Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 3 April 2026
🔊 The clash between Once Caldas and Independiente Medellín promises to be thrilling, given the playing styles of both teams. Once Caldas are delivering consistent performances, currently sitting in 5th place in the standings, though their defense can occasionally falter. Independiente Medellín find themselves in 14th position but have shown a decent attacking game in recent matches. Considering Once Caldas' tendency for high-scoring home games, we can anticipate an eventful showdown on the field.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 13 October 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:5. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Once Caldas):
- ball possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 12 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 10.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Once Caldas and Independiente Medellin:
- played 42 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 13, for the away team - 15, draws - 14;
- number of goals - 52 against 61;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.31, in the 2nd half - 1.38;
- average total goals in the match - 2.69.
Head-to-head statistics Once Caldas - Independiente Medellin

Once Caldas Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primera A, with Llaneros as the hosts and Once Caldas as the visitors. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Once Caldas vs Llaneros):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 1 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 2 vs 0.
Once Caldas are in good form, boasting three wins and a draw in their last five matches. Their attacking prowess is evident, with an average of 1.85 goals per game, making their offense a formidable aspect of the team. However, their defense could be a vulnerability, as they concede frequently, averaging 1.31 goals per match. Currently sitting fifth in the standings, the team aims to solidify their position and leverage their home advantage to secure a positive outcome.
Match Results: Once Caldas

Independiente Medellin Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Primera A, with Independiente Medellin hosting America de Cali. The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Independiente Medellin vs America de Cali):
- possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 10 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Independiente Medellín are navigating a challenging season, currently sitting 14th in the league. However, their form is on the upswing, with four wins in their last five matches signaling progress. They average 1.5 goals per game and boast a relatively solid defense, conceding an average of 1.38 goals per match. The team will be eager to climb the standings and will look to capitalize on any opportunity to earn points, even against stronger opponents.
Match Results: Independiente Medellin
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 42;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 4; for visitors away - 4; number of draws - 12;
- Average first-half total: 1.31;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.62, while the visitors net 0.69.
First-Half Stats: Once Caldas (home) vs Independiente Medellin (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- wins: 3 (42.86%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 1 (14.29%) vs 3 (42.86%);
- draws: 3 (42.86%) vs 4 (57.14%);
- Average goals scored: 1.71 vs 0.71;
- Average goals conceded: 0.57 vs 0.57.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 2;
- losses: 1 vs 4;
- draws: 5 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.5) vs 1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.6).
- Once Caldas scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 42;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 15, draws - 14.
Statistics: Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 13;
- wins: 6 vs 4;
- win percentage: 46% vs 31%;
- losses: 2 vs 5;
- draws: 5 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 5;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.24, the guests - 1.45;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.69;
- both teams scored: overall - 27; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin
- average total in the tournament: 3.15 vs 2.77;
- average total goals scored: 1.85 vs 1.38;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.85 vs 0.31;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1.08;
- Once Caldas: average total at home in the tournament - 2.29;
- Independiente Medellin: average total away in the tournament - 1.29;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2.5) vs 1.5 (away - 1.6).
- Once Caldas have conceded in 18 of last 19 games against Independiente Medellin.
- Once Caldas have conceded in last 11 games against Independiente Medellin (Liga Aguila).
- Once Caldas have conceded in 10 of last 11 home games against Independiente Medellin (Liga Aguila).
- Once Caldas have conceded in 9 of last 10 home games against Independiente Medellin.
- Independiente Medellin have scored in 12 of last 13 games.
- Independiente Medellin have scored in last 9 games (Liga Aguila).
- Independiente Medellin have scored in last 6 away games.
Prediction on corners
Once Caldas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.62; at home field - 6.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.1; at home field - 6.5.
Independiente Medellin: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.85, away - 4.86;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.1; away - 6.
- Once Caldas have taken over 4.5 corners in last 8 games against Independiente Medellin.
- Once Caldas have taken over 4.5 corners in last 5 games against Independiente Medellin (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 42;
- both teams scored all-time - 27 times;
- on the home team’s field - 12 times.
Statistics: Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin
- number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 13;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Once Caldas at home - 6 (86%);
- number of BTTS matches for Independiente Medellin away - 5 (71%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Once Caldas at home - 5 (83%);
- BTTS matches for Independiente Medellin away - 5 (100%).
- Once Caldas have scored and conceded in 13 of last 15 games (Liga Aguila).
- Once Caldas have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games (Liga Aguila).
- Independiente Medellin have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games (Liga Aguila).
- Independiente Medellin have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (24/137, 17.5%);
- Once Caldas at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 4:2 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Independiente Medellin away most often play: 0:0 , 1:0 , 1:2 , 1:3 , 2:1 , 2:2 , 3:1 (1/7, 14.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.16% (odds 6.5)
2:1 - 8.7% (odds 8)
1:0 - 7.58% (odds 8)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
There is a strong likelihood of a high-scoring match with a total over 2.5 goals between these teams-especially considering the home side's potent attack and the defensive inconsistencies on both sides. The current form of both teams supports this assumption: they score frequently while making frequent defensive errors, suggesting a high probability of plenty of goals.