Melbourne Victory vs Well. Phoenix Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 5 April 2026
🔊 Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix are set to clash in an intriguing Round 23 A-League encounter. Melbourne Victory have been in confident form, averaging 2.3 goals per game over their last ten matches. Their position in the league table is promising as well, as they currently sit in fourth place. On the other hand, Wellington Phoenix have been grappling with inconsistency, although they have performed well in head-to-head matchups against this opponent. Both teams are eager to improve their standings, making this match potentially thrilling.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 06 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Wellington Phoenix):
- ball possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 7;
- fouls: 7 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix:
- played 47 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 25, for the away team - 13, draws - 9;
- number of goals - 88 against 68;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.47, in the 2nd half - 1.85;
- average total goals in the match - 3.32.
Head-to-head statistics Melbourne Victory - Well. Phoenix
Melbourne Victory Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the A-League tournament (home team - Melbourne Victory, away team - Central Coast Mariners). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:1.
Here's the game statistics (Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners):
- ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 5 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 12 vs 5.
Melbourne Victory sit fourth on the table, showcasing consistent form with three wins and two draws in their last five matches. The team averages 1.73 goals per game while conceding an average of 1.27 goals. They have secured five victories in their last ten games, underscoring their strength on home turf. The team effectively balances attack and defense, allowing them to remain competitive even against formidable opponents.
Match Results: Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the A-League tournament (home team - Brisbane Roar, away - Wellington Phoenix). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here are the match stats (Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar):
- ball possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 7;
- fouls: 7 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 6.
Wellington Phoenix currently sit in eighth place in the standings, struggling to find consistent form with just two wins in their last five matches. Nonetheless, the team can create chances thanks to their attacking strategy, averaging 1.4 goals per game, though they concede an average of 2 goals over the same ten matches. Despite this challenging spell, their head-to-head history with Melbourne boosts their confidence ahead of this fixture.
Match Results: Wellington Phoenix
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 47;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 11; for visitors away - 4; number of draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 1.47;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.81, while the visitors net 0.66.
First-Half Stats: Melbourne Victory (home) vs Wellington Phoenix (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 9;
- wins: 4 (36.36%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- losses: 3 (27.27%) vs 5 (55.56%);
- draws: 4 (36.36%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average goals scored: 1.36 vs 1.56;
- Average goals conceded: 0.64 vs 0.89.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 5;
- draws: 3 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.5 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 1.1).
- Melbourne Victory scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (A-League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 47;
- home team wins - 25, away team wins - 13, draws - 9.
Statistics: Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
- matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- wins: 10 vs 6;
- win percentage: 45% vs 29%;
- losses: 7 vs 9;
- draws: 5 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 4.
- Wellington Phoenix won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 games against Melbourne Victory (A-League).
- Wellington Phoenix won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 games (A-League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.87, the guests - 1.45;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.32;
- both teams scored: overall - 29; at the home team's field - 14.
Statistics: Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
- average total in the tournament: 3 vs 3.38;
- average total goals scored: 1.73 vs 1.48;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.64 vs 0.52;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.09 vs 0.95;
- Melbourne Victory: average total at home in the tournament - 2.18;
- Wellington Phoenix: average total away in the tournament - 1.56;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.3 (home - 2.8) vs 1.4 (away - 1.5).
- Wellington Phoenix have scored under 1.5 goals in last 10 away games against Melbourne Victory (A-League).
Prediction on corners
Melbourne Victory: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.18; at home field - 5.82;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.9; at home field - 6.8.
Wellington Phoenix: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.86, away - 3.44;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 3.75.
- Wellington Phoenix have taken under 4.5 corners in last 5 away games against Melbourne Victory (A-League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 47;
- both teams scored all-time - 29 times;
- on the home team’s field - 14 times.
Statistics: Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
- number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for Melbourne Victory at home - 7 (64%);
- number of BTTS matches for Wellington Phoenix away - 7 (78%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Melbourne Victory at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Wellington Phoenix away - 3 (75%).
- Melbourne Victory have scored and conceded in last 7 games (A-League).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (17/134, 12.7%);
- Melbourne Victory at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 4:1 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Wellington Phoenix away most often play: 1:1 , 2:2 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.55% (odds 8)
1:1 - 8.99% (odds 8.5)
2:0 - 8.32% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Based on current trends and team statistics, the bet both teams to score - yes appears to be the most well-founded prediction for this match. The trend indicates that Melbourne Victory often participate in high-scoring games with both sides finding the net. Considering Wellington's ability to score even against strong opponents due to their aggressive playing style, the likelihood of both teams registering goals is extremely high.No comments
Betting Tips: Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix
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