Netherlands vs France Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Can the Netherlands secure a spot in the playoffs? The Euro 2017 champions face off against Group D leaders France in their final group stage match. Despite two victories, France have yet to guarantee their place in the quarterfinals. Further analysis and predictions for this crucial encounter will be detailed below. The match is set to take place at St. Jakob-Park in Basel.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Analytical review of past official matches between the Netherlands and France women's national teams:

    • 4 matches played;
    • home wins - 1, away wins - 3, draws - 0;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 7 to 10;
    • average total goals per match - 4.25.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    33%
    2 Wins
    17%
    1 Draw
    50%
    3 Wins
    Total games
    6
    Total Goals Avg
    4.33
    Both teams scored
    83%
    1.83
    Total average
    2.5
    1.5
    Yellow cards
    0.33
    Last matches
    18.04.26
    WC Qualification Women
    France (W)
    France (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    -
    -
    9
    4
    13
    8
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    9
    4
    13
    8
    1
    1
    14.04.26
    WC Qualification Women
    Netherlands (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    France (W)
    France (W)
    -
    -
    0
    11
    6
    13
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    0
    11
    6
    13
    2
    1
    13.07.25
    European Ch.ship Women
    Netherlands (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    France (W)
    France (W)
    1.21
    3.13
    4
    5
    13
    11
    2
    0
    2
    5
    2
    1
    0
    4
    1.21
    3.13
    4
    5
    13
    11
    2
    0
    23.07.22
    WEC
    France (W)
    France (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    -
    -
    -
    -
    8
    14
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    -
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    8
    14
    -
    -
    22.02.22
    Tournoi de France, Women
    France (W)
    France (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
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    Netherlands (W) Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on during the second round of the Women's European Championship, with England (W) hosting the Netherlands (W). The match ended in a 4-0 victory.

    Here are the game statistics (Netherlands (W) vs England (W)):

    • possession: 48% vs 52%;
    • corners: 5 vs 4;
    • fouls: 12 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 6.

    🟠 The "Orange" kicked off the championship with a resounding 3-0 victory over the tournament debutants, Wales. However, in the second round, Andries Jonker's squad faced the reigning champions, England. The "Orange" struggled with possession and found themselves down 0-2 by halftime. After the break, they couldn't regroup, conceding two more goals to replicate the first half's fate. The match ended in a heavy 0-4 defeat, and now they face a true test against France, with their quarterfinal hopes hanging in the balance.

    🦁 The Netherlands will advance to the quarterfinals if they beat France by a margin of three goals or more, or with any win if England fail to defeat Wales. Should England lose, a draw would suffice for the Netherlands. They will top the group if they win by seven or more goals, or with any victory if England do not overcome Wales.

    Match Results: Netherlands (W)

    Last matches
    05.06.26
    WC Qualification Women
    Ireland (W)
    Ireland (W)
    1
    Netherlands (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    -
    -
    4
    4
    5
    9
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    3
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    4
    4
    5
    9
    0
    3
    L
    18.04.26
    WC Qualification Women
    France (W)
    France (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    -
    -
    9
    4
    13
    8
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
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    1
    -
    -
    9
    4
    13
    8
    1
    1
    D
    14.04.26
    WC Qualification Women
    Netherlands (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    France (W)
    France (W)
    -
    -
    0
    11
    6
    13
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
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    1
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    -
    0
    11
    6
    13
    2
    1
    W
    07.03.26
    WC Qualification Women
    Netherlands (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    Ireland (W)
    Ireland (W)
    -
    -
    4
    4
    9
    14
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    9
    14
    1
    2
    W
    03.03.26
    WC Qualification Women
    Poland (W)
    Poland (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    -
    -
    6
    10
    5
    15
    0
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    10
    5
    15
    0
    2
    D
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    France (W) Team Overview

    The last official match for the current visitors took place on during the second round of the Women's European Championship, featuring the hosts France (W) against Wales (W). The match concluded with a 4-1 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (France (W) vs Wales (W)):

    • possession percentage: 75% vs 25%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
    • fouls: 6 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 4.

