Scotland vs Tonga Prediction

    Scotland
    Scotland
    Tonga
    Tonga
    56
    0
    21
    35
    0
    0

    Sunday promises an intriguing clash as Scotland take on Tonga. The Scots are clear favorites heading into this match, and it's unlikely that Tonga will pose a significant challenge to the hosts. However, it's not all so straightforward. How will this encounter unfold? Find out in our prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    The opponents have faced each other once, with the Scots emerging victorious in that encounter.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    100%
    1 Win
    0%
    0 Draws
    0%
    0 Wins
    24.09.23
    World Cup
    Scotland
    Scotland
    Tonga
    Tonga
    45
    17
    24
    10
    21
    7
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Scotland Team Overview

    Coach Gregor Townsend has made significant changes to the lineup, with only captain Sione Tuipulotu retaining his place from the team that faced Argentina. Veteran prop Zander Fagerson returns after being sidelined since April due to injury. According to media reports, Townsend is using this match as an opportunity to test the squad's depth and give a chance to both recovered and young players.

    Match Results: Scotland

    14.03.26
    Six Nations
    Ireland
    Ireland
    Scotland
    Scotland
    43
    21
    19
    7
    24
    14
    L
    07.03.26
    Six Nations
    Scotland
    Scotland
    France
    France
    50
    40
    19
    14
    31
    26
    W
    21.02.26
    Six Nations
    Wales
    Wales
    Scotland
    Scotland
    23
    26
    17
    5
    6
    21
    0
    21
    W
    14.02.26
    Six Nations
    Scotland
    Scotland
    England
    England
    31
    20
    24
    10
    7
    10
    W
    07.02.26
    Six Nations
    Italy
    Italy
    Scotland
    Scotland
    18
    15
    15
    7
    3
    8
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Tonga Team Overview

    The Tonga squad features a young and highly promising player, Fin Ilesi, representing the Dragons from Wales. Veteran Ben Tameifuna has been appointed as the captain of the islanders, leading a front line packed with physically imposing players ready to engage in contact battles. Tonga will approach the game with the intent to showcase their character: while they seldom defeat top-tier teams, against Scotland they could take advantage of squad rotation and leverage their physicality.

    Match Results: Tonga

    23.11.25
    Int. Friendly Games
    Scotland
    Scotland
    Tonga
    Tonga
    56
    0
    21
    0
    35
    0
    L
    20.09.25
    World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
    Tonga
    Tonga
    Canada
    Canada
    35
    24
    14
    7
    21
    17
    W
    14.09.25
    World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
    Tonga
    Tonga
    Japan
    Japan
    24
    62
    19
    21
    5
    41
    L
    30.08.25
    World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
    Fiji
    Fiji
    Tonga
    Tonga
    32
    10
    17
    10
    15
    0
    L
    23.08.25
    World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
    Tonga
    Tonga
    Samoa
    Samoa
    30
    16
    20
    6
    10
    10
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Editorial Prediction

    We anticipate Scotland will dominate in contact and set pieces, particularly in the first half: their fresh and experienced leadership line should provide the Scots with an edge. They will aim to control the pace, minimize errors, and leverage their physical strength in attacking plays. Our bet is on the total match points over 61.5.

    Our choice
    Total points Over (61.5) at odds of -141*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (22 November 2025, 08:08)

    Betting Tips: Scotland - Tonga

    Tonga have lost
    tonga-1in 19 of last 20 away games.
    tonga-1in 14 of last 15 away games (Int. Friendly Games).
    tonga-1in last 5 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Scotland Win
    0
    Under 62.5 points
    scotland-2in 6 of last 7 Scotland games (Int. Friendly Games).
    tonga-1in last 16 Tonga games (Int. Friendly Games).
    tonga-1in last 8 Tonga away games (Int. Friendly Games).
    tonga-1in 7 of last 8 Tonga games.
    Total points Under (62.5)
    -149
    Tonga scored over 11.5 points
    tonga-1in 16 of last 18 games.
    tonga-1in 6 of last 7 games (Int. Friendly Games).
    Tonga Total points Over (11.5)
    +102
    Under 67.5 points
    tonga-1in 12 of last 13 Tonga away games.
    Total points Under (67.5)
    -
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