Eredivisie Predictions: Ajax vs AZ, Waalwijk vs PSV: 14/03-16/03
Ajax maintained their eight-point lead at the top of the Eredivisie table with another win. PSV bounced back from a winless streak and won for the first time in four games. Utrecht and Twente were also winners as they make up the top four positions.
Fortuna Sittard climbed to the eighth spot as the battle for the final playoff position for the Conference League heats between several teams. None of the bottom ten teams won any of their games in the previous as Sparta Rotterdam was the only mover from the bottom three after picking up a point in their last game.
This week’s Eredivisie gameweek 26 predictions were made based on current form, expert knowledge, and data.
Eredivisie 2024/25 predictions for Gameweek 26
Almere City running out of time as they desperately need points: Almere City vs NAC Breda
- Date: 14/3/2025
- Kick Off: 19:00 UTC
- Bottom of the table, Almere City, with 14 points, will host NAC Breda, who are 11th with 28 points. NAC Breda won the last two H2H meetings.
Almere City’s will soon be over if they don’t react quickly. The hosts have suffered their 17th defeat of the season with the 1-0 away loss against Twente in round 25. That was Almere City’s third consecutive defeat and the fifth in the last eight games during which they picked up 0.63 points. NAC Breda enter this game after a 1-1 home draw with Sparta Rotterdam in the previous round. The visitors are winless in six games and have had a different outcome in their last eight fixtures. They have lost two of their ten games against lower-ranked teams.
Almere City vs NAC Breda Prediction: NAC Breda to Win or Draw
Utrecht are favorites to maintain their third position: Utrecht vs Nijmegen
- Date: 15/03/2025
- Kick Off: 15:30 UTC
- Third-placed Utrecht with 49 points, will take on Nijmegen, who are 13th with 26 points. Utrecht have won the last two H2H meetings.
A second consecutive win saw Utrecht hold off any challenges for their third position from the other teams. The hosts returned from Willem with a 3-2 away win in round 25, which was their second consecutive one. They have won five of their six games against the bottom eight teams. Nijmegen must be careful as they are just two points above the relegation zone. The visitors failed to win for the sixth game in a row after losing at home to the Go Ahead Eagles by 3-2. That was Nijmegen’s third loss in five games as they managed to pick up three points from their last six games.
Utrecht vs Neijmegen Prediction: Utrecht to Win
Two teams with low-scoring abilities meet in this matchup: Sparta Rotterdam vs Zwolle
- Date: 15/03/2025
- Kick Off: 17:45 UTC
- Sparta Rotterdam, who are 15th with 24 points, will face off against 14th-placed Zwolle with 25 points. The last three H2H meetings ended with three or fewer goals.
With the 1-1 away draw with NAC Breda in the previous round, Sparta Rotterdam remained undefeated in the last two games. The team has scored an average of 0.96 goals per game in Eredivisie, and 88% of their matches in the league produced under 3.5 goals. Zwolle’s winless run extended to five games after they suffered their second successive defeat at home to Ajax by 1-0 in round 25. The visitors usually score 0.92 goals per game when playing on the road, and their games produced an average of 2.75 goals per game in the league.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Zwolle Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals
At least three goals are expected in this fixture: Waalwijk vs PSV Eindhoven
- Date: 15/03/2025
- Kick Off: 19:00 UTC
- Waalwijk, who are 17th with 17 points, will entertain second-placed PSV Eindhoven with 55 points. The last three H2Hs produced four or more goals.
After building up a three-game winning streak, Waalwijk are now on a two-match losing streak and are seven points below safety in the Eredivisie. In the previous round, Waalwijk lost at home to Fortuna Sittard by a score of 2-1. 67% of Waalwijk’s games ended with three or more goals. PSV Eindhoven finally returned to winning ways after beating Heerenveen 2-1 in round 25. The visitors usually score 2.75 goals per game, and 83% of their matches in the league have seen three or more goals. They have scored at least a goal in 96% of their games.
Waalwijk vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction: Over 3 Goals
Another game with a low-scoring prospect: Heerenveen vs Heracles
- Date: 15/03/2025
- Kick Off: 20:00 UTC
- Ninth-placed Heerenveen with 30 points, will take on Heracles, who are 12th with 27 points. The last seven H2H meetings ended with three or fewer goals.
Heerenveen’s four-game undefeated streak came to an end as they lost away to PSV Eindhoven by 2-1 in round 25. The hosts have scored an average of 1.24 goals per game with a 68% scoring rate. In their games since the start of the season, there were an average of 3.04 goals. Heracles, on the other hand, continued their unstable form and lost to Fortuna Sittard on the road by a single goal last weekend. The visitors usually score 1.28 goals per game, and their matches have produced 3.12 goals per game. The stats show a 68% possibility for this game to produce under 3.5 goals.
Heerenveen vs Heracles Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals
The Go Ahead Eagles to maintain their winning form: Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II
- Date: 16/03/2025
- Kick Off: 11:15 UTC
- Seventh-placed the Go Ahead Eagles with 41 points will host Willem II, who are 16th with 24 points. Willem II won the last H2H meeting 2-0 at home earlier this season.
With the 3-2 away win over Nijmegen in the previous round, the Go Ahead Eagles secured their second consecutive win in Eredivisie. That was the Eagles’ third win in four games as they picked up 2.00 points per game in the last eight rounds. They have won seven of their eight home games against the bottom nine teams. Willem II can’t seem to escape the relegation zone as they were subject to another loss at home to Utrecht by 3-2 in round 25. They have lost five of their last six games. Willem II lost seven of their 12 games against the top seven teams.
Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II Prediction: Go Ahead Eagles to Win
A game with low expectations when it comes to scoring: Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard
- Date: 16/03/2025
- Kick Off: 13:30 UTC
- Tenth-placed Groningen with 28 points will square off against Fortuna Sittard, who are eighth with 32 points. Three of the last five H2H meetings ended with one or fewer goals.
Groningen remained unbeaten for the third successive week after drawing 1-1 at home with Twente in the previous round. The hosts have scored 1.08 goals per game, and their matches usually produce 1.67 goals per game. Moreover, 83% of Groningen’s games ended with three or fewer goals. The goals come more handily in Fortuna Sittard’s matches with an average of 2.96 goals per game. However, a significant number of their games, which is 64%, ended with under 3.5 goals. In their last game, Fortuna Sittard beat Heracles 1-0 at home, making it four games in a row with less than 3.5 goals scored.
Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction: Under 3 Goals
Twente to hold on to their all-important fourth position: Twente vs Feyenoord
- Date: 16/03/2025
- Kick Off: 13:30 UTC
- Fourth-placed Twente, with 46 points, will host Feyenoord, who are fifth with 44 points. Twente are undefeated in three of the last four H2H meetings.
Twente enter this game in good form after beating Almere City 1-0 and extending their unbeaten run to six games in Eredivisie. The hosts have won nine and drawn three of their 12 home games, without a loss. They have won their last six home games in the league. Feyenoord are going through an unstable phase as they drew 0-0 with Nijmegen in round 25; the visitors have not won in their last four road games, drawing two and losing two. Overall, they failed against the double chance when playing on the road in seven of their 12 fixtures. With the kind of home form Twente are in, we will back them with a double chance.
Twente vs Feyenoord Prediction: Twente to Win or Draw
Ajax are the hot favorites to prevail in this matchup: Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar
- Date: 16/03/2025
- Kick Off: 15:45 UTC
- Top of the table Ajax with 63 points will take on AZ Alkmaar, who are sixth with 43 points. AZ Alkmaar have won the last four H2H meetings.
Ajax continued to dominate the Eredivisie after another win over Zwolle on the road by 1-0 in the previous round. The hosts have now won their last ten games in the league, which resulted in a comfortable lead at the top. Playing at the Johan Cruijff Stadium, Ajax have won 11 and drawn one of their 12 games. AZ Alkmaar suffered a surprise 3-1 away defeat at the hands of Heerenveen by a score of 3-1 last weekend. That ended the visitors’ three-game winning streak. AZ Alkmaar are winless in five of their seven games against the top five teams, losing three of them.
