Italian Basketball Serie A 2026/2027 Outright Predictions

In the spring, Olimpia Milano won the 32nd Scudetto in club history by beating Reyer Venezia in the final. One important detail: the title was not won with the coach who started the season — Ettore Messina left his post in November 2025, and his assistant Giuseppe Poeta took charge. In other words, the championship was won with the same coaching structure that continues to work with the team now.

Can the Milan club defend its title? In this article, we present sportsbook odds for the 2026/2027 Italian Basketball Serie A season and analyze the market. You will also find the Scores24 editorial team's outright prediction for the tournament.

Italian Basketball Serie A 2026/2027 Outright Odds Including the Playoffs

Scores24 Outright Prediction for the 2026/2027 Italian Basketball Serie A Champion

Olimpia Milano to Win – Yes

Odds: 1.75

Olimpia's main advantage over their rivals is coaching continuity. While Virtus Bologna enter the season with a completely new head coach — Alex Mumbru, who replaced interim coach Jakovljevic, who himself had replaced Ivankovic after he was dismissed in March — Olimpia continue working within a system that has already proved effective and delivered a title. The team does not need to spend the first months of the season adapting to a new coaching philosophy, which is a major advantage with the demanding EuroLeague and Serie A schedules running simultaneously.

Targeted Transfers Instead of a Chaotic Rebuild

Unlike Virtus, who brought in nine new players at once, and Venezia, who also made major changes, the Milan club acted selectively and filled specific needs:

• Alec Peters from Olympiacos — one of Europe's best shooters and an upgrade at the power forward position, which the club had been concerned about since the spring;
• Devon Hall — the return of a player already familiar with the club's system after two years at Fenerbahce;
• Nicola Akele — a move from direct rival Virtus;
• R. J. Cole — the point guard arrived from another direct rival, last season's finalist Reyer Venezia;
• Moses Wright and Jason Burnell — with the latter also taken from a rival, Brescia — strengthen the interior rotation.

A Diop and Tonut, key Italian rotation players, extended their contracts, meaning the domestic-player quota was preserved as well — a critically important factor when registering lineups under league rules.

The Finals MVP Departure Was More Than Compensated

Yes, Olimpia lost Armoni Brooks, who was named MVP of last season's Finals, after he unexpectedly moved to French club ASVEL. That is a real loss of a leader. But the club responded with several additions for similar roles — Hall, Cole and Thompson — rather than relying on a single like-for-like replacement. In other words, the risk is spread across several players instead of being tied to one name, as often happens when a leader leaves.

The Rivals' Situation Works in Olimpia's Favor

Virtus Bologna enter the season with a new coach, the loss of captain Alessandro Pajola, who moved to Partizan, and an almost completely renewed foreign-player group — the highest level of uncertainty among all the major clubs.

Reyer Venezia retained head coach Neven Spahija but lost key playmaker R. J. Cole.

Brescia, runners-up in last season's regular championship, dropped out of Serie A amid a club crisis. That removes another genuine contender for the top of the standings from the equation.

Market Status as the Favorite

Sportsbook odds before the start of the season clearly put Olimpia in first place — around 1.75 compared with 4.20 for Virtus and even longer prices for everyone else. This reflects the analysts' consensus: the team has the best combination of experience, roster depth and systemic stability among all participants in the championship.

You can follow match results, current data and odds in the Serie A section of our website.