Souza vs Carnelossi Prediction

    ⭐️ In the upcoming bantamweight bout at the world’s premier promotion, two Brazilian fighters with similar backgrounds-Ketlen Souza and Ariane Carnelossi-are set to clash. Souza, a UFC veteran, boasts a well-rounded skill set, blending Brazilian jiu-jitsu expertise with the striking power of Muay Thai. Her recent decision win over Bruna Brasil showcased her ability to dictate the tempo and secure results. On the other side, Carnelossi brings a more explosive approach and is known for her knockout power. However, her latest loss via submission exposed some vulnerabilities on the ground, highlighting potential risks if the fight hits the mat. How will this matchup play out? Find our prediction below.

    H2H Stats Fights and Previous Results

    100%
    1 Win
    0%
    0 Draws
    0%
    0 Wins
    06.06.26
    UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
    Ketlen Souza
    Ketlen Souza
    Ariane Carnelossi
    Ariane Carnelossi
    1
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Ketlen Souza Player Overview

    Ketlin remains composed and calculated inside the cage. At 31, she boasts a versatile stance, a solid BJJ foundation, and Muay Thai skills that make her a threat both on the ground and at range. Her record features 16 wins, including 8 by knockout and 2 by submission-proof she can finish fights in multiple ways, but also has the discipline to go the distance when necessary. Five first-round stoppages highlight her ability to start aggressively, yet her latest victory by decision shows she’s willing to stick to the game plan and work patiently. Her key asset is the ability to take the fight to the mat and maintain control whenever the situation demands.

    Match Results: Ketlen Souza

    06.06.26
    UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
    Ketlen Souza
    Ketlen Souza
    Ariane Carnelossi
    Ariane Carnelossi
    1
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Ariane Carnelossi Player Overview

    Ariane is a seasoned 33-year-old fighter boasting a well-rounded blend of BJJ and kickboxing. In her professional career, she has racked up 15 wins, including 9 knockouts and 2 submissions. Ariane thrives when dictating the pace, pressing forward on the feet and hunting for the finish with rapid-fire combinations-a style that has earned her plenty of early stoppages. However, her recent submission loss to Talita Alencar exposed some vulnerabilities against high-level grapplers. Ariane’s striking stats and knockout history show she can end a fight in an instant, but she’s also susceptible to tactical pitfalls. Her main objective will be to steer clear of prolonged ground exchanges and prevent her opponent from taking the fight into their comfort zone.

    Match Results: Ariane Carnelossi

    06.06.26
    UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
    Ketlen Souza
    Ketlen Souza
    Ariane Carnelossi
    Ariane Carnelossi
    1
    0
    L
    01.11.25
    UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama
    Talita Alencar
    Talita Alencar
    Ariane Carnelossi
    Ariane Carnelossi
    1
    0
    L
    18.05.24
    UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
    Piera Rodriguez
    Piera Rodriguez
    Ariane Carnelossi
    Ariane Carnelossi
    0
    1
    W
    07.05.22
    UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
    Ariane Carnelossi
    Ariane Carnelossi
    Lupita Godinez
    Lupita Godinez
    0
    1
    L
    16.10.21
    UFC Fight Night - Ladd vs. Dumont
    Istela Nunes
    Istela Nunes
    Ariane Carnelossi
    Ariane Carnelossi
    0
    1
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    ⭐ Editor’s Prediction

    We expect this bout to last over 2.5 rounds. Both Brazilians are proven finishers, but when they face off, tactical discipline and caution are likely to outweigh any urge to take risks. Souza has shown she can stick to the game plan, patiently working her way to the ground and neutralizing her opponent’s explosive attacks. Carnelossi, despite her striking power, is likely to fight more cautiously after her recent submission loss, opting for a measured approach rather than going all-in. All signs point to this contest going the distance.

    Our choice
    Total Over (2.5) at odds of -256*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (4 June 2026, 09:04)