Schnell vs Costa Prediction

    ⚡️ The upcoming UFC Fight Night in Las Vegas features an electrifying flyweight clash between Matt Schnell and Alessandro Costa-a true battle of contrasting styles. Both fighters bring a wealth of experience to the Octagon and are eager to showcase their strengths. Schnell, known for his aggressive grappling, will look to take the fight to the ground, while Costa aims to capitalize on his striking skills and ability to control the distance. Check out our prediction for this intriguing matchup below.

    H2H Stats Fights and Previous Results

    0%
    0 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    100%
    1 Win
    06.06.26
    UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
    Matt Schnell
    Matt Schnell
    Alessandro Costa
    Alessandro Costa
    0
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Matt Schnell Player Overview

    Matt Schnell is an American mixed martial artist with a professional record of 13 wins and 6 losses. Renowned for his aggressive grappling approach, Schnell excels at finding finishes even in challenging positions. He spends a significant amount of time on the mat, controlling opponents and relentlessly searching for submissions. His stats back up his reputation: 28.6% of his victories come via submission. While his striking game is less varied, Schnell makes up for it with high output and volume. His takedown defense sits at 50%, which allows him to keep the fight standing at times, though he often prefers to take the action to the ground himself.

    Match Results: Matt Schnell

    06.06.26
    UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
    Matt Schnell
    Matt Schnell
    Alessandro Costa
    Alessandro Costa
    0
    1
    L
    09.11.25
    UFC on ESPN 73
    Matt Schnell
    Matt Schnell
    Joseph Morales
    Joseph Morales
    0
    1
    L
    26.04.25
    UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates
    Matt Schnell
    Matt Schnell
    Jimmy Flick
    Jimmy Flick
    1
    0
    W
    07.09.24
    UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
    Matt Schnell
    Matt Schnell
    Cody Durden
    Cody Durden
    0
    1
    L
    02.03.24
    UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
    Matt Schnell
    Matt Schnell
    Steve Erceg
    Steve Erceg
    0
    1
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Alessandro Costa Player Overview

    Alessandro Costa is a Brazilian fighter with a professional record of 12 wins and 3 losses. A classic striker, Costa prefers to keep the action at range, showcasing an impressive striking arsenal. He lands 14.8 significant strikes per round with notable accuracy (42.9%). His takedown defense stands at an impressive 74%, making him a tough target for grapplers. While Costa is capable on the ground, his main advantage lies in the stand-up, where he utilizes a diverse array of combinations to inflict damage on his opponents.

    Match Results: Alessandro Costa

    06.06.26
    UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
    Matt Schnell
    Matt Schnell
    Alessandro Costa
    Alessandro Costa
    0
    1
    W
    04.04.26
    UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
    Alessandro Costa
    Alessandro Costa
    Stewart Nicoll
    Stewart Nicoll
    1
    0
    W
    13.09.25
    UFC Fight Night 259
    Alessandro Costa
    Alessandro Costa
    Alden Coria
    Alden Coria
    0
    1
    L
    04.05.24
    UFC 301: Pantoja vs.Erceg
    Alessandro Costa
    Alessandro Costa
    Kevin Borjas
    Kevin Borjas
    1
    0
    W
    12.11.23
    UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
    Steve Erceg
    Steve Erceg
    Alessandro Costa
    Alessandro Costa
    1
    0
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Given the fighters’ styles and tactical approaches, this bout is unlikely to end in a hurry. Schnell will need time to find his range and look for opportunities to take the fight to the ground, while Costa aims to control the distance and fend off takedown attempts. Both athletes have distinct strengths and the ability to adjust inside the Octagon, which makes an early finish in the opening round rather improbable. We’re expecting a drawn-out contest here. Backing over 0.5 rounds at these solid odds looks like a reasonable prediction.

    Our choice
    Total Over (0.5) at odds of -122*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (4 June 2026, 09:32)