    🔵 The French national team sit atop their group. Following their surprising victory over the reigning world champions, England, with a 2-1 scoreline, many expected an easy ride against the Welsh side in the second round. However, in the first half, Les Bleues had to exert considerable effort to take a lead into halftime. After Clara Mateo's early goal, the French allowed their opponents to equalize swiftly, conceding in the 13th minute. Laurent Bonadei's squad kept pressing to break down Wales' defense again, which they managed during stoppage time when Kadidiatou Diani converted a penalty earned by Mateo. France went into the break with a narrow one-goal advantage.

    ⚪ During halftime, Bonadei found the right words to address the team's first-half shortcomings. Just eight minutes into the second half, his adjustments paid off as Amel Majri scored the third goal, earning her the player of the match honors. Grace Geyoro sealed the deal in the 63rd minute. The match concluded with a commanding 4-1 victory for France.

    🔴 The decisive moment for the team now comes in their third-round clash with the Netherlands. France will top the group if they avoid defeat. In other scenarios, they will advance to the quarter-finals if they avoid losing to the Netherlands by three goals or more, or if England fail to beat Wales.

    Match Results: France (W)

    Last matches
    05.06.26
    WC Qualification Women
    Poland (W)
    Poland (W)
    France (W)
    France (W)
    -
    -
    2
    12
    14
    7
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    12
    14
    7
    2
    1
    W
    18.04.26
    WC Qualification Women
    France (W)
    France (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    -
    -
    9
    4
    13
    8
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    9
    4
    13
    8
    1
    1
    D
    14.04.26
    WC Qualification Women
    Netherlands (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    France (W)
    France (W)
    -
    -
    0
    11
    6
    13
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    0
    11
    6
    13
    2
    1
    L
    07.03.26
    WC Qualification Women
    France (W)
    France (W)
    Poland (W)
    Poland (W)
    1
    -
    -
    11
    2
    9
    11
    2
    1
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    11
    2
    9
    11
    2
    1
    W
    03.03.26
    WC Qualification Women
    Ireland (W)
    Ireland (W)
    France (W)
    France (W)
    -
    -
    4
    8
    9
    5
    1
    1
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    4
    8
    9
    5
    1
    1
    W
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Netherlands (W)

    🎙 Netherlands head coach Andries Jonker after the second-round match: "The fact that we lost isn't a huge surprise-we can lose to England. What disappoints me is how we lost. We need to regroup. We have a great team, and we must do everything possible to perform better against France. In the second half, there was a similar moment, although we started off well. The English scored on their first dangerous attack, and that was it. We conceded twice at the worst possible times, and many things didn't go our way. We had a solid plan, but we couldn't execute it. In the first half, we were somewhat fortunate-the score was only 1-0, but the second goal in the dying seconds was a real blow. Losses happen in football-it's part of the game. Now we have to find new motivation for the players. We have a great team, but we didn't show it today. It's a tough defeat. We didn't expect to lose by such a margin. We thought we could compete with England. We wanted to win and advance from the group. We need to bounce back because we want to achieve success. It won't be easy, but we must believe in our abilities-otherwise, there's no point in stepping onto the pitch. As a coach, I always think I'm right, but the tactical plan needs to be executed by the players. We developed it together and were confident it would lead to victory, but it didn't work out."

    France (W)

    🎙 France's head coach Laurent Bonadei praised his team's performance today: "I'm delighted to see the entire team working well together. Clara Mateo and Amel Majri, along with everyone else, played brilliantly. Even Lou Bogar, who came on as a substitute in the second half and is still very young, showed her worth. We finished the match with a defensive line featuring players born in 2004 and 2003, like Alice Sombath. It's a great experience for them. We need to keep building the team for the future as well. I was very impressed with the team's attitude. We started the match strong and took the lead calmly. However, we were caught off guard - the current Welsh team is very good on the counter-attack, and their players are skillful. I needed to give everyone a chance. It was important to conserve energy. We haven't advanced from the group yet, so we know Sunday's match against the Netherlands is crucial."

