Luxembourg vs Italy Prediction

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The main thing

    📢 Can Italy avoid another disappointment? In recent years, the Azzurri have endured such poor results that they risk missing out on the World Cup for a third consecutive time. Luxembourg may not have Italy’s pedigree, but that’s precisely what makes this friendly clash at Stade de Luxembourg so intriguing.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 These teams have not faced each other in the past 10 years. 

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    Total games
    -
    Total Goals Avg
    -
    Both teams scored
    0%
    Last matches
    03.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Luxembourg
    Luxembourg
    Italy
    Italy
    -
    -
    4
    7
    13
    10
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    7
    13
    10
    1
    1
    Empty
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    Luxembourg Team Overview

    🔴 Luxembourg are one of the fastest-rising teams among Europe’s minnows. While the Red Lions have yet to make a breakthrough on the big stage, they’re no longer an easy opponent for anyone. In the qualifying campaign for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, Luxembourg failed to pick up a single point in six matches, but they were drawn into a tough group and only suffered a heavy defeat once-away to Germany (0-4).

    🔵 In March, Luxembourg fought to retain their place in League C of the Nations League, facing off against Malta. The team handled the challenge with ease: they claimed a 2-0 win on the road before cruising to a 3-0 victory at home.

    Match Results: Luxembourg

    Last matches
    03.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Luxembourg
    Luxembourg
    Italy
    Italy
    -
    -
    4
    7
    13
    10
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    7
    13
    10
    1
    1
    L
    31.03.26
    UNL
    Luxembourg
    Luxembourg
    Malta
    Malta
    1
    1.86
    1.37
    3
    6
    14
    13
    3
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1.86
    1.37
    3
    6
    14
    13
    3
    1
    W
    26.03.26
    UNL
    Malta
    Malta
    Luxembourg
    Luxembourg
    1.61
    1.84
    1
    3
    11
    11
    2
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.61
    1.84
    1
    3
    11
    11
    2
    0
    W
    17.11.25
    WC Qualification, UEFA
    Northern Ireland
    Northern Ireland
    Luxembourg
    Luxembourg
    1.37
    0.75
    5
    2
    11
    18
    3
    5
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.37
    0.75
    5
    2
    11
    18
    3
    5
    L
    14.11.25
    WC Qualification, UEFA
    Luxembourg
    Luxembourg
    Germany
    Germany
    1.08
    1.81
    4
    4
    11
    10
    3
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.08
    1.81
    4
    4
    11
    10
    3
    2
    L
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    Italy Team Overview

    🔵 Italy are widely regarded as one of Europe’s elite national teams, boasting plenty of top-tier talent in their ranks. Yet, time and again, the Azzurri’s lapses in concentration have cost them dearly at crucial moments. As a result, they have now missed out on World Cup qualification for a third consecutive cycle-their last appearance on football’s biggest stage dates back to 2014. This time around, their path to the tournament was first blocked by Norway, who topped the group with authority, and then by Bosnia and Herzegovina, who pulled off a shock in the play-off final (1-1 after regular time, 4-1 on penalties).

    ⚪ Unsurprisingly, following such a disappointing campaign, Gennaro Gattuso stepped down as head coach. The position remains vacant for now, with the Italian Football Federation weighing up several options before making a final decision. For their upcoming pair of friendlies, the squad will be led by youth team manager Silvio Baldini. The roster itself is experimental, featuring a host of young prospects and very few established names.

    Match Results: Italy

    Last matches
    03.06.26
    Int. Friendly Games
    Luxembourg
    Luxembourg
    Italy
    Italy
    -
    -
    4
    7
    13
    10
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    7
    13
    10
    1
    1
    W
    31.03.26
    WC Qualification, UEFA
    Bosnia & Herzegovina
    Bosnia & Herzegovina
    Italy
    Italy
    1
    2.18
    0.54
    7
    2
    16
    7
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    4
    1
    2.18
    0.54
    7
    2
    16
    7
    1
    1
    L
    26.03.26
    WC Qualification, UEFA
    Italy
    Italy
    Northern Ireland
    Northern Ireland
    1.36
    0.7
    12
    3
    11
    8
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.36
    0.7
    12
    3
    11
    8
    1
    0
    W
    16.11.25
    WC Qualification, UEFA
    Italy
    Italy
    Norway
    Norway
    1.72
    1.94
    6
    2
    15
    8
    3
    2
    1
    4
    1
    0
    0
    4
    1.72
    1.94
    6
    2
    15
    8
    3
    2
    L
    13.11.25
    WC Qualification, UEFA
    Moldova
    Moldova
    Italy
    Italy
    0.25
    3.33
    1
    13
    13
    8
    3
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.25
    3.33
    1
    13
    13
    8
    3
    0
    W
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    Match Outcome Prediction

    Trends
    • Luxembourg have covered a +1.5 handicap at home in seven consecutive matches (International Friendlies).
    👉Prediction: Luxembourg Handicap (+1.5) (odds: 1.46)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Trends
    • Italy have conceded in each of their last nine away matches (International Friendlies).
    👉Prediction: Luxembourg will score goal (odds: 1.78)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Trends
    • Italy have both scored and conceded in seven of their last eight away fixtures (International Friendlies).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 2.11)

    Editorial Prediction

    Italy step in as clear favourites, and the gulf in quality backs that up. Still, the Azzurri are unlikely to cruise here. Luxembourg are a resilient side and know how to make home advantage count, while Italy arrive with an experimental, untested squad. Add to that the fact that the visitors have conceded in each of their last nine away friendlies-even with their strongest lineup-and a bet on Luxembourg to score looks like a well-founded prediction.

    Our choice
    Luxembourg will score goal at odds of -133*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (1 June 2026, 21:48)

    Betting Tips: Luxembourg - Italy

    Luxembourg have drawn in the 2nd half
    luxembourg-1in 6 of last 7 home games (Int. Friendly Games).
    2nd Half Draw
    Everygame
    +175
    Luxembourg have not won
    luxembourg-1in 19 of last 21 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Italy have not lost
    italy-3in 13 of last 14 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Italy will not lose
    Everygame
    -833
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    luxembourg-1in 8 of last 9 Luxembourg games (Int. Friendly Games).
    luxembourg-1in last 6 Luxembourg home games (Int. Friendly Games).
    italy-3in last 5 Italy games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -227
    Italy have conceded
    italy-3in last 9 away games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Luxembourg will score goal
    MyBookie
    -145
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    7 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 8
    Conceded - 16
    -8
    +11
    24 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    7
    1
    Draws
    0
    7
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    8
    Scored
    24
    16
    Conceded
    13
    2.4
    Match goals average
    3.7
    0.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.4
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    2
    Both teams scored
    4
    113'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    39'
    View all stats