Liga Portugal Predictions: Round 28: 04/04 - 07/04
Sporting and Benfica are locked in a fierce battle for the championship title with seven rounds left in the Liga Portugal. While at the bottom of the table, five teams are battling to avoid relegation.
This week’s Liga Portugal gameweek 28 predictions were made based on current form, expert knowledge, and data.
Liga Portugal gameweek 28 predictions
Estoril must return with at least a point: AVS vs Estoril
- Date: 04/04/2025
- Kick Off: 21:15 CET
- The only time these two teams met was earlier this season, and it ended 0-0.
AVS suffered their third consecutive defeat after losing away to Famalicao 4-1. The hosts have drawn five and lost five of their 13 home games in the league. Estoril’s away record shows three wins and five draws.
They are unbeaten in six of their seven away games against lower-ranked teams. Both teams have no reported injuries at the time of writing.
AVS vs Estoril Prediction: Estoril to Win or Draw
Arouca are favorites to win at least one half: Arouca vs Famalicão
- Date: 05/04/2025
- Kick Off: 19:00 CET
- Arouca won one of the halves in three of the last five H2H meetings.
A 2-1 away defeat was the end result when Arouca visited Sporting Braga. The hosts have won at least one half in nine of their last 11 matches. Famalicão beat AVS 4-1 at home in the previous round.
They have lost at least one half in two of their last four matches in the league. Simao is questionable for Arouca, while Galovic has a knee injury. There are no injured players on the Famalicão team.
Arouca vs Famalicao Prediction: Arouca to Win at Least One Half
The stats point to a low-scoring game: Vitoria Guimaraes vs Santa Clara
- Date: 05/04/2025
- Kick Off: 21:30 CET
- Five of the last six H2H meetings ended with two or fewer goals.
Eight of Vitoria Guimaraes’s last nine games produced under 2.5 goals, as did 56% of their games in the Liga Portugal.
The percentage is even higher in Santa Clara’s fixtures, with 70%, and their games in the league end with two or fewer goals. Silva is questionable for Vitoria, while Pacheco is out until June for Santa Clara.
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Santa Clara Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals
Moreirense to score at least a goal: Gil Vicente vs Moreirense
- Date: 06/04/2025
- Kick Off: 16:30 CET
- Moreirense scored at least a goal in three of the past five H2H meetings.
With the 3-0 home defeat at the hands of Benfica in round 26, Gil Vicente failed to keep a clean sheet in their last six home games.
Moreirense, on the other hand, scored at least a goal in 74% of their games and in their previous seven of eight games in the league. There are no injuries on Gil Vicente’s team. Moreirense’s Infande is out with an ACL injury
Gil Vicente vs Moreirense Prediction: Moreirense to Score Over 1 Goal
A game with at least two goals: Nacional vs Estrela
- Date: 06/04/2025
- Kick Off: 16:30 CET
- Two of the last three H2H meetings in Madeira saw three or more goals.
Nacional’s last seven home games have been quite entertaining, with all of them seeing two or more goals. There were 2.33 goals per game scored in their games throughout the season and 2.30 in Estrela’s matches.
63% of the visitors’ games over two goals.’ games have produced over two goals. Nacional have a fully fit squad, and so does Estrela.
Nacional vs Estrela Prediction: Over 2 Goals
A combined bet for this matchup: FC Porto vs Benfica
- Date: 06/04/2025
- Kick Off: 21:30 CET
- FC Porto have won three of the last four H2H meetings in Porto, which also ended with over 1.5 goals.
FC Porto have won ten and drawn three of their 13 home games, while 93% of their games produced over 1.5 goals. Benfica, on the other hand, have failed against the double chance in five of their 13 away matches.
85% of the visitors’ matches saw two or more goals, averaging 3.15 goals per game.’ matches featured two or more goals, averaging 3.15 goals per game. Jaime and Sousa are injured, while Navarro and Grujić are questionable for FC Porto. On Benfica’s side, Gouveia, Silva and Bah are all out.
FC Porto vs Benfica Prediction: FC Porto to Win or Draw and Over 1.5 Goals
Two teams in poor form may settle for a draw: Farense vs Casa Pia
- Date: 07/04/2025
- Kick Off: 19:45 CET
- There was a 1-1 draw the last time these two teams met earlier this season.
Farense are in the relegation zone and will fight for a point. Their home record shows ten defeats in 13 games. Casa Pia ended a three-match losing streak with a 2-1 home win over Rio Ave.
However, they have drawn two of their four away games with the bottom seven teams. Farense have no injured players, while Casa Pia’s Kiki is out and Mendes is doubtful.
Farense vs Casa Pia Prediction: Draw
Rio Ave to bounce back: Rio Ave vs Boavista
- Date: 07/04/2025
- Kick Off: 21:15 CET
- Rio Ave beat Boavista in two of the last three meetings without conceding a goal.
Despite a three-game losing streak, Rio Ave are the favorites to win this game. They have lost just two of their 11 home games, having lost only to the top two. Boavista’s away record shows eight defeats and three draws in 13 games.
They lost eight of their 11 away games against the top 11 teams. Rio Ave’s Petrasso and Medina are doubtful, while Boavista’s Ferreira, Ribeiro, Pires and Goncalves are injured.
Rio Ave vs Boavista Prediction: Rio Ave to Win
A difficult fixture for the leaders: Sporting vs Sporting Braga
- Date: 07/04/2025
- Kick Off: 21:45 CET
- The last three times these teams met in Lisbon, Sporting won by 5-0.
Sporting continued their impressive run by beating Estrela 3-0 on the road. They are undefeated in 14 games. Braga are also in good form, winning three in a row.
The stats show a 63% possibility for this game to produce over 2.5 goals. Sporting’s Braganca and Santos are suffering from ACL injuries, while there are no injuries on Braga’s side.
