Liga Portugal Predictions: Estrela vs Sporting, Benfica vs Farense : 29/03-02/04

Sporting and Benfica are fighting in Liga Portugal as round 27 approaches. Benfica trail Sporting by three points but can catch up if they win their postponed match on Friday. FC Porto trails Benfica by six points.
Sporting Braga are comfortably fourth, ten points ahead of Santa Clara. Everyone in the bottom five lost their games, with Boavista and Farense moving closer to relegation.
This week’s Liga Portugal gameweek 27 predictions were made based on current form, expert knowledge, and data.
Liga Portugal gameweek 27 predictions
Benfica will be determined to maintain their winning streak: Gil Vicente vs Benfica
- Date: 28/03/2025
- Kick Off: 20:15 UTC
- Gil Vicente, 14th, faces second-place Benfica. Benfica have won the last five H2H meetings.
This round 24 game was postponed. Gil Vicente are above the relegation zone on goal difference, a delicate position. They lost their last game at home to Santa Clara 1-0 in round 26. In contrast, Benfica has won their last six games, three of them by a goal. Benfica defeated Rio Ave 3-2 away in their last match. They have won six of their seven away games against the bottom eight teams, while Gil Vicente lost five of their eight games against the top five.
Gil Vicente vs Benfica Prediction: Benfica to Win
At least two goals are anticipated when these two teams meet: Casa Pia vs Rio Ave
- Date: 29/03/2025
- Kick Off: 15:30 UTC
- Casa Pia, seventh, hosts 12th-place Rio Ave. Four of the last five H2H meetings ended with two or more goals.
Casa Pia is in poor form after losing 3-1 to Nacional in the previous round. 77% of the hosts' Liga Portugal games had over 1.5 goals, and Casa Pia's three of their last five home games did too. The visitors lost 3-2 at home to Benfica in round 26, their second straight loss and third in four. This game has a 77% chance of producing over 1.5 goals, which is our bet.
Casa Pia vs Rio Ave Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals
Sporting can’t afford to drop points: Estrela vs Sporting
- Date: 29/03/2025
- Kick Off: 18:00
- Estrela, 15th, will play Sporting first. Sporting have won the last four most recent meetings with Estrela.
In round 26, Estrela lost to Vitoria Guimaraes after three draws. The hosts lost their fifth in ten games and 13th this season. Estrela lost all four games against the top four league teams. Sporting faces pressure as Benfica tracks them at the top. The visitors won their last three games, including 3-1 at home over Famalicao.
Estrela vs Sporting Prediction: Sporting to Win
Not too many goals are expected when these two teams meet: Sporting Braga vs Arouca
- Date: 29/03/2025
- Kick Off: 20:30 UTC
- Arouca, 13th, will play Sporting Braga, fourth. There were three or fewer goals scored the last four times these teams met.
Sporting Braga is in great form, winning eight of ten matches. Their second straight win came against Farense, 1-0 away in their last game. Arouca's last three games had under three goals, as did 69% of their season. A 1-1 draw is what Arouca managed in their last home game. They are unbeaten on the road in five games
Sporting Braga vs Arouca Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals
Expect fewer goals than usual in this matchup: Santa Clara vs Nacional Santa Clara vs Nacional
- Date: 30/03/2025
- Kick Off: 15:30 UTC
- Santa Clara, fifth, faces Nacional, 11th. The last four H2H meetings ended with under 2.5 goals.
Santa Clara returned from Gil Vicenta with a 1-0 away win, recording their first victory after four rounds. The hosts had two or fewer goals in their fifth straight game. 69% of Santa Clara matches have had under 2.5 goals this season. Nacional defeated Casa Pia 3-1 at home in the previous round. Traveling, they scored 0.54 goals per game and had two or fewer goals in 69% of their games.
Santa Clara vs Nacional Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals
A must-win game for FC Porto to stay in title race: Estoril vs FC Porto
- Date: 30/03/2025
- Kick Off: 18:00 UTC
- FC Porto, third, will host Estoril, eighth. FC Porto have won two of the last three meetings with Estoril.
Estoril's second straight draw came after the 1-1 away draw with Arouca in the previous round. Only one of their 11 league games have been lost. However, Estoril lost all four games against the top three. FC Porto fell behind the top two after inconsistent weeks. They have won three of their last ten games and averaged 1.63 points in the last eight.


