Fenerbahce vs Efes Prediction
🔊 In Istanbul, two Turkish basketball giants, Fenerbahçe and Anadolu Efes, are set to clash. This season, both teams find themselves on different paths: the hosts aim to solidify their leadership in the EuroLeague, while the visitors have slipped to second-to-last due to a string of defeats. Can the nominal visitors challenge the reigning champions? We have our doubts. Let's delve into how this matchup might unfold and provide an insightful prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊Statistical analysis of previous official games between the teams Fenerbahce Istanbul and Efes Anadolu Istanbul:
- played 96 matches;
- wins (including extra time): 48 for today's home team and 48 for the guests;
- the home team averages 80.76 points per match, the guests - 79.78;
- average total match points - 160.54.
The last confrontation took place on 14 December 2025 at the venue of Fenerbahce Istanbul and ended with a score of 97:94.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Fenerbahce Istanbul Team Overview
Fenerbahce are showcasing impressive form, securing four wins in their last five EuroLeague outings. The team shares the top spot with Hapoel, thanks to their solid defense (allowing 79.4 points per game, ranked 1st), which enables them to confidently win games even with average offensive stats (82.2 points per game, ranked 16th). It's no surprise that the franchise has surpassed the 84.5-point mark in 8 of their last 9 EuroLeague matches.
In the previous round, Jasikevicius's squad easily handled Saski Baskonia at home (84-71), employing their trademark suffocating defense on their end of the court. The rest was a matter of execution, given the reliability of their defense and the excellent physical condition of most players. The season is unfolding just as the Lithuanian coach predicted: a slow start, but by winter, the club would hit full stride. And that's exactly what has happened.
Match Results: Fenerbahce Istanbul

Efes Anadolu Istanbul Team Overview
Anadolu Efes are going through a tough stretch, having lost their last five EuroLeague games. They currently sit second to last in the standings, clearly struggling both defensively and offensively. At the start of the season, they were considered among the Top 6 favorites.
Despite these challenges, the team can still occasionally surprise with flashes of high-quality basketball against the tournament's frontrunners. However, these instances are too infrequent to compete effectively against motivated and well-coordinated opponents. In their previous matchup, Anadolu held their own for most of the game against Olympiacos, but a disastrous first quarter (1:25) undermined all their efforts, resulting in a 68:74 loss.
Match Results: Efes Anadolu Istanbul
Prediction for the 1st quarter
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 96;
- First quarter wins at home for the hosts - 26; for the visitors on the road - 16;
- Average total points in the first quarter: 39.05;
- Today's home team averages 20.28, while the visitors average 18.77.
First Quarter Stats: Fenerbahce Istanbul (home) vs Efes Anadolu Istanbul (away)
- Tournament matches played: 13 vs 11;
- Number of wins: 6 (46.15%) vs 4 (36.36%);
- Number of losses: 6 (46.15%) vs 7 (63.64%);
- Number of draws: 1 (7.69%) vs 0 (0%).
- Average points scored: 18.62 vs 22.09;
- Average points conceded: 18.15 vs 22.27.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 3 vs 6;
- Number of losses: 7 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 0;
- Average first quarter total: 42.3 (scored - 20.9, conceded - 21.4) vs 38.6 (scored - 20, conceded - 18.6).
- Over 39.5 points in the 1st quarter in last 6 Fenerbahce Istanbul games (Euroleague).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of matchups - 96;
- number of wins for the home team - 48, for the away team - 48.
Statistics: Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Efes Anadolu Istanbul
- number of tournament matches played: 23 vs 24;
- number of wins: 16 (69.57%) vs 6 (25%);
- number of losses: 7 (30.43%) vs 18 (75%);
- number of wins at home for the home team: 10;
- number of away wins for the away team: 3.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 9 vs 3;
- number of losses: 1 vs 7;
- number of home wins for the home team: 5;
- number of away wins for the away team: 1.
- Efes Anadolu Istanbul won with a +13.5 points handicap in 10 of last 11 away games (Euroleague).
- Efes Anadolu Istanbul won with a +13.5 points handicap in last 9 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H:
- average total points per match for the home team - 80.76, for the away team - 79.78;
- average total points in H2H matches - 160.54.
Statistics: Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Efes Anadolu Istanbul
- average total in the tournament: 161.61 vs 163.54;
- average total points scored: 82.22 vs 78.83;
- average total points conceded: 79.39 vs 84.71;
- average total points scored in the 1st half: 38.48 vs 40.5;
- average total points scored in the 2nd half: 43.74 vs 36.71;
- Fenerbahce Istanbul: average total points scored at home in the tournament - 80.15;
- Efes Anadolu Istanbul: average total points scored away in the tournament - 81.55;
- last 10 matches (average total points scored): 88.6 (home - 86.6) vs 78.1 (away - 76.5).
- Under 164.5 points scored in last 6 Efes Anadolu Istanbul games (Euroleague).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams, a low-scoring encounter seems likely. Fenerbahce favor a slow-paced style with a focus on ball movement and defense. They should have little trouble handling the mediocre offense of their local rivals Efes, who rank second to last in the EuroLeague with an average of 78.8 points per game. Moreover, the visitors are still without their injured playmaker Larkin. Therefore, the reigning champions should comfortably score their usual 83-85 points and settle there. We suggest betting on total under 164.5.