Torpedo vs Metallurg Magnitogorsk Prediction
🔊 Metallurg have taken a 3-0 lead in the series for the second time in this playoff run. In the first round against Sibir, they couldn't close out the matchup without returning home. Will they manage to secure a ten-day break after the next game in Nizhny Novgorod? Let's delve into the statistical trends and patterns to offer an optimal prediction for the fourth game of the second-round series in the Gagarin Cup, scheduled for April 15, 2026.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the past three seasons, Metallurg and Torpedo have faced off nine times. In the regular season during this period, both clubs secured three victories each. However, all three playoff games went to the Ural club, with scores of 4-3 and 4-1 in Magnitogorsk, and 4-2 in Nizhny Novgorod. Magnitogorsk have consistently scored at least four goals against their opponent in eight consecutive matches. At home, Torpedo have lost to their rivals in 9 out of the last 10 games, all in regulation time.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Torpedo N. Novgorod Team Overview
Volzhane have been putting on a fairly high-scoring display in the current playoffs, although it's not quite enough in the series against Metallurg. While "Magnitka" finished the first round conceding no more than one goal per match, Nizhny Novgorod have managed to upset the regular season's best team more than once in two out of three games. On average, during regulation time in the Gagarin Cup, Torpedo score 2.38 goals while conceding 2.88.
At home, Volzhane ended a three-game winning streak, yet extended their scoring run-Torpedo have scored at least twice in six consecutive home games. On average, in the current playoffs at "Nagorny," the Avtozavodtsy score and concede 2.33 goals during regulation time.
In power plays, Torpedo have scored twice during the playoffs. Their power play conversion rate of 15.4% ranks just 14th among all Gagarin Cup teams. In penalty killing, the Avtozavodtsy have conceded three times, boasting an 85% opponent power play neutralization rate-fifth-best in the tournament.
Match Results: Torpedo N. Novgorod

Metallurg Magnitogorsk Team Overview
Scoring four times in a nine-minute span during the second period, Metallurg extended their series lead over Torpedo to a commanding threefold advantage. However, the team once again conceded two or more goals, marking the second occurrence in the series. The Foxes' scoring average in the 2026 Gagarin Cup stands at 3.13 goals scored and 1.13 goals allowed per game.
On the road, Metallurg remain unbeaten in regulation over their last three outings, never conceding more than two goals in those matches. Away from Magnitogorsk in the 2026 Gagarin Cup, the team averages 2.33 goals during regulation while allowing just 1.00.
The Ural club, with four power-play goals, finds themselves mid-table, dropping out of the top 10 in conversion rate (15.4%). Meanwhile, Metallurg have successfully killed off 89.5% of opponents' power plays, allowing only two goals-a league-best performance among teams still vying for the trophy.
Match Results: Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Latest news
Torpedo N. Novgorod
💬 Torpedo's head coach Alexey Isakov: “I have no complaints about the players' commitment. We're falling short in the details. We'll work on correcting these and aim to keep this series going. We have too many errors in our passes, and we want to reduce them. We need to improve our puck handling quality.”
❌ Torpedo's injury list is clear.
↔️ Out of the lineup for the third match are defenseman Denis Alexandrov, and forwards Kirill Svishchev and Shane Prince. Unexpectedly, Alexey Kruchinin returns to the roster after missing the last game due to a coaching decision. Sergey Boykov took his place in defense, while Timur Mukhanov played in attack.
Metallurg Magnitogorsk
💬 Metallurg's head coach Andrey Razin: "I can only commend our penalty-killing unit. As for our power play struggles, we need to work on that aspect. If we consider the average level of our defensemen, they are slightly more skilled and experienced. In terms of offense, our players are also a bit more technical and mobile. But it's not the names that play hockey; it's the people."
❌ Among Metallurg's injured players is Dmitry Silantyev, one of the team's top scorers from the regular season.
↔️ After securing a victory in the second game of the series, Andrey Razin decided not to change the lineup. Captain and defenseman Alexey Maklyukov remains out, as he requires more time to recover.
⚡️ Key Players
For Torpedo, Vladislav Firstov remains the top scorer with 3 goals and 4 assists, although he failed to register points in two of the three games in the series. Among Nizhny Novgorod's main goal scorers are Vladimir Tkachev and Sergey Goncharuk, each with three goals. Maxim Letunov and Bogdan Konyushkov stand out as playmakers, contributing four assists each. Amir Garaev has scored in every match against Magnitka.
For Metallurg, forward Vladimir Tkachev leads the scoring race with 7 points (2 goals, 5 assists). Sergey Tolchinsky (2 goals, 4 assists) has climbed to second place among the Foxes' scorers. Nikita Mikhailis (3 goals, 2 assists), Robin Press (2 goals, 3 assists), and Derek Barach (1 goal, 4 assists) each have five points. Both Barach and Tolchinsky have scored in every game of the current series.
🥅 Goalkeepers
The saying "where it is thin, it breaks" aptly describes Torpedo's goaltending situation. Denis Kostin, despite maintaining a steady save percentage, has conceded four goals in each of the three games in the series. He was pulled midway through the second period in the last game. Kostin leads the KHL in saves with 251 but ranks only 19th in save percentage (91.6%) and 20th in goals-against average (2.95). Backup goalie Dmitry Shugaev played just over a period in the third game, stopping five shots.
Alexander Smolin has completed 7 out of 8 playoff games with a save percentage above 90%, most recently saving 21 shots (91.3%) against Nizhny Novgorod. In terms of playoff efficiency (94.9%), Metallurg's goaltender ranks fourth, as well as in goals-against average (1.20). Due to a match penalty, he once ceded the net to Ilya Nabokov, who allowed just one goal over nearly 70 minutes against Novosibirsk.
Editor's Prediction
Throughout their KHL history, Metallurg have gone up 3-0 in a series six times before this season, and in each of those instances, the fourth game was low-scoring, with teams not netting more than five goals per game. Notably, in the recent seasons, Metallurg have played a low-scoring game (no more than five goals) in six out of seven series when they had the chance to advance to the next round. The editorial choice for the fourth game of the series is a total under 5.5 goals. This option has been profitable in nine of Metallurg's last eleven away games.
