Liga Portugal 2024/25 Predictions: Gameweek 21: 07/02- 10/02
Sporting extended their lead at the top of the Liga Portugal standings to six points after FC Porto dropped two points by drawing their latest game on Monday. Benfica climbed back to the second position after a victorious trip to Amadora. Braga have the best streak in the league at the moment and are within two points of FC Porto.
All of the bottom five teams lost in the previous round, and the relegation battle is still open to every possibility. Boavista have the toughest task among these teams, as they are six points below safety. The bottom three teams have difficult matches in this round.
This week’s Liga Portugal gameweek 21 predictions were made based on current form, expert knowledge, and data.
Liga Portugal 2024/25 Gameweek 21 Predictions and Odds: 07/01 - 10/02
FC Porto to stay in touch with the top teams as they host Sporting: FC Porto vs Sporting
- Date: 07/02/2025
- Kick-Off: 20:15 UTC
- Third-placed FC Porto with 42 points will take on league leaders Sporting, who have 50 points. Sporting won two and drew three of the previous five H2H meetings.
FC Porto continued to drop points after a disappointing 2-2 away draw with Rio Ave in a game in which they had to equalize twice. The Dragons are now winless in four games, drawing two and losing two. FC Porto are undefeated at home this season and scored at least a goal in all ten games.
Sporting were the biggest winners in round 20 as they have a two-match advantage over their pursuers. In the previous round, the Lions beat Farense 3-1 at home and recorded their third consecutive win and the fifth in the last seven games. Considering both teams’ recent forms, we will back Sporting with a double chance.
FC Porto vs Sporting Prediction: Sporting to Win or Draw
AVS host Santa Clara with both teams battling in opposite directions: AVS vs Santa Clara
- Date: 08/02/2025
- Kick-Off: 15:30 UTC
- 15th-placed AVS with 18 points will square off against Santa Clara, who are fifth with 35. Santa Clara have won the past three H2H meetings.
AVS enter this match on the back of a 2-0 away loss at the hands of Guimaraes in the previous round. That was AVS’s eighth defeat of the season, as they have drawn five of their last eight games in the league. AVS are undefeated at home in three games. Santa Clara want to maintain their pursuit of fourth position, which qualifies for Europe.
They did well in round 20 by beating Casa Pia 2-1 at home and keeping the difference with fourth-placed Braga to five points. They haven’t played against the bottom four teams on the road yet, but they are unbeaten against them at home. We are backing Santa Clara with the double chance.
AVS vs Santa Clara Prediction: Santa Clara to Win or Draw
Benfica obliged to beat Moreirense to keep the pressure: Benfica vs Moreirense
- Date: 08/02/2025
- Kick-Off: 18:00 UTC
- Second-placed Benfica, with 44 points, will entertain Moreirense, who are 11th with 23. The last five H2H meetings ended with Benfica winning one and four draws.
Benfica went back to winning ways after beating Etsrela on the road by a score of 3-2 in round 20. The Eagles are unstable, winning and losing every other game in the last four rounds. Benfica’s home form is impressive, having won nine of their ten games.
Moreirense was a tough customer for Benfica in recent years. However, they enter this game with a six-game winless record, during which they lost four. They have lost seven of ten away games in the league and three of their five games when facing the top four teams. We are backing Benfica for the win.
Benfica vs Moreirense Prediction: Benfica to Win
Famalicão and Vitoria Guimaraes meet in a game with at least two goals: Famalicão vs Vitoria Guimarães
- Date: 08/02/2025
- Kick Off: 20:30 UTC
- Ninth-placed Famalicão with 24 points will host Vitoria Guimaraes, who are seventh with 29. At least two goals were scored in four of the last five H2H meetings.
Famalicão recorded their first win after nine rounds by beating Boavista 2-0 on the road in the previous round. That was the 15th time in 20 games that two goals were scored in a Famalicão game. The average number of goals scored in the hosts’ games is 2.30 goals per game.
Vitoria Guimaraes also were 2-0 winners over AVS in round 20 as they ended a seven-game winless run to register their seventh win of the season. Guimaraes’ 13 of 20 games ended with two or more goals. The stats show a 70% possibility for this game to end with two goals.
