Liga Portugal 2024/25 Predictions: Gameweek 16
Sporting lost two important points and the top spot in the Liga Portugal standings. Benfica recorded a comfortable 3-0 win at home over Estoril and took charge of the league table. Farense left the bottom of the table and climbed to 16th position after an away win over Famalicão.
This week’s Liga Portugal gameweek 16 predictions were made based on current form, expert knowledge, and data.
Liga Portugal 2024/25 Gameweek 16 Predictions: 27/12/24 - 30/12/24
Arouca in need of at least a point when they host Gil Vicente: Arouca vs Gil Vicente
- Date: 27/12/2024
- Kick-Off: 20:15 UTC
- Can Arouca record their fourth win of the season and boost their hopes of surviving in the top flight?
With the 3-1 away defeat at the hands of Casa Pia, Arouca suffered their tenth defeat of the season. Arouca have won two and drawn one of their seven home games in Liga Portugal. Gil Vicente have one of the worst away records in the league, winning one, drawing two, and losing five matches. Arouca have never lost to Gil Vicente since the first time they met in 2010.
Arouca vs Gil Vicente Prediction 27/12/2024: Arouca to Win or Draw
AVS and Estrela Amadora meet up in a potentially low-scoring game: AVS vs Estrela Amadora
- Date: 28/12/2024
- Kick-Off: 15:30 UTC
- AVS will be expected to record their first win in ten games while Estrela are looking for their first away win.
Since the start of the season, AVS have scored an average of 0.73 goals per game. Estrela are not better in the scoring sense, netting 0.86 goals per game. The stats of AVS show that 80% of their games produced under 3.5 goals. And the same trend happened in Estrela’s 79% of fixtures. Three of the last five H2H meetings ended with three or fewer goals.
AVS vs Estrela Amadora Prediction 28/12/2024: Under 3.5 Goals
Estoril and Moreirense meet in a match with at least two goals expected: Estoril vs Moreirense
- Date: 28/12/2024
- Kick-Off: 18:00 UTC
- Five of the past seven meetings between Estoril and Moreirense ended with two or more goals.
Looking at both teams’ most recent games, we can see that Estoril’s last three matches and Moreirense’s four of their last five fixtures in Liga Portugal produced two or more goals. The average number of goals scored in Estoril’s games this season is 2.36 goals per game, and in Moreirense’s matches, it is 2.73. Estoril scored in 50% of their home games, and Moreirense netted in 75% of their away fixtures.
Estoril vs Moreirense Prediction 28/12/2024: Over 2 Goals
FC Porto are the overwhelming favorites to beat Boavista: FC Porto vs Boavista
- Date: 28/12/2024
- Kick-Off: 20:30 UTC
- FC Porto are determined to claim all three points and stay in contention for the Liga Portugal title race.
Playing at the Estadio do Dragao, FC Porto have a perfect record, eight wins out of eight games. Moreover, the hosts have conceded just two goals in these eight games. Boavista, on the other hand, lost all of their four encounters with the top five teams. The H2H meetings are also in favor of FC Porto, having won four of the past five matchups in the Liga Portugal.
FC Porto vs Boavista Prediction 28/12/2024: FC Porto to Win
Another low-scoring prospect as Farense host Vitoria Guimaraes: Farense vs Vitoria Guimaraes
- Date: 29/12/2024
- Kick-Off: 15:30 UTC
- Farense have the second weakest attack in Liga Portugal; they have scored just nine goals all season.
Not many goals are expected in this match, with both teams having so many games that ended with the score of 1-0: eight in total. Playing at home, Farense scored in 57% of their games, and Vitoria Guimaraes were on target in 62% of their away fixtures. According to the stats, there is an 82% possibility for this match to produce under 3.5 goals.
Farense vs Vitoria Guimaraes 29/12/2024: Total Goals Under 3.5
Rio Ave to avoid defeat when they host Nacional: Rio Ave vs Nacional
- Date: 29/12/2024
- Kick-Off: 15:30 UTC
- Can Rio Ave maintain their unbeaten home record in Liga Portugal when they host Nacional in round 16?
Playing at home, Rio Ave’s fans have been quite pleased with their team’s performances as they won three and drew four of their seven games. The opposite can be said for Nacional when they play on the road, as they are searching for their first away win, having lost five and drawn three of their eight away fixtures. Rio Ave covered the double chance in the last seven H2H home meetings.
Rio Ave vs Nacional Prediction 29/12/2024: Rio Ave to Win or Draw
Sporting Braga are favorites to beat Casa Pia in this heated matchup: Sporting Braga vs Casa Pia
- Date: 29/12/2024
- Kick-Off: 18:00 UTC
- Can Sporting Braga win this game and hold on to the fourth position, which is the last spot for a European spot?
Sporting Praga have the upper hand in the last five meetings with Casa Pia, winning four and drawing one. In the current campaign, Braga have won eight games, of which three were at home, and they are undefeated when facing the bottom 12 teams at the Estadio Municipal. Casa Pia, on the other hand, have lost three of their seven away games and lost all four games against the top five teams in the Liga Portugal.
Braga vs Casa Pia 29/12/2024: Braga to Win
An out-of-form Sporting meet Benfica, who can’t seem to lose lately: Sporting vs Benfica
- Date: 29/12/2024
- Kick-Off: 20:30 UTC
- In the main event of round 16, Sporting will try to return to the top of the table by toppling Benfica.
Sporting returned from Barcelos with a disappointing 0-0 draw and dropped two points, which led them to concede the first place to Benfica. The latter are undefeated in 14 games, winning 12 and drawing two matches. Benfica have covered the double chance in six of their seven away games in the league. In the last five H2H meetings, Benfica won one and drew two games.
Sporting vs Benfica Prediction 29/12/2024: Benfica to Win or Draw
Santa Clara looking for an away win when they meet Famalicao: Famalicao vs Santa Clara
- Date: 30/12/2024
- Kick-Off: 20:15 UTC
- Santa Clara are traveling to Famalicão, being in a higher position in the standings but are the underdogs in this game.
With the 2-1 home defeat at the hands of Farense, Famalicao remained winless for the fifth consecutive game. They have drawn seven of their last 11 matches in the league. Santa Clara have won four of their seven away games and have beaten eight of the 11 teams that are ranked lower than them. Santa Clara covered the double chance in two of the last four H2Hs.
Famalicão vs Santa Clara Prediction 30/12/2024: Santa Clara to Win or Draw
