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Who Are the Favourites to Win the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations?

09 Feb, 13:35

As the Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (AFCON 2025) approaches in Morocco, the field is wide open—but several nations stand out as clear favourites. With strong squads, momentum, and favourable conditions, these teams are in the best position to win the trophy. Here’s a structured look at the leading contenders, why they are favoured, and what challenges they may face.

Who's the favourite to win the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations?

1. Morocco

Hosting the tournament gives Morocco national football team a significant advantage-home crowds, familiar conditions, and boosted motivation. Odds compile this: for example, Morocco were quoted at about 3.75 (roughly 4/1) to win the title. On top of that, their squad is among the strongest on the continent: players such as Achraf Hakimi and Yassine Bounou bring experience from Europe, and Morocco’s recent performances — including reaching the World Cup semi-final in 2022 — bolster their credentials.
Given those factors, Morocco are widely viewed as the team to beat.

2. Egypt

The Egypt national football team remains a perennial contender in African football. With seven AFCON titles to their name—the most of any nation—they bring pedigree. The presence of Mohamed Salah adds star quality, and recent commentary emphasises that “it’s time” for him to win the title. Betting odds place Egypt in the next tier after Morocco, around 7/1 odds in some markets.
Their blend of experience and ambition makes them a strong challenger.

3. Senegal

The Senegal national football team, winners of the 2021 edition, are also firmly in the discussion. Their squad includes top players such as Sadio Mané and others with big-match experience. Betting odds place them around 7/1 to 8/1.
Their strength lies in a well-balanced team combining youth and veterans, which could give them the edge in knock-out matches.

4. Algeria

Though perhaps slightly behind the front three, the Algeria national football team are still among the favourites. As 2019 winners, they know how to win the tournament. Odds place them around 7/1 to 8/1.
Their challenge is to regain full consistency and avoid early pitfalls.

Why These Nations Are Favoured

  • Host Advantage: Morocco hosting gives them a meaningful edge: historically almost one-third of past AFCON winners have been host nations

  • Squad Depth & European Experience: The top teams have multiple players competing at elite European clubs, with international tournament experience.

  • Momentum & Recent Form: Morocco’s World Cup success, Senegal’s recent title, Egypt’s pedigree, and Algeria’s past make them credible.

  • Odds & Expectations: The betting markets reflect confidence in these sides—Morocco are consistently favourites, followed by Egypt, Senegal and Algeria.

Key Challenges & Variables

  • Pressure & Expectations: For hosts like Morocco and heavyweights like Egypt, handling pressure will be crucial.

  • Injury & Squad Form: The tournament spans December to January in Morocco—fitness and form at the right time matter.

  • Knock-out Variability: One bad game can end a favourite’s run. Tournament structure and group draws will influence outcomes.

Emerging Rivals: While four teams dominate the favourites’ list, other nations (e.g., Nigeria, Ivory Coast, and Tunisia) could upset the order with the right draw and form.