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Eerste Divisie Predictions: Gameweek 27: 21/02-23/02

18 Feb, 22:50

Volendam are in the driving seat at the top of the Eerste Divisie with a five-point gap over second-placed Dordrecht. The next six teams are battling it out for a promotion playoff, with no team still comfortably securing a spot as eight points separate Excelsior, the third-positioned team, from Telstar, who are eighth. 

One of the Netherlands’ biggest clubs, Vitesse, are in a miserable position with just one point from 26 games and in the final position. Teams from ninth to the 15th position still have a chance to challenge for a top-eight finish.

This week’s Eerste Divisie gameweek 27 predictions were made based on current form, expert knowledge, and data.

Eerste Divisie Round 27 Predictions: 21/02-23/02

Roda and Den Bosch meet in a closely anticipated match: Roda vs Den Bosch

  • Date: 21/02/2025
  • Kick Off: 19:00 UTC
  • Ninth-placed Roda with 37 points will take on Den Bosch, who are sixth with 42 points. Four of the last five H2H meetings ended with under 3.5 goals.

With the 2-1 away defeat at the hands of Dordrecht in the previous round, Roda remained winless in three games. The hosts have scored 1.42 goals per game this season, and their games produced 2.81 goals per game. Moreover, 69% of Roda’s games ended with three or fewer goals. In Den Bosch’s case, the visitors have lost their last two games by the same score of 1-0. Den Bosch’s last five games saw under 3.5 goals, which was also the case in 77% of their games in the league. In addition, Den Bosch’s games averaged 2.65 goals per game.

Roda vs Den Bosch Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals

Telstar will meet Excelsior with both teams looking to improve their positions: Telstar vs Excelsior

  • Date: 21/02/2025
  • Kick Off: 19:00 UTC
  • Eighth-placed Telstar with 38 points will host Excelsior, who are third with 46 points. At least two goals were scored in the last five H2H meetings.

Telstar enter this match on the back of a 1-0 away win over Den Bosch in the previous round. That was the hosts’ second consecutive win and their fifth in the last eight rounds. Telstar’s 73% of games in the league produced two or more goals. Excelsior kept dropping points for the third consecutive game after drawing 1-1 at home with Helmond in round 26. The visitors have scored at least a goal in 77% of their away games, with an average of 1.54 goals per game. Two or more goals were scored in Excelsior’s seven of their nine away games against lower-ranked teams.

Telstar vs Excelsior Prediction: Over 2 Goals 

Volendam must not find any difficulty when they meet Venlo on the road: Venlo vs Volendam

  • Date: 22/02/2025
  • Kick Off: 15:30 UTC
  • Venlo, who are 17th with 26 points, will square off against league leaders Volendam with 52 points. The H2H record shows Venlo’s upper hand with three wins in the last five. 

With the 0-0 home draw with Maastricht in round 26, Venlo recorded their fifth stalemate of the season. The hosts have picked up 1.88 points per game in the last eight rounds. Venlo have lost just one of their last eight matches in the league and kept three clean sheets in their ten home games. After two surprise defeats, Volendam returned to winning ways by beating Emmen 2-1 on the road. The visitors have covered the double chance in ten of their 13 away games. Volendam won 11 of their 14 games against the bottom ten teams.

Venlo vs Volendam Prediction: Volendam to Win or Draw 

In-form Den Haag will be looking for at least a point when they travel to Maastricht: Maastricht vs Den Haag

  • Date: 23/02/2025
  • Kick Off: 15:45 UTC
  • Maastricht, who are 13th with 33 points, will face off against fourth-placed Den Haag with 46 points. Den Haag have won three and drawn one of the last four H2H meetings. 

For the tenth consecutive round, Maastricht have had a different outcome in each match. In the previous round, the hosts beat FC Eindhoven 2-0 and recorded their fourth consecutive home win in the league. Maastricht are a very tough team at home, having lost just once against the top nine teams in seven games. Den Haag recorded their fourth consecutive game in the league after beating Jong Ajax 1-0 at home in round 26. The visitors have picked up 2.83 points per game in their last eight matches and have covered the double chance in eight of their 12 away fixtures.

Maastricht vs Den Haag Prediction: Den Haag to Win or Draw