Liga Portugal Predictions: Porto vs Arouca, Sporting vs Estoril: 01/03-03/03
Gameweek 24 of Liga Portugal promises an exciting set of fixtures as teams continue their pursuit of crucial points in the race for European spots and to avoid relegation.
Sporting continued to drop points and are now caught up by Benfica and lead only through goal difference. FC Porto couldn’t take advantage of the situation and managed a draw at home.
Braga are comfortably in fourth position now with an eight-point gap to their chasers, Santa Clara. At the bottom of the table, Boavista seem to have surrendered to their fate, while four to five teams are fighting hard in the battle to avoid relegation.
This week’s Liga Portugal gameweek 24 predictions were made based on current form, expert knowledge, and data.
Liga Portugal Gameweek 24 Predictions: 01/03-03/03
Famalicão to avoid defeat when they travel to Madeira: Nacional vs Famalicão
- Date: 01/03/2025
- Kick Off: 15:30 UTC
- Nacional, who are 13th with 23 points, will host ninth-placed Famalicao with 31 points. Famalicão are unbeaten in three of the last four H2H meetings.
Nacional continue to be inconsistent in their games, as they have had a different outcome in all of their last four matches. In the previous round, Nacional lost 1-0 away to Braga and suffered their fourth defeat in the last eight games. Famalicão are in relatively better form, having gone unbeaten in five games. They won their last game by beating Moreirense 2-0 at home, which was their second consecutive win. Famalicão have not conceded a single goal in the last five matches and have picked up 1.50 points per game in the last eight rounds.
Nacional vs Famalicao Prediction: Famalicao to Win or Draw
Can FC Porto return from Arouca with at least a point? Arouca vs FC Porto
- Date: 01/03/2025
- Kick Off: 18:00 UTC
- Arouca, who are 12th with 25 points, will take on FC Porto, who are third with 47 points. Four of the last five H2H meetings ended with over two goals.
Arouca are showing some impressive form, as they have been unbeaten in eight games now. In their latest outing, Arouca drew 2-2 on the road with Farense and recorded their third consecutive stalemate. The hosts have not lost at home in five games, winning two and drawing three games. It is hard to back FC Porto after their disappointing recent results. In their last match on Monday, they drew 1-1 with Vitoria Guimaraes at home, which was their fourth draw in five matches. Although they are unbeaten in five games, the trip to Arouca will be tricky since their hosts are in good form. We prefer to bet on goals, and since recent games of both teams have seen at least to goals, we will bet on over two goals.
Arouca vs FC Porto Prediction: Over 2 Goals
Vitoria Guimaraes and Casa Pia take the field in a low-scoring encounter: Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa Pia
- Date: 01/03/2025
- Kick Off: 20:30 UTC
- Eighth-placed Vitoria Guimaraes with 32 points will square off against Casa Pia, who are sixth with 36 points. The last five H2H meetings ended with under 2.5 goals.
Vitoria Guimaraes returned from Porto with a point after a 1-1 draw on Monday night. That was Vitoria’s third consecutive stalemate and the eighth in the last ten games. Casa Pia have extended their winless home form after beating Gil Vicente 1-0 at home in the previous round. The visitors are undefeated in 12 home games but have lost their last two away matches in the league. Playing on the road, they have lost just one of their six away games against lower-ranked teams. The stats show a 59% probability for this match to end with two or fewer goals, and since the last five H2Hs ended with such an outcome, we will back under 2.5 goals.
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa Pia Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals
Santa Clara are looking for three points when they travel to Boavista: Boavista vs Santa Clara
- Date: 02/03/2025
- Kick Off: 15:30 UTC
- Bottom of the table, Boavista, with 12 points, will face off against Santa Clara, who are fifth with 39 points. Santa Clara have won the last two H2H meetings.
Being nine points below the safety zone in 18th place, Boavista are not showing any reactions. They have suffered their eighth consecutive defeat at the hands of Benfica by 3-0 in round 23. Boavista have conceded at least a goal in 82% of their home games. Santa Clara come into this match after a goalless draw with Estrela Amadora on the road in the previous round. Santa Clara have won five of their seven games against the bottom five teams in Liga Portugal. They are undefeated in four away games.
Boavista vs Santa Clara Prediction: Santa Clara to Win
The outcome of this matchup is anticipated to be a low-scoring contest: Moreirense vs Estrela
- Date: 02/03/2025
- Kick Off: 15:30 UTC
- Moreirense, who are 11th with 26 points, will take on 15th-placed Estrela with 21 points. Three of the last five H2H meetings ended with three or fewer goals.
Moreirense went down by 2-0 to Famalicao on the road in their latest game and, as a result, suffered their fourth defeat in five games. The hosts’ in the Liga Portugal produced an average of 2.74 goals per game. Moreirense have scored an average of 1.22 goals per game. Estrela settled for a goalless draw in their match against Santa Clara at home and picked up their fourth point in two games. The average number of goals scored in Estrela’s games is 2.30 goals per game, and 61% of their matches ended with two or fewer goals.
Moreirense vs Estrela Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals
Another game with few goals expected is in store: Farense vs AVS
- Date: 02/03/2025
- Kick Off: 18:00 UTC
- 17th-placed Farense with 16 points will host AVS, who are 16th with 20 points. The only H2H meeting finished in a 0-0 draw earlier this season.
Farense ended a four-game losing streak by drawing 2-2 on the road with Arouca in the previous round. The hosts are winless in eight games, during which they picked up four points. Playing at home, Farense have lost four of their last five games in Liga Portugal. AVS are not in better form than their hosts, having won just one of their last 19 games in the league. The visitors drew 2-2 with Sporting in their last game, which is considered a great result for them. There is a 63% possibility for this match to produce under 2.5 goals.
Farense vs AVS Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals
In top form, Braga are looking for another three points: Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga
- Date: 02/03/2025
- Kick Off: 20:30 UTC
- Tenth-placed Rio Ave with 26 points, will square off against Sporting Braga, who are third with 47 points. Braga have won four of the last five H2H meetings.
With the 2-1 away defeat at the hands of Estoril in the previous round, Rio Ave remained winless for the fourth consecutive game. They have won just two of their last 11 matches. Nevertheless, Rio Ave are a tough team at home, having lost just once in 11 games. Sporting Braga continued their impressive run after beating Nacional 1-0 at home in round 23. That was Braga’s seventh game without a loss, during which they won six times. Braga have not lost in seven away games and have won eight of their ten games against the bottom eight teams.
Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga Prediction: Braga to Win or Draw
Two teams in good form meet with at least two goals expected: Sporting vs Estoril
- Date: 03/03/2025
- Kick Off: 20:15 UTC
- Top of the table, Sporting with 53 points, will lock horns with Estoril, who are seventh with 34 points. Two or more goals were scored in four of the last five H2H meetings.
A series of draws means Sporting have dropped points and are caught up by Benfica at the top of the table. In their last match, Sporting drew 2-2 with AVS on the road, which was their third in a row. Over 2.5 goals were scored in Sporting’s 75% of games, and their games have averaged 3.52 goals per game. Estoril’s last four games ended with three or more goals, and overall, 65% of their games this season produced over 2.5 goals. In the previous round, Estoril beat Rio Ave 2-1 and remained unbeaten for the eighth game. The stats show that there is a 70% possibility for this game to produce over 2.5 goals.
