Eredivisie Predictions: Gameweek 23
PSV Eindhoven continued to drop points for the second consecutive week, and the Eredivisie title race is now wide open. Ajax took advantage and are now level on points with PSV but are second on goal difference. Third-placed Utrecht lost as AZ Alkmaar and Feyenoord won and are seriously challenging for the third spot.
None of the teams between the sixth position and the 13th were able to win on gameweek 22, and no significant changes were made in the standings. However, the battle for the eighth spot is at its peak, with three teams having 26 points and five teams behind them with 24.
Despite winning their respective games, Waalwijk and Almere City, the two bottom teams, remain far from safety.
This week’s Eredivisie gameweek 23 predictions were made based on current form, expert knowledge, and data.
Eredivisie Predictions: Round 23
Both teams are to bounce back from their recent defeats: Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam
- Date: 14/02/2025
- Kick Off: 19:00 UTC
- The Go Ahead Eagles, who are seventh with 32 points, will take on Sparta Rotterdam, who are 16th with 20 points. The Eagles have not lost to Sparta in four games.
The Go Ahead Eagles enter this match on the back of a 4-2 away defeat at the hands of Heracles in the previous round. That was the Eagles’ first loss after six undefeated ones as they conceded four goals for the second time this season. The Eagles are undefeated in five home games. Sparta Rotterdam ended a four-game undefeated run after losing 3-0 away to Feyenoord in round 22. The visitors have drawn three of their last seven games. Sparta conceded at least a goal in all of their 11 away matches and the opening goal in 12 of their 22 fixtures.
Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction: Go Ahead Eagles to Win
PSV Eindhoven are in an alarming situation as they try to hit back: PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht
- Date: 15/02/2025
- Kick Off: 15:30 UTC
- Top of the Eredivisie standings, PSV Eindhoven with 51 points, will host Utrecht, who are third with 42 points. Three of the last five H2H meetings ended with three or more goals.
PSV Eindhoven’s unstable form continued as they drew 1-1 at home with Willem II in the previous round. That was PSV’s third draw in five games as they picked up six points from a possible 15. Five of PSV’s last six games ended with over 2.5 goals, and the same trend happened in 82% of their games this season. Utrecht are also not in their best form, having lost their last game at home to Almere City by 1-0. The visitors are winless in four games and have conceded at least a goal in 91% of their away games. 64% of Utrecht’s games produced over 2.5 goals.
PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals
A high-scoring game is expected between two teams that have seen some productive games: NAC Breda vs Feyenoord
- Date: 15/02/2025
- Kick Off: 17:45 UTC
- NAC Breda with 26 points in the ninth position will square off against Feyenoord, who are fifth with 39 points. Two or more goals were scored in the last eight H2Hs.
NAC Breda returned from Waalwijk with a heavy 5-0 thrashing defeat on Sunday. The hosts have lost five of their last eight games in the Eredivisie. NAC Breda have conceded 1.86 goals per game and have clean sheets in 18% of their games and none in their last seven fixtures. Feyenoord returned to winning ways after ending a four-match winless run by beating Sparta Rotterdam 3-0 in round 22. It was Feyenoord’s 11th win of the season and the sixth at home. Feyenoord have scored nine goals, which gave them the lead in a game when playing on the road. The stats show a 63% possibility for this game to produce over 2.5 goals.
NAC Breda vs Feyenoord Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals
At least two goals are expected when Willem II and Groningen meet: Willem II vs Groningen.
- Date: 15/02/2025
- Kick Off: 20:00 UTC
- Willem II, who are 12th with 24 points, will entertain Groningen, who are 15th with 24 points as well. The last three games between these clubs ended with two or more goals.
Willem II did the unthinkable when they returned from Eindhoven with a point after a 1-1 draw with PSV in round 22. The hosts have not won in five games and have won one of their last eight home matches. Willem II’s 77% of fixtures in Eredivisie ended with two or more goals, and their games have averaged 2.55 goals per game. Groningen remain unstable and unpredictable, having recorded a different outcome in their previous 11 fixtures in the league. The visitors beat Nijmegen 2-1 on Saturday, which was their second win in four games. Groningen’s 59% of games this season saw over two goals, averaging 2.27.
Willem II vs Groningen Prediction: Over 2 Goals
Nijmegen and Almere City to produce at least two goals in a crucial game for the visitors: Nijmegen vs Almere City
- Date: 16/02/2025
- Tip Off: 11:15 UTC
- Nijmegen, currently ranked 11th with 24 points, will face off against Almere City, currently at the bottom of the table with 13 points. Five of the last six H2H meetings ended with two or more goals.
Nijmegen ended a series of positive results after losing away to Groningen 2-1 on Saturday. The hosts had a three-match undefeated run during which they won two and drew with PSV. Nijmegen have an unstable record when facing lower-ranked teams, winning four and losing four of their nine games. Almere City recorded the surprise of round 22 after beating Utrecht 0-1 on the road. The visitors are nine points below safety but are trying hard to show some fight in recent weeks. They won two of their last five games and drew one. With 71% of both teams’ games ending with two or more goals, we expect at least two goals in this game.
Nijmegen vs Almere City Prediction: Over 2 Goals
A high-scoring match is expected between two teams whose games are productive: Twente vs Waalwijk
- Date: 16/02/2025
- Kick Off: 13:30 UTC
- Sixth-placed Twente with 36 points will take on Waalwijk, who are 17th with 17 points. Four of the last five meetings between these teams produced over 2.5 goals.
Twente are going through a slump as they are unable to win in three games and picked up two points in the period. The hosts drew 3-3 away with Heerenveen, recording their second consecutive stalemate. Twente conceded two or more goals in their last four games, and 67% of their games ended with three or more goals. Waalwijk are on a roll as they recorded their third consecutive win by beating NAC Breda 5-0 in the previous round. The visitors have scored two or more goals in the last three games, and five of their last eight matches produced over 2.5 goals.
Twente vs Waalwijk Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals
Two teams battling for Conference League spot go head-to-head: Zwolle vs Heerenveen
- Date: 16/02/2025
- Kick Off: 13:30 UTC
- Zwolle, who are 13th with 24 points, will host tenth-placed Heerenveen with 26 points. Heerenveen are undefeated in the last five H2H meetings.
Zwolle enter this game on the back of a 2-0 away defeat at the hands of AZ Alkmaar on Sunday. The hosts have picked up 1.38 points per game in the last eight rounds. Playing at home, Zwolle have covered the double chance in six of their 11 home games in the league. Heerenveen recorded their second consecutive home draw after a 3-3 score with Twente in round 22. Playing on the road is not Heerenveen’s favorite place, as they lost nine of their 11 trips. Considering the visitors’ recent form of going winless in four games, we will back Zwolle with a double chance.
Zwolle vs Heerenveen Prediction: Zwolle to Win or Draw
Ajax Amsterdam are firm favorites to continue their winning streak: Ajax vs Heracles
- Date: 16/02/2025
- Kick Off: 15:45 UTC
- Second-placed Ajax, with 51 points, will take on Heracles, who are 14th with 24 points. Ajax have won the last four H2H meetings.
Ajax remained the best team among the Eredivisie clubs in the last six rounds after beating Fortuna Sittard 2-0 on the road on Sunday. That was the hosts’ sixth consecutive win and 16th of the season. Ajax are undefeated at home this season, winning nine and drawing one, and have beaten all of the bottom eight teams in the league. Heracles have built up their own undefeated streak, which was extended to six games after beating the Go Ahead Eagles 4-2 on Saturday. The visitors won two and drew four games in that period but lost five of their six games against the top five teams.
