2026 United States Grand Prix: Formula 1 Race Prediction
The 2026 United States Grand Prix at the Circuit of the Americas promises to be one of the key rounds of the Formula 1 season. Max Verstappen enters the race with strong arguments in his favor: an impressive record in Austin and Red Bull's long-awaited comeback. Championship leader Andrea Kimi Antonelli is already approaching the world title, with a 102-point advantage over his pursuers to protect. We examine the main contenders and the arguments behind the most interesting bets for the upcoming race.
Odds for the 2026 United States Formula 1 Grand Prix
| Driver | Race winner | Qualifying winner |
|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 2.20 | 2.75 |
| Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| George Russell | 12 | 8.00 |
| Charles Leclerc | 13 | 8.50 |
| Lando Norris | 13 | 8.50 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 13 | 9.00 |
| Oscar Piastri | 18 | 17 |
| Isack Hadjar | 20 | 20 |
| Liam Lawson | 150 | 500 |
| Pierre Gasly | 150 | 500 |
| Arvid Lindblad | 220 | 500 |
| Franco Colapinto | 250 | 500 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 300 | 500 |
| Nico Hülkenberg | 300 | 500 |
| Oliver Bearman | 400 | 500 |
| Esteban Ocon | 420 | 500 |
| Fernando Alonso | 450 | 500 |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 500 | 500 |
| Lance Stroll | 500 | 500 |
| Alexander Albon | 550 | 500 |
| Valtteri Bottas | 800 | 500 |
| Sergio Pérez | 800 | 500 |
Scores24 prediction for the United States Formula 1 Grand Prix winner
Max Verstappen to win – yes
Odds: 2.20
Verstappen won in Austin in 2025 after starting from pole position and finishing almost eight seconds ahead of Lando Norris. The circuit clearly suits the Red Bull driver.
Even more important at this late stage of the season is the Dutchman's improved current form. Max won the previous two Grands Prix, in Malaysia and Singapore, and also won the sprint in Singapore. Red Bull continued developing its chassis and power unit, helping Verstappen return to the front in the second half of the season. It may be too late for the overall title, but the fight for a top-two finish in the drivers' standings and the Constructors' Championship remains relevant.
In other words, the team has found competitive setup and pace. If that progress continues on the technical COTA circuit, Verstappen will have a real chance to win a third Grand Prix in succession. Andrea Kimi Antonelli does not necessarily need to win any of the remaining Grands Prix: consistent podium finishes could be enough for him to secure the world championship.
A more conservative alternative: Max Verstappen to finish first or second – yes at odds of 1.50.
Odds are accurate at the time of publication and may vary between bookmakers.
FAQ
Who is the main favorite to win the 2026 United States Formula 1 Grand Prix?
Max Verstappen is the favorite according to bookmakers' odds. The Red Bull driver's chance of winning in Austin is estimated at 45%.
What bets are available for the United States Formula 1 Grand Prix?
Bookmakers offer bets on qualifying and race results, as well as head-to-head comparisons between drivers from the same team.
