McGregor vs Holloway at UFC 329: Odds, Bets, and Fight Prediction
How long we've been waiting for this! Former UFC champion in two weight categories, Conor McGregor, is finally returning to the cage. The most popular fighter in mixed martial arts history hasn't fought for exactly five years. Now, having overcome all injuries and resolved all issues outside of sports, he will once again share the octagon with the legendary Max Holloway. In this article, we have gathered everything you need to know about the main fight of the summer of 2026!
Read the latest MMA predictions in the special section of our website.
Where and when will the McGregor — Holloway rematch take place
The McGregor and Holloway rematch will take place on July 11, 2026 at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas (Nevada, USA). The Irishman and the American will headline the UFC 329 tournament. They will fight in the welterweight division. It is expected that Conor and Max will appear in the cage no earlier than 21:00 local time.
Odds for the McGregor — Holloway fight
Conor McGregor is opening as an underdog in the upcoming rematch against Max Holloway. Bookmakers offer odds of 2.75 for his victory. Meanwhile, the American's victory is valued at 1.50.
Event | Odds |
Total over 2.5 rounds | 1.95 |
Total under 2.5 rounds | 1.85 |
Fight will go the distance | 3.10 |
Fight will not go the distance | 1.35 |
McGregor's early victory | 4.00 |
McGregor's victory by points | 8.00 |
Holloway's early victory | 1.80 |
Holloway's victory by points | 2.10 |
First McGregor vs Holloway fight
The first fight between Conor McGregor and Max Holloway took place back in 2013. They fought at the UFC Fight Night 26 tournament in Boston (USA). At that time, both fighters were just paving their way to the top of MMA. No one could have imagined what legends of the industry they would become 13 years later.
From the first minutes of that fight, McGregor took the initiative into his own hands. His confident work at a distance didn't allow Holloway to fully unfold. Max tried to press and increase the pace, but the Irishman's accuracy repeatedly disrupted his attacks. According to theDuring the fight, Conor skillfully caught his opponent making mistakes and confidently outperformed him. As a result, the judges unanimously awarded the victory to the Irishman. And the verdict was undisputed.
Conor McGregor's chances of winning
The last time the Irish fighter appeared in the cage was in July 2021, suffering an early defeat from Dustin Poirier and sustaining a leg fracture. Despite loud promises of a swift and triumphant return, reality proved otherwise. McGregor became much more active outside of sports: he married his long-time girlfriend Dee Devlin, tried his hand at politics, running for the presidency of Ireland, and repeatedly found himself at the center of scandals and court proceedings. In the summer of 2024, the "Notorious" was a step away from returning and fighting Michael Chandler. However, before the fight, Conor injured his finger and withdrew. Now, it seems that we will indeed see the star fighter in the cage. But how successful will his return be?
We should dispel any illusions about the presence of some "innovative" game plan for the fight. McGregor himself and his team understand that a protracted 5-round fight is not their scenario. Moreover, there was information that Conor deliberately delayed signing the contract in order to achieve a three-round fight format. But he couldn't "bend" the matchmakers. Therefore, to be frank, McGregor's only real chance of winning is a knockout in the first round. If the match drags on, the ex-champion's cardio, which has always been his weak point, will definitely fail after such a long hiatus.
Max Holloway's chances of winning
Max Holloway, after a heavy defeat from Ilia Topuria, decided not to waste time on excuses and focused on moving to lightweight. Here he first had a bright defense of the BMF belt in the trilogy against Dustin Poirier, and then — a painful loss of the title in a fight with Charles Oliveira, where the American lacked wrestling skills. Nevertheless, Max's unique status in the industry and his media presence provided him with that very "golden ticket" — a rematch with Conor McGregor.
It must be admitted that Holloway looks like a solid favorite in the upcoming match. While Conor was dealing with legal issues and healing injuries, Max remained in the elite all these years, without long breaks and serious injuries. He is in good shape, and this factor should be decisive in the upcoming duel. Yes, the first round will resemble a minefield, where you just need to survive the chaotic onslaught of the Irishman. But as soon as Conor's fervor begins to fade, Max will ramp up the pace so much that the Irishman will simply not keep up with his series of combinations. The editorial prediction for the main fight of the UFC 329 tournament is Max Holloway's victory with odds of 1.50*.
*The odds are approximate, may vary in different bookmakers and are current at the time of publication.
FAQ
At which tournament will the rematch between McGregor and Holloway take place?
The fight will take place as part of the UFC 329 tournament in Las Vegas (USA).
What was the result of their first fight?
In 2013, Conor McGregor defeated Max Holloway by a judges' decision.
In which weight class will the rematch between McGregor and Holloway take place?
The fight will take place in the welterweight division. However, neither has previously fought in this category (they have competed in the featherweight and lightweight divisions).
Who is the favorite in the rematch and why?
Holloway is rated as the favorite by bookmakers. Max has consistently performed at an elite level in the UFC for five years, while McGregor has not fought during this time and has had health and legal issues.