Famalicão vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals
Estoril are in much better form as they host Boavista, who are playing poorly: Estoril vs Boavista
- Date: 09/02/2025
- Kick Off: 15:30 UTC
- Eighth-placed Estoril with 27 points will take on bottom of the table Boavista, who have 12 points. The last five H2H meetings ended with three Boavista wins.
Estoril continued to maintain their great form by beating Gil Vicente 2-1 on the road. That was Estoril’s fourth consecutive win in the league and their seventh of the season. Playing against teams ranked lower than them, Estoril have lost just one of their 11 games.
Boavista’s chances of surviving in the top flight are getting slimmer after every round. The visitors lost their fifth consecutive game after going down 2-0 at home to Famalicão. Boavista have lost seven of their ten games when facing the top eight teams. Despite the better H2H record in favor of Boavista, Estoril are favorites to win this time around.
Estoril vs Boavista Prediction: Estoril to Win
A low-scoring game awaits when Farense and Nacional go head-to-head: Farense vs Nacional
- Date: 09/02/2025
- Kick Off: 15:30 UTC
- Farense, who are 17th with 15 points, will square off against Nacional with 19 points in the 14th position. The last three H2H meetings ended with two or fewer goals.
Farense returned from Lisbon with a 3-1 defeat at the hands of Sporting, which was their second consecutive one. The average number of goals scored in Farense’s games is 2.05 goals per game.
Likewise, Nacional enter this game on the back of a two-game losing streak. In the previous round, Nacional lost 2-1 at home to Arouca. The average number of goals in Nacional’s games this season is 2.25 goals per game. The stats show an 85% possibility for this game to produce under 3.5 goals.
Farense vs Nacional Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals
Braga looking to maintain their form when they meet Gil Vicente: Braga vs Gil Vicente
- Date: 09/02/2025
- Kick Off: 18:00 UTC
- Fourth-placed Braga, with 40 points, will host Gil Vicente, who are 12th with 22 points. Braga have won three of the last five H2H meetings.
Braga are the second team in the Liga Portugal with the best winning streak of four wins. In the previous round, Braga beat Moreirense 2-1 on the road and registered their 12th win of the season. The hosts are unbeaten against the bottom seven teams, winning seven and drawing two of their nine games.
Gil Vicente suffered their second consecutive defeat at home to Estoril by a score of 2-1 in round 20. That was Gil Vicente’s eighth loss of the season as they continue to suffer against higher-ranked teams, having won just once and drawn six in 13 games. Considering both teams’ forms and results, we will back Braga with the double chance.
Braga vs Gil Vicente Prediction: Braga to Win or Draw
Casa Pia and Estrela to meet in a game promising not to be productive: Casa Pia vs Estrela
- Date: 09/02/2025
- Kick Off: 20:30 UTC
- Casa Pia, who are sixth with 30 points, will entertain 16th-placed Estrela with 17. Four of the last five meetings between these teams ended with three or fewer goals.
Casa Pia’s seven-match unbeaten run ended with a 2-1 away defeat at the hands of Santa Clara in the previous round. The hosts have scored 1.30 goals per game this season and have a scoring rate of 75% in all games.
Estrela also entered this match on a losing note after their 3-2 home loss to Benfica, which was their third in four games. The average number of goals scored in Estrela’s games is 2.55, the same as Casa Pia’s. The stats show a 75% possibility that this game will end with under 3.5 goals.
Casa Pia vs Estrela Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals
There won’t be absence of goals when Arouca and Rio Ave meet: Arouca vs Rio Ave
- Date: 10/02/2025
- Kick Off: 20:15
- Arouca, who are 13th with 22 points, will take on Rio Ave in tenth place with 24. Four of the past five meetings between these teams produced two or more goals.
Arouca continued their fine results and remained unbeaten for the fifth consecutive round after beating Nacional 2-1 on the road. Five of Arouca’s last six games ended with two or more goals. The average number of goals scored in Arouca’s games this season is 2.45 goals per game.
Rio Ave was close to recording a big upset when they couldn't hold on to their lead twice against FC Porto as the game ended 2-2. Rio Ave’s last five games saw over two goals, and their average total during the season is 2.75 goals per game. There is a 70% probability of seeing over two goals in this match.
