Cubs vs Pirates Prediction

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    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    7
    6
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
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    1
    1
    4
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    📡 The series at Wrigley Field is turning into a tough challenge for the hosts. After a 0-2 loss in the first game, the Cubs fell to Pittsburgh once again in the second game, this time 3-4 in 11 innings. The Pirates have now clinched victories in Chicago for two consecutive nights, and Jameson Taillon and Bubba Chandler are officially slated for April 12. For the hosts, this game is not just about responding but about preventing a home sweep.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In the last 10 games, Chicago hold a slight edge with 7 wins against 3 losses. However, their matchups have recently been characterized by low scores. Seven out of these 10 head-to-heads have hit the under, with one resulting in a push. The current series at Wrigley Field only reinforces this trend: first (0-2), then (3-4) in 11 innings. Clearly, this isn't a matchup where one side easily pulls ahead.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    56%
    122 Wins
    43%
    93 Wins
    28.05.26
    MLB
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    2
    7
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1
    27.05.26
    MLB
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    4
    10
    0
    2
    0
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    6
    0
    0
    0
    0
    26.05.26
    MLB
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    12
    1
    5
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    25.05.26
    MLB
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    12.04.26
    MLB
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    7
    6
    0
    1
    0
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
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    Chicago Cubs Team Overview

    The Cubs are currently grappling with two major issues: a lack of timely hits and a sense that the series is slipping away from them. Bleed Cubbie Blue highlighted after Saturday's game that the hosts once again clawed their way back into contention, found a late response, yet still lost due to a defensive error and missed opportunities. This is particularly painful in a home series where the team clearly lacks not so much skill as the composure needed in crucial moments.

    Match Results: Chicago Cubs

    06.06.26
    MLB
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    San Francisco Giants
    San Francisco Giants
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    W
    05.06.26
    MLB
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    San Francisco Giants
    San Francisco Giants
    3
    18
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    6
    0
    1
    1
    7
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    2
    L
    05.06.26
    MLB
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    Oakland Athletics
    Oakland Athletics
    7
    6
    0
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    0
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    0
    0
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    1
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    0
    1
    3
    2
    2
    0
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    4
    0
    W
    04.06.26
    MLB
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    Oakland Athletics
    Oakland Athletics
    4
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    1
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    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
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    0
    0
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    1
    L
    03.06.26
    MLB
    Chicago Cubs
    Chicago Cubs
    Oakland Athletics
    Oakland Athletics
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    L
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    Pittsburgh Pirates Team Overview

    The Pirates, on the other hand, currently look like a team that maintains control of the game even in challenging environments. After a shutout victory on Friday, they withstood Chicago's response on Saturday and clinched the win in extra innings. For a young team, this is a significant indicator: an away series against a historically tough opponent is no longer about a single lucky game but about consistent confidence in the late stages. This speaks volumes about Pittsburgh's current form.

    Match Results: Pittsburgh Pirates

    06.06.26
    MLB
    Atlanta Braves
    Atlanta Braves
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    6
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    2
    3
    1
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    0
    0
    0
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    L
    05.06.26
    MLB
    Atlanta Braves
    Atlanta Braves
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    6
    3
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2
    3
    0
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
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    L
    05.06.26
    MLB
    Houston Astros
    Houston Astros
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    1
    5
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    W
    04.06.26
    MLB
    Houston Astros
    Houston Astros
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    11
    9
    0
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    4
    1
    0
    0
    1
    2
    3
    6
    1
    L
    03.06.26
    MLB
    Houston Astros
    Houston Astros
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    6
    10
    2
    0
    0
    2
    1
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    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    0
    0
    3
    2
    1
    W
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    ⚾️ Starting Pitchers

    For Chicago, Jameson Taillon takes the mound. As of April 12, he holds a 0-1 record, a 2.53 ERA, and 7 strikeouts. Both the Cubs' and Pirates' probable pitchers lists confirm him for this game. Following two disappointing home losses, the Cubs finally have a reliable starter to steer the game into more manageable territory.

    Pittsburgh will field Bubba Chandler. His stats as of April 12 are a 0-1 record, a 3.12 ERA, and 10 strikeouts. The official probable pitchers pages for both teams list him as the starter. Although this isn't the easiest road start for the visitors, the current series form allows the Pirates to enter the matchup without feeling pressured to take risks from the opening innings.

    Editor's Prediction

    Two consecutive home defeats make this game almost a must-win for Chicago. Now, the Cubs have their starting pitcher who looks reliable enough based on current stats to change the course of this series. We believe a Chicago Cubs victory is the most logical outcome here. If Jameson Taillon can prevent Pittsburgh from taking an early lead again, the hosts have every chance to turn this series around in their favor.

    Our choice
    Chicago Cubs Win at odds of -133*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (12 April 2026, 04:35)

    Betting Tips: Chicago Cubs - Pittsburgh Pirates

    Under 12.5 runs scored
    chicago-cubspittsburgh-piratesin last 18 Chicago Cubs games against Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB).
    Total Under (12.5)
    -118
    Under 11.5 runs scored
    chicago-cubsin last 12 Chicago Cubs games (MLB).
    pittsburgh-piratesin 11 of last 12 Pittsburgh Pirates away games.
    pittsburgh-piratesin last 7 Pittsburgh Pirates away games (MLB).
    Total Under (11.5)
    +115
    Under 10.5 runs scored
    chicago-cubspittsburgh-piratesin last 9 Chicago Cubs home games against Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB).
    chicago-cubsin last 6 Chicago Cubs home games (MLB).
    pittsburgh-piratesin last 8 Pittsburgh Pirates games (MLB).
    Total Under (10.5)
    -
    Chicago Cubs won with a +1.5 handicap
    chicago-cubspittsburgh-piratesin 15 of last 16 games against Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB).
    chicago-cubspittsburgh-piratesin 9 of last 10 home games against Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB).
    Chicago Cubs Handicap (+1.5)
    -200
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