Lakers vs Oklahoma Prediction

Details
The main thing
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    87
    123
    27
    20
    15
    25
    34
    31
    28
    30

    🔊 Can the Californians avenge their recent crushing defeat by the reigning champions? The Los Angeles Lakers are set to host the Oklahoma City Thunder at their home court in an NBA regular-season matchup. Facing significant roster challenges, the hosts are considered massive underdogs by bookmakers-a sentiment we share. Without Doncic, Reaves, and possibly LeBron, competing on equal terms against the Thunder's formidable defense seems unlikely. Let's delve into the matchup and offer a well-founded prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The clubs have already faced each other 55 times. The history here doesn't favor the Lakers: they have only 22 wins compared to the Thunder's 33. Their last encounter on the Oklahoma court ended in a stunning blowout, with the hosts absolutely demolishing the Lakers, 139-96. 

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    37%
    22 Wins
    63%
    38 Wins
    12.05.26
    NBA
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    110
    115
    26
    21
    19
    28
    39
    31
    26
    35
    10.05.26
    NBA
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    108
    131
    25
    31
    34
    26
    20
    33
    29
    41
    08.05.26
    NBA
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    125
    107
    27
    23
    30
    35
    36
    22
    32
    27
    06.05.26
    NBA
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    108
    90
    31
    26
    30
    27
    23
    19
    24
    18
    08.04.26
    NBA
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    87
    123
    27
    34
    20
    31
    15
    28
    25
    30
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Los Angeles Lakers Team Overview

    The Los Angeles Lakers are navigating a turbulent period with a record of 3 wins and 2 losses over their last five games. The team averages around 115 points per game, indicating a solid offensive performance. However, their defense often falters, allowing over 115 points on average per game. Despite this, they consistently score more than 105 points at home in recent matchups against Oklahoma City. Yet, it's uncertain if that tally will be enough to secure a surprising victory against the reigning champions.

    Last week was particularly dismal for the storied franchise as they practically bid farewell to playoff aspirations. Within a span of a few days, they lost Luka Dončić and Austin Reaves-both in phenomenal form-for a month. Without them, Reddick's squad will struggle to overcome even a single opponent in the postseason. It's a bitter pill to swallow, especially since the Lakers had just hit their stride, performing impressively in all facets of the game. Now, everything seems to have unraveled. In their most recent outing, without the two aforementioned stars, Los Angeles fell to even a struggling Dallas (128-134).

    Match Results: Los Angeles Lakers

    12.05.26
    NBA
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    110
    115
    26
    21
    19
    28
    39
    31
    26
    35
    L
    10.05.26
    NBA
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    108
    131
    25
    31
    34
    26
    20
    33
    29
    41
    L
    08.05.26
    NBA
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    125
    107
    27
    23
    30
    35
    36
    22
    32
    27
    L
    06.05.26
    NBA
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    108
    90
    31
    26
    30
    27
    23
    19
    24
    18
    L
    02.05.26
    NBA
    Houston Rockets
    Houston Rockets
    Los Angeles Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    78
    98
    18
    23
    13
    26
    24
    22
    23
    27
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Oklahoma City Thunder Team Overview

    The Oklahoma City Thunder are in outstanding form, winning nine of their last ten games. Their powerful offensive lineup has been scoring nearly 124 points per game during this stretch. However, the key to the club's success for the second consecutive year has been their defense, which has been remarkably reliable (allowing 107.5 points, 2nd in rating). The duo of Hartenstein and Holmgren solidifies the paint, giving opponents minimal easy shots.

    In their last outing, Daigneault's squad easily dispatched the underdog Utah Jazz (146-111). Holmgren and Shai were the top scorers with 21 and 20 points, respectively, but the role players also contributed significantly. This is logical, as the coach has been wisely managing the workload of the leaders to prevent injuries before the playoffs. The franchise has enough depth to secure victories even when playing at half strength.

    Match Results: Oklahoma City Thunder

    31.05.26
    NBA
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    103
    111
    25
    32
    28
    24
    24
    24
    26
    31
    L
    29.05.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    118
    91
    35
    22
    25
    31
    32
    13
    26
    25
    L
    27.05.26
    NBA
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    127
    114
    29
    27
    40
    31
    32
    33
    26
    23
    W
    25.05.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    103
    82
    28
    19
    22
    19
    28
    22
    25
    22
    L
    23.05.26
    NBA
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio Spurs
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    108
    123
    31
    26
    20
    32
    33
    37
    24
    28
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Los Angeles Lakers

    ⛔ The Lakers will be without Doncic, Reaves, and Smart. Additionally, James is questionable for the game.

    📋 Projected lineup: Ayton, LaRavia, Hachimura, Kennard, James.

    Oklahoma City Thunder

    ⛔ Oklahoma will be without Williams due to injury.

    📋 Projected lineup: Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Wallace, Holmgren, Hartenstein.

    🏀 Three-Point Shooting

    Throughout the season, the Lakers have been middle-of-the-pack in three-point shooting, with a 35.6% accuracy rate. However, under Reddick's guidance, they rank in the top ten defensively, allowing just 35.5% from beyond the arc.

    Meanwhile, Oklahoma boasts a 36.3% success rate, placing them 11th in this category. On the defensive end, though, the Thunder struggle, conceding 36.5% of three-pointers, ranking them 22nd.

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    The game is expected to be dynamic, but the outcome seems inevitable given the absence of most of the Lakers' key players. Oklahoma should have no trouble ramping up their trademark defensive intensity to limit the nearly second-string lineup of their opponents to a minimum score. Meanwhile, the Thunder won't need to exert extraordinary effort on offense to secure a win. As the playoffs approach, it's more crucial to play conservatively and avoid injuries. With this in mind, it's reasonable to bet on total under 226.5.

    Our choice
    Total points Under (226.5) at odds of -156*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (7 April 2026, 12:19)

    Betting Tips: Los Angeles Lakers - Oklahoma City Thunder

    Los Angeles Lakers won the 3rd quarter
    los-angeles-lakersoklahoma-city-thunderin 8 of last 9 home games against Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA).
    3rd Quarter Los Angeles Lakers Win
    +268
    Los Angeles Lakers won the 1st half
    los-angeles-lakersin 10 of last 11 home games (NBA).
    1st Half Los Angeles Lakers Win
    +500
    Oklahoma City Thunder won the 1st half
    oklahoma-city-thunderin 9 of last 10 games (NBA).
    oklahoma-city-thunderin last 8 away games (NBA).
    1st Half Oklahoma City Thunder Win
    -588
    Oklahoma City Thunder won the 1st quarter
    oklahoma-city-thunderin 8 of last 9 away games (NBA).
    1st Quarter Oklahoma City Thunder Win
    -345
    View more facts

    Lakers - Oklahoma Table position

    Group stage WESTA
    gWLForm
    1.
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    440
    2.
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix Suns
    431
    3.
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    422
    4.
    Utah Jazz
    Utah Jazz
    413
    5.
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento Kings
    404