Liga Portugal Predictions: Braga vs Porto, Casa Pia vs Sporting: 07/03-10/03
Sporting remained at the top of the Liga Portugal after a crucial home win over Casa Pia. Benfica are piling the pressure on Sporting with a fourth consecutive win. FC Porto also went back to winning ways and remained in contention for the title race. Despite losing their last game, Braga are still eight points clear in the fourth position.
At the bottom of the table, Boavista surprisingly claimed three points after a lengthy streak but are still seven points below safety. Farense, currently ranked second from the bottom, suffered a loss and now stands six points short of safety, with Estrela, Gil Vicente, AVS, and Arouca engaged in a fierce battle to avoid relegation.
This week’s Liga Portugal gameweek 25 predictions were made based on current form, expert knowledge, and data.
Liga Portugal Gameweek 25 predictions
We anticipate a low-scoring match between two relegation-threatened teams: Estrela vs Gil Vicente
- Date: 07/03/2025
- Kick Off: 20:15 UTC
- Estrela, currently 16th with 22 points, will take on 15th-placed Gil Vicente, also with 22 points. The last three head-to-head matches have resulted in fewer than three goals.
Estrela enter this match on the back of a 1-1 away draw with Moreirense in the previous round. That was Estrela’s third game without defeat and the fourth game during which fewer than 2.5 goals were scored. Overall, Estrela’s 62% of games in Liga Portugal produced under 2.5 goals.
The majority of Gil Vicente’s games have also seen two or fewer goals, 52% of them to be exact. Their last game ended with a 1-0 away defeat at the hands of Casa Pia. Gile Vicente’s eight of their last ten games produced under 2.5 goals.
Etsrela vs Gil Vicente Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals
Both teams are looking for wins in a tense game: AVS vs Arouca
- Date: 08/03/2025
- Kick Off: 15:30 UTC
- AVS, who are ranked 14th with 23 points, will host 13th-placed Arouca with 25 points. Under three goals were scored in the last two H2H meetings.
With the 1-0 away win over Farense in the previous round, AVS extended their undefeated run to three games. That was the fourth time in six matches that under 2.5 goals were scored in AVS’s fixtures. Moreover, the average number of goals scored in AVS's games is 2.25 goals per game.
Arouca’s eight-match undefeated run came to an end after losing 2-0 at home to FC Porto. Arouca’s games saw two or fewer goals in 12 out of the 24 matches played in the Liga Portugal. The goal stats show that there is a 59% possibility for this game to end with under 2.5 goals. Both teams are averaging under 1.00 goals scored per game.
AVS vs Arouca Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals
Benfica are favorites to pick all three points at home: Benfica vs Nacional
- Date: 08/03/2025
- Kick Off: 18:00 UTC
- Second-placed Benfica with 53 points will face off against Nacional, currently ranked 12th with 26 points. Benfica have won four of the last five H2H meetings.
Benfica’s last match in the Liga Portugal against Gil Vicente was postponed to be played later this month. Still, the Eagles have improved their form lately, put on a four-match winning streak, and are back in the title race. Playing at the Estadio de Luz, Benfica have won 11 of their 12 games in the league.
Nacional, on the other hand, are showing inconsistent form with a different outcome in the last five games. But after defeating Famalicão 2-1 in the last round, they are feeling very confident going into this match. Nevertheless, Nacional have just one win on the road and lost their three away games against the top six teams.
Benfica vs Nacional Prediction: Benfica to Win
Estoril to play Farense, who are desperate for a win: Estoril vs Farense
- Date: 08/03/2025
- Kick Off: 18:00 UTC
- Estoril will square off against 17th-ranked Farense with 16 points. Farense won the last meeting with Estoril earlier this season 1-0 at home.
Estoril’s amazing eight-match undefeated run came to an end as they lost away to Sporting by a score of 3-1 on Monday. The hosts are undefeated at home and won their last three games. Moreover, they have won five of their eight games against lower-ranked teams.
Farense just can’t seem to find a win in recent games, which now adds up to nine. The visitors lost to AVS at home by 1-0 in the previous game and recorded their fifth defeat in six games. Moreover, Farense have picked up just 0.38 points per game in the last eight rounds.
