Semi-finals of the 2026 Football World Championship: odds, favorites, and betting options for the matches
The World Championship - 2026 is gradually approaching its climax. The semi-final stage of the tournament is on the horizon, which will determine the two strongest teams on the planet.
In the first match for a place in the World Cup final, France and Spain will compete. In the second semi-final, England will face Argentina, the current holder of the World Cup. In this article, we will introduce you to the betting odds for the upcoming games.
Where and when will the France - Spain and England - Argentina matches take place
The semi-final matches of the 2026 World Cup will take place in the USA:
- France - Spain - July 14, Dallas (Texas).
- England - Argentina - July 15, Atlanta (Georgia).
Why the 2026 World Cup semi-finals can be called historic
The semi-final stage of the 2026 World Cup turned out to be truly unique. For the first time in the history of the World Championships, all four semi-finalists occupy the top four spots in the FIFA rankings. France (first place) against Spain (third place), Argentina (second) against England (fourth place). On paper, these are not just 1/2 final matches, but a mini-tournament of the strongest. It's even more interesting to watch them!
France - Spain: who is the favorite
Bookmakers give a slight advantage to France. The probability of Didier Deschamps' team winning in regular time is estimated at 41.8%, while for "La Furia Roja" it's 28.2%.
Odds* for the outcome:
- France's victory in regular time: 2.30.
- Draw: 3.20.
- Spain's victory in regular time: 3.40.
England - Argentina: who is the favorite
Bookmakers rank England as a slight favorite in this pair. The probability of Thomas Tuchel's team winning in regular time is estimated at 36.1%. The victory of the Argentinians is 30.9%.
Odds* for the outcome:
- England's victory in regular time: 2.70.
- Draw: 2.95.
- Argentina's victory in regular time: 3.15.
Odds and betting options for the 2026 World Cup semi-finals
France - Spain
Events | Bookmaker odds* |
France's progression | 1.65 |
Spain's progression | 2.25 |
Double chance for the French team | 1.36 |
Double chance for the Spanish team | 1.58 |
Total over 2.5 goals | 1.91 |
Total under 2.5 goals | 1.89 |
Both teams to score - yes | 1.66 |
Both teams to score - no | 2.15 |
No goal | 11.50 |
Total over 8.5 corners | 1.54 |
Total under 8.5 corners | 2.33 |
Total over 2.5 yellow cards | 1.69 |
Total under 2.5 yellow cards | 2.25 |
Penalty will be awarded | 3.15 |
Red card will be shown | 6.05 |
Own goal | 8.00 |
Goal by Kylian Mbappe | 1.95 |
Goal by Lamine Yamal | 3.30 |
England — Argentina
Events | Bookmakers' odds* |
England to advance | 1.76 |
Argentina to advance | 2.08 |
Double chance for the English team | 1.40 |
Double chance for the Argentine team | 1.49 |
Total over 2.5 goals | 2.27 |
Total under 2.5 goals | 1.63 |
Both teams to score - yes | 1.88 |
Both teams to score - no | 1.88 |
No one to score | 7.42 |
Total over 8.5 corners | 2.00 |
Total under 8.5 corners | 1.74 |
Total over 2.5 yellow cards | 1.52 |
Total under 2.5 yellow cards | 2.38 |
There will be a penalty | 3.37 |
There will be a sending off | 4.95 |
Own goal | 9.00 |
Jude Bellingham to score | 3.76 |
Lionel Messi to score | 2.42 |
*Odds are approximate, may vary in different bookmakers and are accurate at the time of publication.
FAQ
When will the semi-finals of the 2026 World Cup take place?
July 14 - France vs Spain, July 15 - Argentina vs England.
Where will the semi-final matches take place?
France vs Spain in Dallas (Texas), Argentina vs England in Atlanta (Georgia).
Why are the 2026 World Cup semi-finals called unique?
Because for the first time, all four semi-finalists are in the top-4 FIFA ranking, which makes the stage highly competitive.
Who is the favorite to win the tournament ahead of the semi-finals?
Bookmakers are quoting the French national team as the main favourite to win the 2026 World Cup ahead of the start of the semi-final stage.
