Derby vs Southampton Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 4 October 2025
🔊 In the Championship, Derby County face Southampton. Both teams are in search of their optimal form, but their motivation to win leaves no room for compromise. The home side, sitting in the lower part of the table, aim to stabilize their results to avoid the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Southampton, with serious ambitions, will do everything possible to secure points.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Derby and Southampton:
- played 4 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 3, for the away team - 0, draws - 1;
- number of goals - 10 against 8;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.25, in the 2nd half - 3.25;
- average total goals in the match - 4.5.
Head-to-head statistics Derby - Southampton
Derby County Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Derby , away team - Charlton). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (Derby vs Charlton):
- ball possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 11 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Derby County are struggling to pick up points at the moment. The team sits in 20th place and is fighting to climb out of the danger zone. In their last five matches, they have secured one victory, recorded three draws, and suffered one defeat, indicating a measure of stability without major setbacks. However, the Rams' form still leaves much to be desired. They average 1.25 goals scored per game while conceding 1.75 goals, highlighting their defensive frailties as a significant issue for the hosts.
Match Results: Derby County
Southampton Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Sheffield United, away - Southampton). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here are the match stats (Southampton vs Sheffield United):
- ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 19 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Southampton sit above their opponents in the league standings, currently in 14th place, which gives them a certain level of confidence heading into the upcoming match. However, the Saints' form is far from perfect, with only two wins in their last eight Championship games, indicating some internal issues. Still, Will Still's men are gradually finding their rhythm. In the last round, they secured a comeback victory against Sheffield United (2-1), thanks to a brace from Ross Stewart.
Match Results: Southampton
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 4;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 0, draws - 1.
Statistics: Derby vs Southampton
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- wins: 1 vs 2;
- win percentage: 13% vs 25%;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 3;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 4.
- Derby have not won in 10 of last 11 games.
- Derby have not won in 8 of last 9 games (Championship).
- Derby have not won in last 7 home games (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.5, the guests - 2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 4.5;
- both teams scored: overall - 4; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Derby vs Southampton
- average total in the tournament: 3 vs 2.63;
- average total goals scored: 1.25 vs 1.25;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.25 vs 0.25;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1;
- Derby : average total at home in the tournament - 1.25;
- Southampton: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.25) vs 1.3 (away - 1.57).
- Derby have scored in 9 of last 10 games.
Prediction on corners
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.38; at home field - 4.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.2; at home field - 4.5.
Southampton: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6, away - 5.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6; away - 5.71.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.5 (1.75 for home team and 1.75 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.5 (1.5 for home team and 1 for away team).
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.25; at home - 2.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; at home - 2.5.
Southampton: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.88, away - 3.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; away - 3.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 4;
- both teams scored all-time - 4 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Derby vs Southampton
- number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Derby at home - 3 (75%);
- number of BTTS matches for Southampton away - 4 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Derby at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Southampton away - 5 (71%).
- Southampton have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games (Championship).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams and their last two head-to-head encounters, which ended in a 2-2 draw, a reasonable prediction would be to bet on both teams to score (yes). This wager has been successful in the vast majority of recent matches involving the "Rams." However, we don't expect the hosts to secure any points in this clash - we're predicting a 2-1 victory for the "Saints."No comments
Betting Tips: Derby County - Southampton
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in 6 of last 7 Derby County games.in 16 of last 18 Southampton games.
in last 10 Oliver Langford games (in the Championship).in 16 of last 17 Southampton away games.in 8 of last 9 Southampton games.in 7 of last 8 Southampton games (Championship).in 7 of last 8 Oliver Langford games.in 9 of last 10 games.in 11 of last 12 games.in last 7 away games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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