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Number of encounters - 4;
    • Home wins - 1, Away wins - 3, Draws - 0.

    Statistics: Netherlands (W) vs France (W)

    • Matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
    • Wins: 1 vs 2;
    • Win percentage: 50% vs 100%;
    • Losses: 1 vs 0;
    • Draws: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 4 vs 8;
    • Losses: 2 vs 2;
    • Draws: 4 vs 0.
    Trends
    • Netherlands (W) have won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 of their last 15 matches.
    👉Prediction: Netherlands (W) Handicap (+1.5)(odds: 1.39)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • The current home team averages - 1.75 goals, the away team - 2.5;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head meetings - 4.25;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 3 times; at the home team's venue - 1 time.

    Statistics: Netherlands (W) vs France (W)

    • Average total in the tournament: 3.5 vs 4;
    • Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 3;
    • Average total in the first half: 0.5 vs 2;
    • Average total in the second half: 1 vs 1;
    • Netherlands (W): average total at home in the tournament - 0;
    • France (W): average total away in the tournament - 0;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.5) vs 2.2 (away - 2).
    Trends
    • The total has been under 3.5 goals in 9 of France's last 10 away matches.
    👉Prediction: France (W) Total goals Over (1.5)(odds: 1.37)

    Cards Prediction

    Netherlands (W): Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 0.5; at home - 0;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 0.7; at home - 0.75.

    France (W): Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 1.5, away - 0;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 1; away - 0.5.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (1.5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Number of encounters - 4;
    • Both teams scored overall - 3 times;
    • At the home team's venue - 1 time.

    Statistics: Netherlands (W) vs France (W)

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
    • Number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 0 vs 2;
    • BTTS for Netherlands (W) at home - 0 (0%);
    • BTTS for France (W) away - 0 (0%).

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
    • BTTS for Netherlands (W) at home - 3 (75%);
    • BTTS for France (W) away - 1 (25%).
    Trends
    • France (W) have both scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches (Women's European Championship).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.78)

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    The comparison of team forms suggests an advantage for the French players, thanks to their impressive winning streak and high attacking efficiency. The Netherlands' match against England highlighted defensive issues for the "Oranje" when facing top-tier opponents, which could be a decisive factor in the upcoming clash. Considering all aspects, the most reasonable prediction appears to be betting on over 2.5 goals-both teams tend to play aggressively in attack while having vulnerabilities in defense. Moreover, the Netherlands cannot afford a draw as they rely on England dropping points in their parallel match against Wales.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of -135*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (11 July 2025, 17:38)

    Betting Tips: Netherlands (W) - France (W)

    France (W) have won
    france-5in last 6 games.
    France (W) Win
    Everygame
    -149
    France (W) have not lost
    france-5in last 6 games.
    France (W) will not lose
    Everygame
    -500
    Under 4.5 goals scored
    netherlands-5in last 17 Netherlands (W) games.
    france-5in 8 of last 9 France (W) games.
    Total goals Under (4.5)
    -526
    Netherlands (W) have conceded
    netherlands-5in 8 of last 9 games.
    France (W) have scored
    france-5in 15 of last 16 games.
    france-5in last 7 games (European Championship Women).
    France (W) will score goal
    Everygame
    -833
    View more facts

    Netherlands - France Table position

    Group stage Group D
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    France (W)
    France (W)
    330011-49
    2.
    England (W)
    England (W)
    320111-36
    3.
    Netherlands (W)
    Netherlands (W)
    31025-93
    4.
    Wales (W)
    Wales (W)
    30032-130

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 22
    -7
    +5
    17 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    3
    4
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    17
    22
    Conceded
    12
    3.7
    Match goals average
    2.9
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    2.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    7
    Both teams scored
    8
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    57'
    View all stats