Newcastle vs Crystal Palace Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 4 January 2026
🔊 Who will emerge victorious in the battle for a top ten spot in the Premier League - Newcastle or Crystal Palace? There's just a single point separating the two sides, with the Eagles currently occupying a place in the top half of the table. However, the Londoners are winless in their last six matches and haven't tasted victory at St James' Park in over four and a half years. Will these streaks come to an end on Saturday? Let's evaluate the odds and other related events in our editorial's prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over their last 10 Premier League encounters, Crystal Palace have defeated Newcastle twice. The Magpies have claimed victory four times, while the teams have shared the spoils on four occasions. In 7 out of those 10 matches, the total goals scored did not exceed 2.5.
Head-to-head statistics Newcastle - Crystal Palace
Newcastle United Team Overview
The last time the Magpies soared to 10th place in the Premier League was after the fourth round, but they only held that position for a week. After 19 matches played, Newcastle sit in 13th place, yet their gap from the top ten is minimal-just one point.
In their most recent outing, Newcastle visited Burnley. The match was a back-and-forth affair. The teams almost evenly split possession (51% to 49% in favor of the visitors) and collectively fired 35 shots at each other's goals. However, Eddie Howe's side attacked with much greater efficiency (3.33 xG compared to 1.08 xG) and secured a convincing 3-1 victory.
Match Results: Newcastle United
Crystal Palace Team Overview
The "Glaziers" have gone four consecutive Premier League rounds without a victory. Extending this to all competitions, their winless streak stretches to six matches. During this period, Crystal Palace have slipped from the top four to settle at 10th place. However, the tight standings allow Oliver Glasner's team to remain just three points shy of the top five.
In the 19th round of the Premier League, Crystal Palace hosted Fulham. The derby was a spectacle to behold, even if it lacked a flurry of goals, ending in a 1-1 draw. The "Glaziers" ceded initiative to the "Cottagers," holding possession for just 40% of the match. The visitors took more shots (17 to 11), but the "Eagles" matched them in terms of quality chances (1.74 xG to 1.62 xG). Furthermore, the hosts struck first with a goal from Jean-Philippe Mateta, but they surrendered their slim lead in the 80th minute.
Match Results: Crystal Palace
Latest news
Newcastle United
🎙 Eddie Howe delivered a firm and detailed response to critics following the victory over Burnley. "Burnley's onslaught? Against us? Did you even check the match stats? You must have watched a completely different game. There was no onslaught. Yes, they had their moments, as did we. But I would never call it a 'siege.' If it truly were, I would say so. Twelve matches without a clean sheet? Funny, because I'll counter with another stat. In terms of defensive xG, we're the second-best team in the Premier League. We simply shouldn't have conceded some of those goals," the Newcastle manager stated.
❌ In the last four rounds, Newcastle have lost three players due to injuries: Dan Burn, Anthony Elanga, and Tino Livramento. Previously, Sven Botman, Emil Krafth, William Osula, and Kieran Trippier were sidelined for similar reasons. However, it's not all bad news. According to the head coach, Botman is already training with the group. Elanga, Livramento, and Trippier are also close to making their returns.
Crystal Palace
🎙 Crystal Palace have completed the signing of Brennan Johnson from Tottenham for a club-record fee. As previously reported, the deal is valued at £35 million. The 24-year-old midfielder has signed a four-and-a-half-year contract and will wear the number 11 shirt for his new team. Last season, Johnson was Spurs' top scorer with 18 goals and seven assists across all competitions. This season, the Welshman has made 16 Premier League appearances, scoring twice.
❌ The Crystal Palace injury list is overflowing. In just the last three matches, Will Hughes, Chris Richards, and Eddie Nketiah have been sidelined. Earlier, Daichi Kamada was also added to the injury list. From last season, Cheick Doucouré and Chadi Riad are still recovering from ACL injuries. Additionally, the Eagles' attacking leader Ismaïla Sarr has departed for the Africa Cup of Nations.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The appointed referee for the match is John Brooks. Over his last 20 Premier League games, he has averaged 4.8 yellow cards. In seven of his last eight matches, he has issued at least four yellow cards. The upcoming opponents don't hold back against each other either; in their last five head-to-head clashes, they have collectively received no fewer than five warnings. Given their current standings as they vie for a top-ten spot in the Premier League, we might see some rough play. Therefore, a well-founded bet would be on total yellow cards over 3.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Newcastle's defense in this Premier League campaign has been less than stellar, as noted by journalists in an interview with Eddie Howe. This issue is indeed a sore spot for the Magpies' head coach. His team has failed to keep a clean sheet for 12 consecutive rounds. The Eagles, despite a disappointing six-game streak, have managed to score in four of those matches. We anticipate that Crystal Palace will score a goal.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Eddie Howe heavily relies on his strong flanks, consistently employing a 4-3-3 formation. Newcastle's wings are indeed formidable, and the head coach has plenty of options to choose from. This is why Howe's team leads the Premier League in average corners per game over 19 rounds, with 6.26. Thus, we believe in Newcastle's total corners over 5.5.
Editor's Prediction
Bookmakers heavily favor Newcastle as the frontrunners for the upcoming clash, with odds nearly three times higher in their favor. Several factors support this choice. Firstly, the Magpies have not lost to the Eagles at St James' Park for over four years. Secondly, despite some inconsistency in their overall results, the black and whites boast an impressive unbeaten streak of ten matches across all competitions on home turf. Moreover, Crystal Palace are dealing with numerous roster setbacks. Given these circumstances, a Newcastle victory seems more plausible, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1.
No comments
Betting Tips: Newcastle United - Crystal Palace
in last 10 home games.in last 6 home games (Premier League).in last 6 games.
in 20 of last 22 Newcastle United games.in 14 of last 15 Newcastle United home games.in 12 of last 14 Newcastle United games (Premier League).in 7 of last 8 Crystal Palace games.
in 12 of last 13 John Brooks games.in last 8 John Brooks games (in the Premier League).
in 15 of last 16 Crystal Palace away games.in 10 of last 11 Crystal Palace games (Premier League).in 9 of last 10 John Brooks games (in the Premier League).in last 12 games (Premier League).in last 8 away games.in 7 of last 8 away games (Premier League).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
