Pirates vs Mariners Prediction 24 June 2026

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The main thing

    📡 Seattle opened the series in Pittsburgh with a 3-2 win, sealing the game thanks to a two-run homer from Cole Young in the seventh inning. The Mariners were far from flawless-defensively, they committed three errors, and the Pirates had several late opportunities to turn the game around. Still, the visitors held their nerve under pressure and proved they can close out tight contests. Now, Pittsburgh face a response in front of their home crowd, as a second straight defeat would leave them in a tough spot in this series.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Over their last 10 head-to-head matchups, the Seattle Mariners have come out on top seven times, while the Pittsburgh Pirates have claimed three wins. Seattle’s 3-2 victory in the opening game of this series further tilted the balance in their favor, but the head-to-head record doesn’t tell the whole story-many of these games have been decided by just a play or two. Pittsburgh know how to challenge Seattle at home, yet it’s the Mariners who tend to capitalize better in the late innings. In tight contests, the visitors have consistently managed to turn narrow margins into wins down the stretch.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    31%
    5 Wins
    69%
    11 Wins
    23.06.26
    MLB
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle Mariners
    2
    3
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    06.07.25
    MLB
    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle Mariners
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    06.07.25
    MLB
    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle Mariners
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    04.07.25
    MLB
    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle Mariners
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    6
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    18.08.24
    MLB
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle Mariners
    3
    10
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
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    Pittsburgh Pirates Team Overview

    Pittsburgh enter the matchup with a 39-40 record and are 20-20 at home. The opener of the series showcased both the strengths and weaknesses of the hosts: while the team managed to apply pressure and launched two home runs, they failed to capitalize on enough opportunities against Seattle’s pitching staff. The Pirates still rely heavily on production from the top of their order and often struggle to generate extended rallies from the heart of the lineup. For Pittsburgh, it’s crucial not to let the Mariners reach the late innings with the score level, as that’s when the visitors tend to look more composed and execute under pressure.

    Match Results: Pittsburgh Pirates

    23.06.26
    MLB
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle Mariners
    2
    3
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    L
    21.06.26
    MLB
    Colorado Rockies
    Colorado Rockies
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    6
    8
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    3
    3
    0
    2
    0
    W
    21.06.26
    MLB
    Colorado Rockies
    Colorado Rockies
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    L
    20.06.26
    MLB
    Colorado Rockies
    Colorado Rockies
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    4
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    3
    L
    18.06.26
    MLB
    Oakland Athletics
    Oakland Athletics
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    4
    12
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    5
    0
    0
    1
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Seattle Mariners Team Overview

    Seattle improve their record to 41-39, now holding a 19-20 mark on the road. In the series opener, the Mariners didn’t dominate, but they delivered when it mattered most and managed to hold on through a tense finish. Cole Young drove in two runs with a home run, while the bullpen protected a narrow lead despite some defensive miscues. The team remains heavily reliant on production from the top of the order, but in Pittsburgh they showcased a crucial trait-winning even when the offense isn’t firing on all cylinders. That ability could become a key psychological advantage heading into Game 2.

    Match Results: Seattle Mariners

    23.06.26
    MLB
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle Mariners
    2
    3
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    W
    21.06.26
    MLB
    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle Mariners
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox
    3
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    W
    21.06.26
    MLB
    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle Mariners
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox
    1
    5
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    L
    20.06.26
    MLB
    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle Mariners
    Boston Red Sox
    Boston Red Sox
    2
    6
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    0
    2
    1
    L
    18.06.26
    MLB
    Seattle Mariners
    Seattle Mariners
    Baltimore Orioles
    Baltimore Orioles
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    ⚾ Starting Pitchers

    Braxton Ashcraft gets the start for Pittsburgh. The right-hander owns a 6-3 record with a 3.18 ERA and 57 strikeouts. Ashcraft has enjoyed a steadier campaign than many other Pirates starters, mixing his pitches effectively and keeping hitters low in the zone. However, the Mariners are likely to work deep into counts and wait for mistakes, especially after getting a look at the home bullpen in Game 1. For Ashcraft, avoiding early walks ahead of Seattle’s power hitters will be crucial.

    Bryan Woo takes the mound for the Mariners. The righty comes in at 6-5 with a 3.94 ERA and 73 strikeouts. Woo racks up outs with his velocity and strong fastball command, but he’s had his share of trouble after the lineup turns over a second time. Pittsburgh have already shown they can handle this type of pitcher and threaten with extra-base hits. For Woo, limiting free passes and keeping the hosts from building momentum through the first five innings will be key.


    ⭐ Editor’s Prediction

    Ashcraft has put up a stronger season line, so Pittsburgh pose a real threat as they look to level the series. However, the Mariners have been the better side in this matchup over their last 10 games, having already taken the opener and proving they can close out tight contests. Seattle get solid innings from Woo, and their lineup is better suited to edge out close games where a play or two makes all the difference. The Pirates may keep things even for a while, but over the course of nine innings, we back a Seattle Mariners win.

    Our choice
    Seattle Mariners Win at odds of -102*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (24 June 2026, 04:34)

    Will this prediction come true?

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    Betting Tips: Pittsburgh Pirates - Seattle Mariners

    Pittsburgh Pirates have lost:
    pittsburgh-piratesseattle-marinersin last 5 games against Seattle Mariners (MLB).
    Seattle Mariners Win
    MyBookie
    -102
    Under 9.5 runs scored:
    pittsburgh-piratesseattle-marinersin 8 of last 9 Pittsburgh Pirates games against Seattle Mariners (MLB).
    Total Under (9,5)
    -250
    Pittsburgh Pirates have scored under 3.5 runs:
    pittsburgh-piratesseattle-marinersin last 5 games against Seattle Mariners (MLB).
    Pittsburgh Pirates Total Under (3,5)
    +100
    Seattle Mariners have scored under 3.5 runs:
    seattle-marinersin last 9 games (MLB).
    Seattle Mariners Total Under (3,5)
    +100
    View more facts