Predictions for the 4th Round of the Bundesliga, September 19-21
Stuttgart vs St. Pauli
The 4th round of the Bundesliga will kick off with a Friday match at the “MHP Arena,” where Stuttgart will host St. Pauli. The hosts have already suffered two defeats this season— both away games, while they secured one victory at home. St. Pauli remains unbeaten, having earned 7 points in the first three matches. The history of encounters between these teams is brief but shows a clear advantage for Stuttgart. Nevertheless, we do not consider the “Brown and Whites” as obvious underdogs as the betting odds suggest. It's also worth noting the average total in matches between these teams—around 2 goals. This is confirmed by last season's games, where the teams exchanged away victories with minimal scores (0:1).
Match Prediction Stuttgart vs St. Pauli: total under 3 goals
Hoffenheim vs Bayern
Matches involving these teams traditionally promise exciting football for the weekend. The average goal total in encounters between the “Blue and Whites” and the Bavarians is around 3.5 per game. Last season, Bayern left Hoffenheim with no chances, both at the “PreZero Arena” (4:0) and the “Allianz Arena” (5:0). Bayern demonstrates solid defensive play, predominantly at home; away, Kompany's team sometimes makes mistakes but generally achieves positive results.
Match Prediction Hoffenheim vs Bayern: total over 3.5 goals
Augsburg vs Mainz
In the home match, Augsburg will attempt to secure their second victory of the season after two defeats. Mainz has also suffered two defeats and drawn one match, but is still considered a slight favorite by the bookmakers. Last year, the “05ers” managed a hard-fought victory at the “WWK Arena” (3:2). The head-to-head history is almost even, with a slight advantage for the hosts, and an average total of 2.9 goals per game. Augsburg has already shown character in a home match against Bayern and is likely to be spirited against Mainz, who clearly have not found their game at the start of the season.
Match Prediction Augsburg vs Mainz: Augsburg will not lose
Hamburg vs Heidenheim
It's time for one of these clubs to secure their first win of the season. At the “Volksparkstadion,” Hamburg appears to be the favorite—they are playing at home and have at least one draw this season. Heidenheim, on the other hand, has suffered three consecutive defeats with an aggregate score of 1:7. The “City Dwellers” will try to quickly redeem themselves in front of their fans after a crushing defeat by Bayern in the previous round. However, Hamburg has yet to score this season, while Heidenheim has managed one goal. The head-to-head history is quite balanced: Hamburg has one more victory, with an average total of 2.9 goals per game between the teams. Predicting the winner in this match will be challenging.
Match Prediction Hamburg vs Heidenheim: total under 3 goals
Werder vs Freiburg
Finally, both teams have secured their first victories in the new Bundesliga season. The Bremen side thrashed Borussia Mönchengladbach away (4:0), while Freiburg achieved a comeback victory at home against Stuttgart (3:1), trailing 9 minutes before the end of regular time. Matches involving these clubs are traditionally rich in goals: at the start of the season, there have not been fewer than four goals in their games. Head-to-head encounters also confirm this trend – the average total is 3.3 goals per game.
Match Prediction Werder vs Freiburg: total over 2.5 goals
Leipzig vs Cologne
An extremely interesting match is expected at the “Red Bull Arena.” Leipzig seems to have recovered after the defeat to Bayern and has secured two consecutive victories. The season's newcomer, Cologne, remains unbeaten, having won two matches and pulled off two incredible comebacks in injury time in their last game. The team has made it clear that they are back in the Bundesliga for more than just one season, and defeating them will not be easy.
Match Prediction Leipzig vs Cologne: Cologne to win with handicap (+1.5)
Eintracht vs Union
The “Eagles” started the season with two victories and such scoring prowess that there are speculations they might pose a serious challenge to Bayern for the title. However, in the third round, the team suffered a deserved defeat to another contender – Bayer (1:3), who played most of the second half with a man down. Union won in the first round but then suffered two defeats. Of course, Eintracht is the favorite in this match, but it is worth noting that in the first three matches of both clubs, no fewer than three goals were scored per game.
Match Prediction Eintracht vs Union: total over 2.5 goals
Bayer vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bayer, under the guidance of new head coach Kasper Hjulmand, secured their first Bundesliga victory. Borussia Mönchengladbach approaches the 4th round with one point and no goals scored. Undoubtedly, Bayer is the favorite for the match, despite facing a challenging away game in Denmark on Thursday for the first group stage match of the Champions League against Copenhagen.
Match Prediction Bayer vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Bayer to win
Borussia Dortmund vs Wolfsburg
The 4th round of the Bundesliga will conclude with an intriguing match at “Signal Iduna Park.” Both teams remain unbeaten at the start of the season across all competitions. Borussia recently returned from Turin, where they had a thrilling second half against Juventus (4:4). Wolfsburg has been preparing all week for the Sunday match. Borussia has gained momentum in the Bundesliga and will aim for their third consecutive victory, while Wolfsburg has squandered leads in their last two matches, resulting in draws. The last time the "Wolves" defeated the "Bees" in the Bundesliga was in 2022.
