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Eredivisie Predictions: PSV vs Ajax: 29/03-30/03

09 Feb, 13:35

Ajax dropped two points in round 26 but remained at the top of the Eredivisie table with a six-point gap over PSV. Utrecht suffered a setback, and Feyenoord now poses a threat to their third position by narrowing the gap to two points. Round 27 sees the clash of the titans as PSV host Ajax.

At the middle of the table, the situation remains the same, but Groningen are now just one point behind eighth-placed Sittard. At the bottom of the table, Zwolle, Sparta, and Willem II are still battling it out to escape relegation. Almere City and Waalwijk are losing hope.

This week’s Eredivisie gameweek 27 predictions were made based on current form, expert knowledge, and data.

Eredivisie 2024/25 predictions for gameweek 27

When these two teams meet, we expect at least two goals: NAC Breda vs Groningen

  • Date: 29/03/2025
  • Kick Off: 15:30 UTC
  • NAC Breda, 12th with 29 points, will host Groningen, who are ninth with 31 points. Two or more goals were scored in the last three H2H meetings.

NAC Breda remained winless for the seventh consecutive round after a 1-1 away draw with Almere City in the previous round. The average number of goals scored in NAC Breda’s games this season is 2.77 goals per game, and 77% of their matches ended with two or more goals. Groningen enter this game on the back of a 1-0 home win over Fortuna Sittard in round 26. That was the visitors’ third win in four games. Groningen’s games have averaged 2.28 goals per game, and 60% of their matches saw over 1.5 goals.

NAC Breda vs Groningen Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals


Sparta’s form favors them not to lose points in this matchup: Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam

  • Date: 29/03/2025
  • Kick Off: 17:45 UTC
  • Fortuna Sittard, eighth with 32 points, will take on Sparta Rotterdam, who are 15th with 25 points. Sparta Rotterdam have won three and drawn two of the last five H2Hs.

A two-match winning run came to an end as Fortuna Sittard lost away to Groningen 1-0 in the previous round. Playing at home, Sittard have lost three of their last four games and were defeated in six of their 12 games in front of their fans this term. Sparta Rotterdam is actively battling to maintain their position in the top flight, as evidenced by their unbeaten streak of three games. They drew 1-1 at home with Zwolle last time out and covered the double chance in four of their last six away games. 

Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction: Sparta Rotterdam to Win or Draw


Two teams with scoring difficulties go head-to-head: Willem II vs Almere City

  • Date: 29/03/2025
  • Kick Off: 17:45 UTC
  • Willem II, 16th with 24 points, will face off against Almere City, who are 18th with 15 points. The last four H2Hs ended with under three goals.

Willem II remained winless for the ninth consecutive game after losing away to the Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 in round 26. The hosts have scored 0.25 goals per game in the last eight rounds, and their matches in the Eredivisie this term averaged 2.69 goals per game. Almere City have the weakest attack in the league with 16 goals scored in 26 games. They scored 0.63 goals per game in the last eight rounds and failed to hit the back of the net in 69% of their away fixtures. The stats show a 73% possibility for this game to produce under three goals.

Willem II vs Almere City Prediction: Under 3 Goals


AZ Alkmaar to score at least a goal in this away fixture: Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar

  • Date: 29/03/2025
  • Kick Off: 20:00 UTC
  • Nijmegen, 11th with 29 points, will square off against AZ Alkmaar, who are sixth with 44 points. AZ Alkmaar scored at least a goal in the last three away H2H meetings.

Nijmegen returned from Utrecht with a 1-0 win in the previous round. That was their second clean sheet in eight games. Playing at home, Nijmegen conceded 1.46 goals with a rate of 77% in the Eredivisie. They have no clean sheets in seven home games. AZ Alkmaar have scored in 77% of their away games with an average of 1.46 goals per game. They scored at least a goal in their last six games across all competitions. Playing against a lower-ranked team, AZ scored in seven of their nine away games.

Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction: AZ Alkmaar to Score Over 1 Goal


Zwolle to avoid defeat against Waalwijk: Zwolle vs Waalwijk

  • Date: 29/03/2025
  • Kick Off: 20:00 UTC
  • Zwolle, in 14th position with 26 points, will take on Waalwijk, who are 17th with 17 points. Zwolle are undefeated in four of the last five H2H meetings. 

With the 1-1 away draw against Sparta Rotterdam in round 26, Zwolle remained winless for the sixth consecutive game. The hosts have covered the double chance in three of their last four home games and in seven of their 13 fixtures in front of their fans. Waalwijk still have a chance to escape relegation given that they win at least seven of their remaining nine games. However, their current form is not convincing, having lost three in a row with the last one being a 3-0 defeat at home to PSV Eindhoven. As a result, we will back Zwolle with the handicap.

Zwolle vs Waalwijk Prediction: Zwolle 0 Goal Handicap


A game in which both teams have a high number of total goals averages: Utrecht vs Heerenveen

  • Date: 30/03/2025
  • Kick Off: 11:15 UTC
  • Utrecht, third with 49 points, will host Heerenveen, who are tenth with 31 points. Two or more goals were scored in four of the last five H2H meetings.

An unexpected 1-0 loss at home to Nijmegen in round 26 ended Utrecht’s two-game winning streak. The hosts have a scoring rate of 85% in their games in the Eredivisie with an average of 1.77 goals per game. Utrecht’s games usually produce 3.27 goals per game. Heerenveen’s games are also goal-packed, averaging 3.00 goals per game. Moreover, 84% of their games saw two or more goals. They scored in 46% of their away games but conceded in 100% of them. The stats show a 58% chance that this game will produce over 2.5 goals.

Utrecht vs Heerenveen Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals


Twente to score at least a goal in this encounter: Heracles vs Twente

  • Date: 30/03/2025
  • Kick Off: 13:30 UTC
  • Heracles, 13th with 28 points, will face off against Twente, who are fifth with 46. Twente scored at least a goal in the last five meetings with Heracles.

With the 1-1 away defeat against Heerenveen in the previous round, Twente conceded their 47th goal of the season. Playing at home, the hosts have let in 1.54 goals per game in the Eredivisie, and their conceding rate in the league is 85%. They have failed to maintain clean sheets in their last eight games. Twente, on the other hand, are the fourth-best attacking team in the league, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per game. Moreover, they scored in 96% of their games in Eredivisie. Twente must score in this match to win points!

Heracles vs Twente Prediction: Twente to Score Over 1 Goal


PSV and Ajax in a nail-biting encounter that could decide a lot: PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax

  • Date: 30/03/2025
  • Kick Off: 12:30 UTC
  • PSV Eindhoven, currently ranked second with 58 points, will face off against Ajax, who hold the top spot with 64 points. PSV are undefeated in four of the last five H2Hs.

After a very poor period during which they lost the top spot, PSV went on a two-game winning run. The hosts beat Waalwijk 3-0 on the road in the previous round. PSV games have produced the most goals in Eredivisie, averaging 4.15 goals per game. They have scored at least a goal in all of their home games. Ajax dropped two crucial points after a 2-2 draw with AZ Alkmaar, but they can overcome it with a positive result here. Nevertheless, the visitors are undefeated in 11 games, winning ten and drawing one. The stats show a 70% possibility for this game to produce over 2.5 goals. 

PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax Prediction: PSV to Win or Draw and Over 1.5 Goals


Two teams with excellent scoring averages meet in this matchup: Feyenoord vs Go Ahead Eagles

  • Date: 30/03/2025
  • Kick Off: 14:45 UTC
  • Feyenoord, currently fourth with 47 points, will take on the Go Ahead Eagles with 44 points. Over 2.5 goals were scored the last six times these two teams met.

Feyenoord returned from Twente with a 6-2 away win in the previous round. That was the hosts’ eighth game of the season with four or more goals. Feyenoord games have an average of 3.32 goals per game, and they have scored in 83% of their home games in the league. With the 1-0 home win over Willem II, the Goa Ahead Eagles recorded their third consecutive win. The visitors’ games usually end with 3.35 goals per game, and they have a scoring rate of 81% in their games. 

Feyenoord vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals