corner
    4
    3
    Yellow cards
    1
    15
    Fouls
    6
    Last matches
    08.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    0
    0.11
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    0.11
    -
    -
    -
    -
    0
    0
    17.04.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    3.05
    0.35
    4
    2
    6
    15
    1
    3
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    3.05
    0.35
    4
    2
    6
    15
    1
    3
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    Independiente Medellin Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Liga Aguila tournament (home team - Independiente Medellin, away team - Aguilas Doradas Rionegro). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.

    Here's the game statistics (Independiente Medellin vs Aguilas Doradas Rionegro):

    • ball possession: 70% vs 30%;
    • corner kicks: 10 vs 2;
    • fouls: 10 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 4.

    Independiente Medellin are delivering solid performances both domestically and internationally. The team have won 4 of their last 5 matches, showcasing impressive attacking play. This season, they consistently find the back of the net, having scored in each of their last 16 games. However, their defense leaves room for improvement, as they have conceded a significant number of goals in recent outings.

    Match Results: Independiente Medellin

    Last matches
    02.06.26
    Cup
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Cucuta Deportivo
    Cucuta Deportivo
    -
    -
    12
    3
    19
    7
    4
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    12
    3
    19
    7
    4
    1
    W
    29.05.26
    Cup
    Leones
    Leones
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    -
    -
    3
    13
    5
    10
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    13
    5
    10
    0
    1
    D
    27.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    2.19
    0.28
    9
    5
    11
    12
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.19
    0.28
    9
    5
    11
    12
    2
    2
    L
    21.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Cusco
    Cusco
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    0.93
    1.77
    9
    3
    9
    10
    1
    3
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    2
    0.93
    1.77
    9
    3
    9
    10
    1
    3
    W
    16.05.26
    Cup
    Orsomarso
    Orsomarso
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    -
    -
    10
    2
    10
    19
    2
    7
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    10
    2
    10
    19
    2
    7
    D
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    Flamengo Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie A tournament (home team - Flamengo, away - Vasco da Gama). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.

    Here are the match stats (Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama):

    • ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
    • fouls: 15 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 6.

    Flamengo continue to dominate the tournament with their attacking prowess. They boast an average scoring rate of over two goals per game in their last ten matches. This is further supported by their outstanding form, as the team remain unbeaten in nine consecutive games. Despite a hectic schedule, they maintain freshness and consistency in their performances.

    Match Results: Flamengo

    Last matches
    30.05.26
    Serie A
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    1
    1.6
    1.05
    6
    4
    10
    2
    3
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1.6
    1.05
    6
    4
    10
    2
    3
    0
    W
    27.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    Cusco
    Cusco
    4.11
    0.13
    9
    2
    11
    11
    0
    5
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    4.11
    0.13
    9
    2
    11
    11
    0
    5
    W
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    1
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1.41
    1.63
    8
    4
    9
    19
    5
    6
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    1.41
    1.63
    8
    4
    9
    19
    5
    6
    L
    21.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    0.94
    0.66
    3
    5
    9
    13
    2
    5
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.94
    0.66
    3
    5
    9
    13
    2
    5
    W
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    1
    0.83
    1.57
    9
    7
    9
    12
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.83
    1.57
    9
    7
    9
    12
    2
    1
    D
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    Latest news

    Independiente Medellin

    Independiente Medellín head into the match with a full squad available.

    Flamengo

    Flamengo will be without Leonardo Jardim, as he misses the match due to suspension. Also absent from the squad are Giorgian De Arrascaeta, Lucas Paqueta, and Erick Pulgar-all sidelined with injuries. Notably, Arrascaeta is expected to be out until at least mid-June.

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 1;
    • home team wins - 0, away team wins - 1, draws - 0.

    Statistics: Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo

    • matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
    • wins: 3 vs 2;
    • win percentage: 43% vs 67%;
    • losses: 1 vs 0;
    • draws: 3 vs 1.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 5 vs 7;
    • losses: 3 vs 1;
    • draws: 2 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Independiente Medellin won with a +1.5 handicap in last 27 home games.
    • Independiente Medellin won with a +1.5 handicap in 23 of last 24 games.
    • Independiente Medellin won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 games (Copa Libertadores).
    👉Prediction: Flamengo will not lose (odds: 1.26)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 4;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 5;
    • both teams scored: overall - 1; at the home team's field - 0.

    Statistics: Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo

    • average total in the tournament: 2.29 vs 3;
    • average total goals scored: 1.14 vs 2.33;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.43 vs 1;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.71 vs 1.33;
    • Independiente Medellin: average total at home in the tournament -  1;
    • Flamengo: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.43) vs 2.2 (away - 1.8).
    Trends
    • Independiente Medellin have scored in last 16 games.
    • Independiente Medellin have scored in last 10 home games.
    👉Prediction: Independiente Medellin will score goal (odds: 1.6)

    Prediction on corners

    Independiente Medellin: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.86; at home field - 5.25;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; at home field - 5.86.

    Flamengo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.33, away - 4.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 3.4.
    Trends
    • Under 9.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Independiente Medellin games (Copa Libertadores).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (9.5) (odds: 1.8)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 1;
    • both teams scored all-time - 1 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 0 times.

    Statistics: Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 2;
    • number of BTTS matches for Independiente Medellin at home - 2 (50%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Flamengo away - 1 (50%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Independiente Medellin at home - 4 (57%);
    • BTTS matches for Flamengo away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 2.07)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (14/78, 17.9%);
    • Independiente Medellin at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 2:1 (1/4, 25%);
    • Flamengo away most often play: 0:2 , 1:1 (1/2, 50%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    0:1 - 13.72% (odds 6)
    1:1 - 12.92% (odds 6)
    0:0 - 9.8% (odds 7.3)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (0:1) (odds: 6)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Flamengo enter the match as favorites, but Independiente Medellin at home are capable of putting up a fight and challenging the visitors' defense. The hosts consistently create scoring opportunities and have found the back of the net in 16 consecutive matches. Given these circumstances, Flamengo's superior quality doesn't guarantee them an easy game. Therefore, betting on an Independiente Medellin goal seems like a reasonable prediction.

    Our choice
    Independiente Medellin will score goal at odds of -172*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (5 May 2026, 22:28)

    Betting Tips: Independiente Medellin - Flamengo

    Flamengo have not lost
    flamengo-rj-2in 15 of last 16 games.
    flamengo-rj-2in 8 of last 9 away games.
    flamengo-rj-2in last 6 games (Copa Libertadores).
    Flamengo will not lose
    MyBookie
    -435
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    flamengo-rj-2in last 14 Flamengo games.
    flamengo-rj-2in last 7 Flamengo away games.
    in last 5 Jesus Valenzuela Saez games.
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -278
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    independiente-medellinin 12 of last 13 Independiente Medellin home games.
    independiente-medellinin 6 of last 7 Independiente Medellin games (Copa Libertadores).
    independiente-medellinin last 5 Independiente Medellin games.
    flamengo-rj-2in 7 of last 8 Flamengo away games.
    in last 7 Jesus Valenzuela Saez games.
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -455
    Independiente Medellin have scored
    independiente-medellinin last 16 games.
    independiente-medellinin last 10 home games.
    Independiente Medellin will score goal
    Everygame
    -182
    View more facts

    Independiente Medellin - Flamengo Table position

    Group stage Group A
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    651014-216
    2.
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    62316-59
    3.
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    62136-117
    4.
    Cusco
    Cusco
    60154-121

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 11
    0
    +6
    15 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    3
    3
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    15
    11
    Conceded
    9
    2.2
    Match goals average
    2.4
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    1.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    5
    Both teams scored
    3
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats