Fortaleza vs Ponte Preta Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 3 July 2026
Fortaleza head into their home fixture of Matchday 16 in Brazil’s Serie B firmly entrenched in the upper reaches of the table, sitting just two points shy of the automatic promotion spots. Meanwhile, Ponte Preta find themselves second from bottom, mired in the relegation zone and trailing safety by a considerable margin. Recent form underlines the gulf between the two sides: the hosts have been consistently picking up points, while the visitors continue to struggle, leaking goals and failing to turn performances into results. The contrast between Fortaleza’s solid, if unspectacular, attack and Ponte Preta’s vulnerable backline is likely to play a decisive role in shaping this encounter.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Fortaleza and Ponte Preta:
- played 12 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 5, draws - 3;
- number of goals - 15 against 19;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.83, in the 2nd half - 2;
- average total goals in the match - 2.83.
Head-to-head statistics Fortaleza - Ponte Preta
Fortaleza Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Fortaleza EC CE, away team - Recife PE). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here's the game statistics (Fortaleza vs Recife PE):
- ball possession: 40% vs 60%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 6;
- fouls: 20 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 5.
Fortaleza have shown inconsistent form lately, recording two wins, two defeats, and a draw in their last five outings. Statistically, the side are well-balanced, averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceded per match. At home, Fortaleza tend to play more open football: nine of their last ten games at their own ground have featured at least three goals. The team remain motivated in the league, with only a narrow gap separating them from the automatic promotion spots, but their current run of form leaves some doubts about their overall confidence.
Match Results: Fortaleza
Ponte Preta Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Serie B tournament (home team - Goianiense, away - Ponte Preta). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here are the match stats (Ponte Preta vs Goianiense):
- ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 14 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 10.
Ponte Preta are enduring a prolonged slump, having managed just one win and suffered eight defeats in their last ten matches. The visitors’ attack has been largely ineffective, averaging only 0.6 goals per game, while their defence continues to falter, conceding an average of 2.3 goals. A run of four consecutive losses has only deepened the crisis, and given their poor form and precarious position in the relegation zone, Ponte Preta look extremely vulnerable.
Match Results: Ponte Preta
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 12;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 1; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 4;
- Average first-half total: 0.83;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.25, while the visitors net 0.58.
First-Half Stats: Fortaleza (home) vs Ponte Preta (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- wins: 4 (57.14%) vs 1 (14.29%);
- losses: 2 (28.57%) vs 4 (57.14%);
- draws: 1 (14.29%) vs 2 (28.57%);
- Average goals scored: 1.43 vs 1.86;
- Average goals conceded: 0.57 vs 1.29.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 6;
- draws: 2 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.6 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 1.1).
- Ponte Preta conceded in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 games (Serie B).
- Ponte Preta conceded in the 1st half in last 5 away games (Serie B).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 5, draws - 3.
Statistics: Fortaleza vs Ponte Preta
- matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- wins: 7 vs 2;
- win percentage: 47% vs 13%;
- losses: 4 vs 11;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 1;
- losses: 5 vs 8;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- Ponte Preta won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 away games against Fortaleza.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.25, the guests - 1.58;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.83;
- both teams scored: overall - 8; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Fortaleza vs Ponte Preta
- average total in the tournament: 2.27 vs 2.6;
- average total goals scored: 1.2 vs 0.67;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.53 vs 0.47;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.67 vs 0.2;
- Fortaleza: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Ponte Preta: average total away in the tournament - 0.71;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.4) vs 0.6 (away - 0.5).
- Fortaleza have conceded in 11 of last 12 games against Ponte Preta.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- both teams scored all-time - 8 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Fortaleza vs Ponte Preta
- number of matches played in the tournament: 15 vs 15;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Fortaleza at home - 4 (57%);
- number of BTTS matches for Ponte Preta away - 3 (43%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Fortaleza at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Ponte Preta away - 1 (25%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (22/150, 14.7%);
- Fortaleza at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Ponte Preta away most often play: 3:0 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:0 - 11.93% (odds 5.25)
1:0 - 11.45% (odds 5.76)
2:1 - 9.99% (odds 7.09)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Recent form and statistical trends clearly favor Fortaleza, both in attack and overall consistency. However, Ponte Preta have shown resilience on the road in head-to-head clashes, rarely collapsing and often staying competitive until the final whistle. In their last six away games against Fortaleza, Ponte Preta have never lost by more than a single goal. So, even as underdogs, the visitors look capable of avoiding a heavy defeat. In this context, backing Ponte Preta with a +1.5 handicap appears to be a well-founded prediction.
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Betting Tips: Fortaleza - Ponte Preta
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