Estoril vs Farense Prediction: Estoril to Win
FC Porto in a difficult away game as they search for points: Sporting Braga vs FC Porto
- Date: 08/03/2025
- Kick Off: 20:30 UTC
- Fourth-placed Sporting Braga with 47 points will entertain FC Porto, currently third with 50 points. The previous five Head-to-Head matches saw fewer than three goals scored.
With the 2-1 away defeat at the hands of Rio Ave in round 24, Sporting Braga ended a seven-match undefeated run during which they had won seven times. The average number of goals scored in Braga’s games is 2.58 goals per game, and 79% of their matches ended with three or fewer goals.
FC Porto extended their undefeated run to six games after beating Arouca 2-0 on the road. Two or fewer goals have been scored in each of FC Porto's most recent four matches. Since the start of the season, 71% of Porto’s games ended with under three goals, and their games produced an average of 2.83 goals per game. All stats and recent form are showing that we will witness a few goals in this matchup.
Sporting Braga vs FC Porto Prediction: Under 3 Goals
Santa Clara are favorites to pick up at least a point at home: Santa Clara vs Moreirense
- Date: 09/03/2025
- Kick Off: 15:30 UTC
- Fifth-ranked Santa Clara with 39 points will take on Moreirense, currently 11th with 27 points. Santa Clara are undefeated at home in the last six H2H matches.
Santa Clara returned from Boavista with a disappointing 1-0 defeat in round 24. That was the hosts’ second loss in three games, as they remain winless in that period. Playing at the Estadio de Sao Miguel, Santa Clara have won seven of their 12 games, of which five were against the bottom nine teams. Moreirense salvaged a point against Estrela despite going down 1-0 in the second half.
The visitors have lost nine of their 12 away games in Liga Portugal. Moreirense have struggled immensely when facing higher-ranked teams on the road, as they lost six of their seven such games.
Santa Clara vs Moreirense Prediction: Santa Clara to Win
Sporting are the favorites in a dangerous away fixture: Cas Pia vs Sporting
- Date: 09/03/2025
- Kick Off: 18:00 UTC
- Sixth-ranked Casa Pia with 36 points will host top of the table Sporting. Sporting have won the last six H2H meetings home and away.
It has been sort of a rollercoaster ride for Casa Pia, as they won and lost every other game in the last six rounds. However, they have been solid at home, where they are undefeated in ten games and won their last three.
Casa Pia have beaten Benfica at home this season, showing how difficult a team they are. After three disappointing draws in a row, Sporting finally claimed three points after beating Estoril 3-1 at home on Monday. The Green and Whites are undefeated on the road in five games, winning one and drawing four. With the unpredictable form Sporting and Casa Pia are in lately, we will back Sporting with a double chance.
Casa Pia vs Sporting Prediction: Sporting to Win or Draw
Not more than three goals is expected in this game: Boavista vs Vitoria Guimaraes
- Date: 09/03/2025
- Kick Off: 20:30 UTC
- At the bottom of the table, Boavista with 15 points will square off against Vitoria Guimaraes, who are ranked seventh with 35 points. Under three goals were scored in four of the last five H2H meetings.
With the 1-0 home win over Santa Clara in round 24, Boavista ended an eight-match losing run. That was Boavista’s first home win of the season after losing eight of their 12 matches. Boavista conceded the first goal in 17 of their 24 games and in nine of their 12 home games in the league.
Vitoria Guimaraes returned to winning ways after beating Casa Pia 1-0 at home in the previous round. The visitors have drawn five of their last eight matches and lost just one in 11 games. Vitoria’s away record is not impressive, having won only twice and losing four.
Boavista vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction: Vitoria to Win
A mid-table battle between two weak attacking teams: Famalicão vs Rio Ave
- Date: 10/03/2025
- Kick Off: 20:15 UTC
- Famalicão, currently ninth with 31 points, will face off against Rio Ave, who are tenth with 29 points. Four of the last five H2H meetings ended with under three goals.
A 2-1 away defeat at the hands of Nacional in the previous round ended Famalicão’s five-match undefeated run in the league. The hosts have not lost at home in three games, winning one and drawing two. The average number of goals scored in Famalicão’s games is 2.21 goals per game.
Rio Ave fans were on the seventh cloud as their team beat Sporting Braga 2-1 at home in round 24. That was Rio Ave’s first win in three games and the fourth in which under three goals were scored. The stats show a 78% possibility for this game to produce under three goals.
